- *Buy Now (Entry Price):* 2908 This is the price at which you are considering entering a trade to buy gold. - *Target (Take Profit):* 2940 This is the price level at which you plan to exit the trade to lock in profits. - *Support Levels:* 2995 and 2990 These are price levels where you expect the price of gold to find support (i.e., a level where buying pressure may increase, preventing the price from falling further). However, there seems to be a discrepancy in the support levels. Typically, support levels are below the entry price, but in your case, the support levels (2995 and 2990) are above the entry price (2908). This could imply that these levels are resistance levels instead of support levels. If you meant *resistance levels*, then: - *Resistance Levels:* 2995 and 2990 These are price levels where you expect the price of gold to face selling pressure, potentially preventing it from rising further. If you meant *support levels*, they should be below the entry price (e.g., 2890, 2885, etc.). Let me know if you need further clarification or assistance with your trading strategy!
Based on the M15 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 32.81, aligning the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 32.24, a pullback support level. The stop loss is set at 33.39, a swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Monday, 13Jan25 there was a significant and well pronounced low followed by bullish price action for that week. 20jan25 the market formed a significant well pronounced high the noted high and lows are our weekly bsl and ssl it seems as though on Monday ,03Feb25 the market delivered price back towards the low of January 13th to tap into some underlying demand; on the 4h time frame there was a bullish order block identified, which is the point of interest. I applied fibs from the swing low of January 13th to the high of January 20th. The market tested the 88.6% fib level on which corresponded with the mean threshold of the p.o.i. This event formed a higher low signifying the markets desire to go higher especially after the change of character between the 13th and the 20th of January * I find it very interesting that 13 minus 20 is 3. Would this help with anticipating what day events in the market will take place
Price made a decent liquidity sweep at the previous high, and successfully broke the structure at the bottom. If we can continue to see price retrace correctively, we have a sell trade opportunity soon.
Mastering Institutional Trading: Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) Observation – Understanding Buying Climax, Stop, and Spring in Market Structure A buying climax (BC) occurs when price surges sharply alongside high trading volume, signaling strong buying activity. However, this aggressive move often exhausts demand, leading to a stop, where price movement either pauses or begins to reverse. At this point, the market assesses whether buyers can sustain the uptrend or if selling pressure will take over. In Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), a classic sequence is: 1. Buying Climax (BC): A sharp move up with high volume. 2. Stop Bar: Price consolidation or minor pullback after the climax. 3. Spring Bar: A downward shakeout followed by a reversal, indicating the presence of renewed buying interest. A spring bar after a stop is a bullish signal, suggesting that previous selling pressure has been absorbed and institutions may be accumulating positions. If confirmed by a strong up bar with high volume, this signals a potential breakout, as it demonstrates that buyers are stepping back into the market. The strength of the bar following the spring is crucial. A wide-range bullish candle with rising volume confirms that buying pressure is resuming, increasing the probability of an uptrend continuation. However, weak volume or failure to clear key resistance levels can indicate a fakeout, leading to further downside. ? XAUMO Institutional Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD) Tokyo Session (Feb 18, 2025) Market Context – Tokyo Session vs. Prior Market Structure ? Current Price: $2,902.98 ? Key Institutional Levels from Yesterday: • Resistance Rejection: $2,906.30 (VSA Liquidity High) • Support Zone: $2,891.67 - $2,888.11 (Institutional Demand Area) • XAUMO 2RC/Black Swan Stop Zones: $2,892.92 (Key Bullish Trigger or Stop Hunt Zone) Tokyo Session Key Observations ✅ Buying Climax (BC) → Strong price rally with high volume. ✅ Stop Bar Formation → Market paused following the aggressive buying. ✅ Spring Bar Emergence → Potential bullish reversal structure forming. ✅ VSA Condition: Neutral → The market is in transition; no clear trend yet. ✅ Volume Change: -10.7% (Slight decline, indicating caution among buyers). ✅ Spread Change: +23.27% (Wide price movements suggest liquidity testing by institutions). ? XAUMO Institutional Breakdown – Understanding Buying Climax & Spring 1️⃣ Buying Climax (BC) – Institutional Aggression & Liquidity Test ? Yesterday, price reached resistance at $2,906.30 and pulled back. ? A sharp rally (BC) on high volume suggested aggressive buying by institutions. ? Liquidity was likely absorbed in the $2,892.92 - $2,891.67 range before the price pushed back up. ? XAUMO Key Takeaways: • A buying climax signals strong demand, but the pause suggests Smart Money is evaluating the next move. • The next confirmation move is crucial—continuation or reversal depends on volume and structure. 2️⃣ Stop Bar – Institutional Liquidity Testing ? After the BC, price stalled and formed a stop bar (consolidation). ? This stop represents either accumulation (buying) or distribution (selling). ? XAUMO Key Takeaways: • Break below $2,892.92 → Indicates deeper liquidity absorption; potential downside continuation. • Holding above $2,891.67 → Suggests institutions are accumulating for a bullish breakout. 3️⃣ Spring Bar – The Institutional Shakeout Before a Move? ? Price dipped towards $2,891.67 before rebounding—forming a spring bar. ? This can be a bullish signal, but confirmation is needed. ? XAUMO Key Takeaways: • If the next candle is a strong up bar with increasing volume → Confirms bullish continuation. • If the price struggles above $2,905+ or volume remains weak → Expect a fakeout and potential dump. ? XAUMO Institutional Trade Plan – Tokyo Session Execution ? Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (Spring Confirmation & Volume Increases) ? Buy XAU/USD @ $2,903.50 - $2,905 ? Stop Loss: $2,892.92 (Institutional Stop Zone) ? Target Levels: 1️⃣ $2,910 2️⃣ $2,916 3️⃣ $2,923 ✅ Probability: 75% ? Why? • The spring bar bounced from liquidity → Possible upside confirmation. • If the next bar shows strength, buyers are stepping in → Expect breakout above $2,906. ? Scenario 2: Bearish Rejection (Failure at $2,905 - $2,906 Again) ? Sell XAU/USD @ $2,905 ? Stop Loss: $2,910 ? Target Levels: 1️⃣ $2,895 2️⃣ $2,892 3️⃣ $2,888 ✅ Probability: 70% ? Why? • If price rejects resistance at $2,906.30, Smart Money is distributing positions. • Volume drop (-10.7%) suggests buyers aren’t fully committed. • Break below $2,892.92 could trigger more sell pressure towards $2,888. ? XAUMO Execution Strategy – Final Institutional Outlook ✅ Next hourly bar confirmation is critical → The spring must be followed by a strong up bar for a bullish breakout. ✅ If price holds $2,892 - $2,891.67, upside potential remains valid. ✅ If price fails at $2,906 and volume weakens, expect another rejection and potential downside move. ? Smart Money moves strategically—wait for confirmation before entering! ? ? XAUMO Institutional Strategy – Simplified for Beginners 1️⃣ Buying Climax (BC): The price surges fast, attracting late buyers, but Smart Money is already planning their next move. 2️⃣ Stop Bar: The price pauses or reverses. This is where institutions test liquidity to see if there’s enough demand for a move higher. 3️⃣ Spring Bar: A small drop that shakes out weak traders before a possible reversal. If confirmed, it means Smart Money is accumulating. ? Next Step? • If buyers come back strong, price breaks higher (bullish). • If volume remains weak, Smart Money sells into the rally, and price drops again (bearish). ? Tip: Don’t rush in! Institutions don’t reveal their moves immediately—wait for confirmation before entering a trade. ?
Short term Elliott Wave in EURUSD suggests rally from 1.13.2025 low is unfolding as a zigzag structure. Up from 1.13.2025 low, wave A ended at 1.0533 and pullback in wave B ended at 1.021. Wave C higher is in progress with internal subdivision as a 5 waves. Up from wave B, wave (i) ended at 1.035 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 1.0269. Wave (iii) higher ended at 1.043 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 1.0399. Wave (v) higher ended at 1.0442 which completed wave ((i)) in higher degree. Pullback in wave ((ii)) unfolded as a zigzag structure. Down from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 1.035 and wave (b) rally ended at 1.041. Wave (c) lower ended at 1.0278 which completed wave ((ii)) in higher degree. Pair has resumed higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 1.0385 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 1.031. Wave (iii) higher ended at 1.0514. Expect dips in wave (iv) to correct cycle from 2.12.2025 low before it resumes higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 1.0204 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for further upside.
EUR/USD has ended its upward momentum and is now adjusting to a short-term bearish trend. The pair is currently trading within a descending channel, moving around 1.0460, with sellers holding an advantage as indicated by EMA 34 and 89 signals. My strategy will be to focus on key channel boundaries to determine appropriate buy or sell opportunities. If the channel breaks, we will wait for a breakout retest before entering new trades. ? What are your thoughts on EUR/USD? Are you expecting further downside?
Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 2914.99, aligning with a pullback resistance level and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 2885.34, a pullback support level. The stop loss is set at 2942.44, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Flat opening expected in banknifty. After opening banknifty will trade in between the zone of 49050-49450 level. Any major upside rally expected above the 49550 resistance level. Similarly strong downside expected below 48950. For today's session 49050 will act as a major downside support level for banknifty.
? Intraday Key Levels & Market Outlook ? ? Current Market Price (CMP): 22,963.50 ? Bullish Above (Resistance Levels): ? 23,037.40 – Key resistance zone, potential rejection area. ? 23,127.90 - 23,180.60 – Major resistance, break above could trigger strong bullish momentum. ? 23,311.70 - 23,322.65 – Critical supply zone, major breakout level.(IT' PNEED TO TOUCH BUT MAY BE NOT TODAY) ? Bearish Below (Support Levels): ? 22,835.90 - 22,816.60 (Key Yellow Zone) – This acts as a bullish/bearish pivot: Above this, buyers may dominate. Below this, sellers could take control. ? 22,665.90 - 22,624.80 – Demand zone, possible bullish bounce. ? 22,550.00 (New Support) – Additional key level, could act as strong support if price drops further. ? Trading Plan: ? Above 22,835.90 – Bullish bias; look for buying setups. ? Below 22,816.60 – Bearish bias; look for shorting opportunities. ? Breakout traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades. #Trading #StockMarket #Intraday #PriceAction #TradingView