XAUUSD remains our second pair as usual. Orion is clear as always, giving us a bullish bias to target the highs. Similar to EU, we only have one high to aim for, so the options are the same as mentioned in that write-up. We could pull back from the current position, creating a new low in the process, which would lead us into the lows and present a long entry opportunity in line with the bias. Alternatively, we might take the high first and then drop down into the lows, which would also provide a potential long entry. Overall, we are anticipating a higher shift and need to monitor the lows for this to materialize. Follow Orion, stick to your plan, and manage your risk properly.
To me looks like the channel is about to break but don’t worry we’ll be back better than ever Make America great again
Am Freitag hat unser Dax wieder mehr Bewegung gezeigt, aber mit wildem auf und ab weder oben noch unten neue Signale geschafft. Guten Morgen :) Marken mit Wichtigkeit und hoher Reaktionsfreundlichkeit für heute und die nächsten Tage sind meiner Meinung nach: 20730, 20425, 20360, 20205, 20120, 19895, 19600, 19480, 19335, 19250, 19120, 19050, 18880, 18760, 18600 Chartlage: positiv Tendenz: aufwärts Grundstimmung: positiv Zum Freitag galt die Analyse vom Vortag unverändert weiter. So hatten wir oberhalb der 20360 weiterhin die Chance hin zur 20450, 20520 und dann auch 20600. Und unter 20250 dann Ziele auf die 20190 / 20175, 20120 und 20060 / 20040 sofern er die Tiefs nicht einfach direkt wieder nach oben kauft. So die Zusammenfassung der letzten Analyse. Doch sowohl oben als auch unten kam unser Dax dann nicht weiter. Zuerst überbot er zwar die 20360 kam dann aber nur bis zur 20400 bevor er hart eindrehte und unter die 20250 stieß. Doch auch dort reichte es gerade mal bis zur 20190, sodass unser Dax wie schon am Donnerstag keine neuen Signale vorweisen konnte und nur die Spanne etwas verbreitert hatte. Heißt für uns erstmal weiter im Programm. Es bleiben also über 20360 / 20400 dann Chancen hin zur 20450, 20520 und auch 20600, die ich auch weiter als realistisch einstufe für die kommende Woche und unten begrenzt nun 20250 / 20190 hin zur 20120, 20060/ 20040 und tieferem. Man sollte dort aber genau auf die neuen Tiefs achten, sollten die auf so hohem Niveau direkt wieder hoch gekauft werden kann unseren Dax das schnell zurück in die Range schieben. Die Scheine bleiben gleich. Für Aufwärtsstrecken der PG70KW KO 18600 sowie GQ9CGN KO 17000 und für Abwärtsstrecken der GG34Z4 KO 21400. Fazit: Nachdem unser Dax am Freitag nun auch nur wild herum gekreiselt hat ohne neue Signale zu generieren. Bleibt die Einschätzung so erst einmal unverändert, außer dass wir die Ränder etwas aufdehnen müssen. Sollte es unserem Dax gelingen am Montag die 20360 / 20400 zu überwinden bleiben also 20450, 20520 und auch 20600 weiterhin erreichbar. Unterhalb kann man auch sagen, dass unter 20250 / 20200 grundsätzlich 20120, 20060 / 20040 und tieferes ableitbar wären, doch würde ich mir die Tiefs sehr genau anschauen. Zucken die auch nur wieder nach oben, wird man die Bewegung hier seit Mittwoch wohl als Flagge einstufen dürfen.
I’m analyzing a potential breakout in EUR/USD on the 30-minute chart. The pair is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting a phase of consolidation after the sharp downward move earlier. Based on the trendlines: The red horizontal line indicates resistance near 1.0250. The green ascending line represents rising support, forming the lower bound of the triangle. My Bias: I expect an upside breakout based on the momentum building along the ascending trendline. The price has tested resistance multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a breakout. Plan: Entry: I plan to go long if the price breaks and closes above 1.0250, ideally with increased volume to confirm the move. Stop Loss: Below the ascending support line near 1.0230 to minimize downside risk. Target: Projecting the height of the triangle, my first target would be 1.0275, with a stretch goal around 1.0300 if momentum continues. Keep in mind, breakouts can sometimes fail, so patience and proper risk management are key. What do you think of this setup? Let me know your thoughts!
Since the late October to mid – November 2024 decline Gold has gone sideways and could be forming an Elliott wave – Horizontal Triangle. Within this structure there’s usually a Fibonacci relationship between alternate waves. In this case wave “D” is close to .618 of wave “B” Wave “C” is close to .618 of wave “A”. If the wave count is correct Gold could decline for a few days, then rally to new all-time highs.
$USUAL has pulled back to my buy zone on the weekly chart. I will be accumulating and opening up leveraged trades at 0.59 and below. I'm showing here near term targets on the 4 hourly chart for scalp trades but I will be monitoring this for holding this as a position trade for the long term. My near term target is at 0.98 level if we break above 0.68 with volume support. My longer term targets are at 1.90 and above level. On the macro level #UsualProtocol $USUAL has introduced a revenue-sharing model to stabilize its ecosystem after its staked #stablecoin , USD0++, depegged from its $1 value. The protocol announced the activation of a "revenue switch" starting January 13, which will distribute earnings from real-world assets and protocol operations to users. The protocol estimates $5 million in monthly revenues, yielding an annual return of over 50%. I think in the near term they have some kinks to work out but longer term this is a very bullish news and we will benefit from this as the users start seeing the actual revenue start coming in. This is not a financial advise. Please DYOR.
Hello everyone, let's look at the 1D DOT to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a local uptrend channel where the price is moving at its lower boundary. Let's start, however, by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face: T1 = $7 T2 = $7.35 T3 = $7.92 T4 = $8.86 Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline: SL1 = $6.47 SL2 = $6.24 SL3 = $5.86 SL4 = $5.58 Looking at the STOCH indicator, we can see that we are moving along the lower boundary, which may indicate an upcoming upward movement in price.
Bitcoin is consolidating within what appears to be a broad head and shoulders pattern. In my previous week's article I wrote about the break of the inside bar highs which had 4K profit potential (see previous article). I mentioned NOT to expect much more from there. Bitcoin has retraced back into the 90K AREA support zone since. Along with that a similar two inside bar pattern is present after a buying attempt which brings me to what I anticipate next. The two inside bars after a larger bullish candle (see arrow) point to a mini consolidation which if broken can lead to a test of the 100K area (see illustration). Keep in mind, IF the inside bar lows are broken instead, the 90K area can be tested again. Since the broader trend is still bullish, and the 90K support is still intact, I believe there is still a better chance price breaks higher but without any major catalysts behind it, potential is likely limited. It better to take smaller profits in this environment until price can prove there is real buying behind it. What about the broad head and shoulders pattern? I do not give a lot of weight to such patterns, and would not jump to any conclusions just because one is present. Instead I focus on the key support level which is 90K. This also happens to be the low of the previous monthly BEARISH reversal candle. IF this low is compromised, it is possible to see a test of the 85K area sooner than not. Again this is not something that can be forecast, the market has to confirm one way or the other through price action before we can assess risk. One other thing worth mentioning is interest rates are nearing highs. While this may not have a major effect on Bitcoin (especially in recent times), it does strengthen the USD and puts pressure on anti inflationary assets like stocks, gold, etc. A breakout here can act as a another factor that can limit Bitcoin potential for the short term. So you can put your party hats away for a while. In this environment (consolidation), WAIT for support or resistance levels, WAIT for confirmations and look for small bites. Most importantly WAIT for the market to reveal its hand before committing. Thank for you considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC długotermionowo, Moja wizja wychodzenia z rynku i wchodzenia w następnym cyklu
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