Gold Futures are showing a very clean impulsive move through Elliot Wave TA. You can see the running flat on the 2nd wave leading to a very strong move on the Wave 3 major move. The Wave 5 is shorter than the Wave 3 to confirm the possible completion of this 5 Wave move up. A weaker DXY (USD) is throwing an obstacle to this beautiful setup. Let's see some stability to the bonds market which should lead to stability in the equities market. This should help propel traders taking profits on this Gold rush.
Hello Traders ! The Gold price failed to create a new lower low ! Currently, The lower high is broken (change of character). So, I expect a bullish move? ______________ TARGET: 3122?
USD Jpy has history of uptrend, right now it make lower lows
4/9/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ADSK FYI/ probs a buy here low 240s - i'll keep the comments on single names short so we can move thru a lot in the next days/weeks - mid teens growth "prototyping" software, not any single industry exposed e.g. NASDAQ:CDNS for semis etc. - great ROICs >20% and high ROE's - cash gen of 2.2 bn on 52 bn EV is >4% yield, which given it's software is "good" and sub 25x PE for mid teens PE growth is "you'll make $ LT buying quality here" - when I look across all the "prototyping" names i follow, NSE:PTC probably ranks second, but i need lower to be enticed (also probs a buy, but not as clear as NASDAQ:ADSK here), NASDAQ:CDNS is too semi exposed for now, $snps/ NASDAQ:ANSS complicated but probably a buy... but similar to NSE:PTC i need lower. NASDAQ:SVCO is too small and complicated even tho upside cb tremendous. just can't take big position so it would be a distraction. NASDAQ:BSY is a clear stay away. hope it helps V
? Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to discuss an important crypto index that can significantly impact our trading, known as BTC.D. First, I'll provide some explanations for those unfamiliar with this index, and then we'll dive into the analysis. https://www.tradingview.com/x/iAZxk4UP/ ? What is Bitcoin Dominance? Bitcoin Dominance is a major indicator in the crypto market. It does not directly represent supply and demand and is not tradable; the chart you see is calculated by TradingView and does not exist physically. ⚡️ This index represents the strength of Bitcoin in the crypto market. It shows the amount of money in Bitcoin divided by the total money in the crypto market. 100x(Bitcoin MarketCap / Total MarketCap) = Bitcoin Dominance ✔️ For example, if the total money in crypto is 1 trillion dollars and 500 billion dollars of that is in Bitcoin, then Bitcoin's dominance would be 50%. ✔️ Or, if the total money in crypto is 1 trillion dollars and 300 billion dollars of that is in Bitcoin, then Bitcoin's dominance would be 30%. Now that we know what Bitcoin dominance is and how it is calculated, let's see how it can help us in trading and where it can be useful. ? How is Bitcoin Dominance useful? When we trade, we often encounter situations where both Bitcoin and an altcoin (for example, Ethereum) are triggered simultaneously according to our strategy. There are several ways we can open positions in these situations. Some open positions simultaneously on both, increasing the risk of the trade and doubling the potential loss if the market moves against us. Others may randomly choose between the two positions, which could result in taking a position on Bitcoin and hitting a stop-loss while Ethereum moves towards your target. But how can we determine which one is likely to be more profitable? ? As mentioned, Bitcoin dominance indicates the strength of Bitcoin relative to the rest of the market, and there are three scenarios to consider for its analysis. ? In the first scenario, if the market is bullish, Bitcoin dominance can be bullish, bearish, or range-bound. If Bitcoin dominance is bullish, it means more money is entering Bitcoin, so if both Bitcoin and Ethereum are triggered simultaneously, Bitcoin is likely to rise more than Ethereum. If Bitcoin dominance is bearish, less money is entering Bitcoin relative to altcoins, so altcoins like Ethereum are likely to rise more. If Bitcoin dominance is range-bound, we analyze the market candle by candle and pay more attention to short-term momentum, deciding based on the current trend of Bitcoin dominance. ? In the second scenario, if the market is bearish, Bitcoin dominance can again be bullish, bearish, or range-bound. ✔️ Before explaining this scenario, let me tell you how it's possible for the market to be bearish while Bitcoin dominance increases even though Bitcoin's price is also falling. As I mentioned, Bitcoin dominance is a ratio and is shown in percentage terms, so if the market is crashing, it might be that Bitcoin is selling less than altcoins. For example, Bitcoin might sell for 10 million dollars and altcoins for 20 million dollars. Even though Bitcoin is being sold and its price is falling, it is being sold less than altcoins, so its dominance increases. ? Now, let's examine the second scenario. If Bitcoin dominance is bullish, less Bitcoin is being sold compared to altcoins, so altcoins like Ethereum will have a greater drop and are better for short positions. If Bitcoin dominance is bearish, Bitcoin is being sold more than altcoins, so a short position on Bitcoin would be more suitable. Lastly, if Bitcoin dominance is range-bound, like in the first scenario, we analyze candle by candle and focus on short-term momentum. ? In the third scenario, if the market is range-bound, I first suggest not opening any positions because many strategies do not work well in range-bound markets, and it's better to wait for a breakout of the range's floor or ceiling before opening a position. However, if you do decide to open a position in this phase, short positions fall under the second scenario, and long positions fall under the first. ⭐ So, with Bitcoin dominance, we can optimize the positions we open and choose the best option between Bitcoin and the selected altcoin. If we look at Bitcoin dominance in higher time frames and not just as a confirmation for futures positions in lower time frames, we can identify alt seasons. ? How to identify alt seasons and alt parties with Bitcoin Dominance? So far, we've seen how dominance in different states and positions can help us in trading. Now, if we analyze Bitcoin dominance over a longer term, we can determine whether the money in the market will move more towards altcoins or Bitcoin in the coming weeks or months. ✔️ For example, if Bitcoin dominance is bullish in the weekly time frame and has a strong upward trend, naturally, more money will enter Bitcoin over time, making Bitcoin a better investment than altcoins. However, if Bitcoin dominance undergoes a correction for a few days or weeks during this bullish trend, altcoins can experience significant growth during that short time frame, which we call an alt party. ? On the other hand, if Bitcoin dominance completely changes trend and is bearish for several weeks or months, altcoins will naturally grow much more and will be a better investment option until Bitcoin dominance turns bullish again, which we call an alt season. ? An important note about alt seasons is that Bitcoin's trend during this time must be bullish or range-bound; if Bitcoin is bearish, neither an alt season nor an alt party will occur. So, be sure to first understand the overall market trend using indicators like Total and Total2, and then look for an alt party. Now that we've examined how this index works, let's move on to a technical analysis of the chart. https://www.tradingview.com/x/dhIn2nwE/ ? Monthly Time Frame As you can see in the monthly time frame, Bitcoin dominance had a very long range above the 95% area between 2015-2017, which was because the crypto market was still very small at that time, and many investors thought it was a scam. Thus, if anyone wanted to invest in crypto, they only bought Bitcoin. ✨ But in 2017, during Bitcoin's bull run when it reached the 20k ceiling, altcoins also entered the game, and Bitcoin dominance began to fall, spreading the crypto money among other coins. This downward movement continued down to the 40% area, and after it consolidated around this area, Bitcoin dominance started rising again, correcting the severe downturn it had experienced. ? At the start of the next bull run in late 2020, Bitcoin dominance reached its peak and formed a range between 57.13 and 71.04 until the end of the bull run. After Bitcoin's bull run, in the second leg when the price moved towards the 69k area, Bitcoin dominance broke the 57.13 support and moved down to the 40% support, leading to a major alt season. ? In early 2023, coinciding with the start of Bitcoin's bullish trend from the 16k bottom, Bitcoin dominance broke the 47.80 area, which was the ceiling of its box, and its upward movement restarted. Currently, Bitcoin dominance has also broken the 57.13 area and is near 64%. As long as Bitcoin dominance remains bullish, Bitcoin will still be a better buy, and altcoins will not be able to grow significantly. ? If Bitcoin dominance finally confirms a trend change and turns bearish, if Bitcoin's trend remains bullish, we will witness another major alt season like in 2021. For now, we confirm the change in trend in Bitcoin dominance on the monthly chart by breaking 57.13, and for a better and more accurate analysis, it's better to move on to the weekly time frame. https://www.tradingview.com/x/4ysi2lmB/ ? Weekly Time Frame In the weekly time frame, after breaking the 47.46 area, an ascending trend has formed within an ascending channel, and the price has been in this channel for about two years. ? The next resistance for Bitcoin dominance is 65.59, which it is moving towards, and the main ceiling for Bitcoin dominance is 71.04. If the upward trend continues, more money will enter Bitcoin, and altcoins will not be good investment options. ? For a trend change and a bearish turn in Bitcoin dominance, breaking the 60.50 area is suitable, and if Bitcoin dominance records lower highs and lows below this area, we will confirm the trend change. Breaking the channel will also be one of the most important confirmations. https://www.tradingview.com/x/Q3P7mxDF/ ? Daily Time Frame In the daily time frame, we can analyze the price movement with more detail. ? Currently, the 62.23 area has been broken, and Bitcoin dominance is performing another bullish leg, having reached the channel ceiling. If the channel ceiling breaks, we can expect a move to the 65.59 area. ? For a trend change in this time frame, it's better to wait for the channel to break, but besides the channel, the 62.23 and 60.50 areas are also significant, and breaking them will confirm it. ? Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Possible swing opportunity around 1.80-1.81 area with 1st target at 1.83 and then 1.87-1.88. We'll see.
Bitcoin is likely to continue lower off of the current range to strong support just below the current area. If price does happen to get above the current range--which is possible due to hitting a type of polarity on the bottom, the next resistance indicated should be the immediate target. It should be noted that upon hitting the very strong support, a significant bounce should occur, if not the bottom of this decline. Also, if the current resistance is surpassed, the bottom may also be in, since the weak resistance above may not hold price for long.
Fundamental analysis: A new round of tariff shocks has become a core factor affecting the trend of gold prices. "The rebound in gold reflects the market's growing concerns about tariff threats and the possible reshaping of global trade norms." Technical interpretation: The 4-hour chart shows that gold prices have now formed a clear upward channel, with support and resistance lines connecting lows and highs respectively. Recently, the price came near the MA200 moving average, and at the same time found buying near the key support level of $3015.00. From the MACD indicator, the DIFF line (0.41) and the DEA line (-8.65) have formed a golden cross, and the bar chart has turned red and the volume has increased, suggesting that upward momentum is accumulating. The RSI indicator is at the 60.47 level, close to but not yet in the overbought area, indicating that there is still room for upward movement. The CCI indicator is at 150.94. Although it is in the overbought area, the trend is strong and no obvious top divergence has yet to appear. It is worth noting that the recent price has not fallen below the lower track of the rising channel during the decline, indicating that bulls are still dominant. Operational analysis: The gold price is currently at a key technical position and has just retested the support level near MA55. If it can stand firm at this position, it is expected to retest the resistance level of $3090.00, and further breakthroughs may challenge the previous high of $3167.60. The short-term MACD golden cross signal strengthens the bullish expectations, but if the support of $3015.00 cannot be maintained, it may fall back to $2980.00. The lower track of the rising channel will be the key line of defense for the long-short boundary.
??️?Sector: Industrials – Construction & Machinery When the giants sleep, we prepare. And when they wake, we ride the momentum. Caterpillar has been consolidating, and the recent pullback opens the door for a high-conviction setup. I'm looking to build my position in 3 strategic zones — scaling in with patience, letting the market give me the setup on my terms. ? Entry Plan (Scaling In): ⚙️270 – First nibble as it approaches key structural support ⚙️250 – Historical support level and psychological round number ⚙️215 – Panic zone entry — if it hits here, it's a gift ? ? Profit Targets: 320 – Swing back to resistance; first trim zone 370 – Momentum continuation with strong industrial tailwinds 400 – Full send ? Long-term target if infrastructure demand and global growth trends align ?️ Risk Strategy: Staggered entries allow for cost basis control Adjust position sizing based on entry zone reached ? Why CAT? Caterpillar’s fundamentals remain strong with global infrastructure spending on the rise, and the stock is approaching historical discount levels. This setup is about anticipating the bounce, not chasing it. Plan the trade, trade the plan. ? DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. I'm sharing my personal trade plan for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading involves real risk — respect it.
??? USD/CAD news: ➡️ Crude oil prices dropped to new multi-year lows amid growing fears that sweeping tariffs imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump and the escalating trade war between the U.S. and China could push the global economy into recession, thereby weakening fuel demand. Additionally, the risk of rising trade tensions between the U.S. and Canada, combined with political uncertainty ahead of Canada’s snap election on April 28, weighed on the commodity-linked Loonie and provided upward momentum for the USD/CAD pair. ➡️ Tariffs on U.S. imports into China are set to increase from 34% to 84% starting April 10, according to a translated statement from the Office of the Tariff Commission of the State Council. This move is in retaliation for the latest U.S. tariff hike on Chinese products, which exceeded 100% and took effect at midnight. Personal opinion: ➡️ The USD is being affected by China's tariff retaliation, so in the short term it will cause USD/CAD to decrease ➡️ Analyze based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: ?Price Zone Setup: ?Sell USD/CAD 1.4235 – 1.4245 ❌SL: 1.4285 | ✅TP: 1.4170 – 1.4110 FM wishes you a successful trading day ???