NASDAQ NAS100 (4H Chart) Analysis ?? The NASDAQ NAS100 is showing strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart. The chart suggests a continuation of the uptrend, with a potential move toward the 21,013.0 target. ? Key Levels to Watch ? Support Levels: 19,750.9: Near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, this level has seen strong buying interest. 19,405.8: The 100% Fibonacci retracement, marking the swing low and a critical support zone. Resistance Levels: 20,209.4: The 0% Fibonacci retracement, acting as immediate resistance. 20,611.2: The 50% Fibonacci extension, a key target for bullish continuation. 21,013.0: The 100% Fibonacci extension, representing the ultimate bullish target in this trend. Volume Profile Insights ? The Volume Profile shows heavy trading activity between 19,800–20,000, confirming strong support in this range. Above 20,200, trading volume thins out, suggesting that a breakout could lead to a quick rally toward 21,000. Momentum and Indicators ⚡ Trend: The index is in a clear uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows since the recent swing low. Fibonacci Confluence: The alignment of the 50% retracement and Volume Profile support strengthens the bullish outlook. Curved Arrow Projection: A pullback to the 19,800–19,750 zone is likely before the next leg higher toward 21,013.0. Social Media Sentiment ? Twitter: Analysts are optimistic, citing strong tech sector performance and easing interest rate fears. Many traders are eyeing the 21,000 level as the next milestone. Reddit: Discussions emphasize the importance of the 19,800 support zone, warning that a break below this level could invalidate the bullish setup. Conclusion ? The NASDAQ NAS100 is set for a bullish continuation, with key support at 19,750–19,800 and resistance at 20,209.4 and 21,013.0. Watch for a potential pullback to the 50% Fibonacci retracement before the next upward move. A break below 19,750 could signal a shift in momentum, while a breakout above 20,209.4 would confirm the bullish trend. ? Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a professional before trading. ?
CRYPTOCAP:BTC 4H (locally) Overnight again drained "out of nowhere", as it has become a tradition of the last month. An ascending wedge is forming on 4H - a shorting pattern, confirmed by a breakdown of the lower boundary. However, this has been done many times before, and there was a deception: the market makes a shorting moove and sharply turns around. They can repeat the same scenario or just knock out stops and fly upwards. Obvious figure = obvious stops, and above is a cluster of shorts.
? After a brutal 55% sell-off, Tesla bounces sharply—but reputational damage, six-quarter earnings misses, and resistance at $284 may limit the upside. ? Tesla Bounces After 55% Decline, But Can It Last? Tesla shares have staged an impressive 17% rebound over the past two sessions, closing near $282 after briefly dipping below long-term support at $221—a level identified in previous technical analysis. The rally follows a brutal 55% drawdown over two months, driven by fundamental concerns and investor disillusionment with Tesla's leadership and financial trajectory. While the bounce has sparked hopes of a full recovery, many investors are asking: Is this rally sustainable, or simply a technical reaction to an oversold market? ? What's Behind the Decline? Sales, Sentiment, and Musk Tesla Inc. was once the undisputed leader of the electric vehicle movement—praised for innovation, margins, and cult-like investor loyalty. However, that sentiment has deteriorated rapidly, driven by a combination of brand erosion, global consumer backlash, and CEO Elon Musk's growing political entanglements. Recent data shows Tesla vehicle sales in the European Union dropped for the second consecutive month in February, despite increased overall EV adoption among rival automakers. This suggests that brand damage is not just a PR issue—it's hitting demand directly. The drop coincides with widespread boycotts and protests against Tesla vehicles across regions like Germany, France, and the Netherlands, where public trust in Musk's leadership has sharply declined. Elon Musk's involvement in U.S. government affairs—ranging from infrastructure to national security—has further blurred the line between corporate leadership and personal politics. While his goals align with long-term technological influence, his increasingly controversial social presence and political commentary have invited scrutiny from both investors and customers alike. ? Fundamentals Still Struggling: Six Quarters of Mixed Results Adding to investor anxiety is Tesla's shaky earnings record. Over the past six quarters, the company has missed revenue expectations in five, with growing signs of delivery pressure and margin compression. QuarterReported RevenueEstimateSurprise (%) Sep 2023 $23.35B $24.19B –3.46% Dec 2023 $25.17B $25.60B –1.67% Mar 2024 $21.30B $22.22B –4.14% Jun 2024 $25.50B $24.52B +3.99% Sep 2024 $25.18B $25.47B –1.12% Dec 2024 $25.71B $27.26B –5.69% The most recent miss—a $1.55B revenue gap in Q4 2024—was the largest in over a year, reinforcing fears that Tesla's dominance in the EV market is eroding faster than expected. ? Technical Outlook: Bounce or Bull Trap? Tesla's rally is now facing a critical test. After bouncing from $221, the stock surged through a long-term resistance zone between $244–$263, flipping that region into support. The breakout was accompanied by a notable increase in trading volume, a bullish sign for short-term momentum. However, several key resistance levels lie directly ahead: $275.70 – Initial resistance zone; currently being tested $284.00 – Next level tied to a major supply area $306.00 and $325.00 – Historical congestion zones $356.00 and $387.00 – Longer-term recovery targets if momentum continues If Tesla fails to break and hold above $284, it could fall back into the previous range. The $263–$244 support zone will be critical in cushioning any pullback. A loss of this support could open the door to a retest of $221 or lower. ↺ Scenarios to Watch: Rebound or Reversal? ? Bearish Scenario: Price fails to hold above $275.70 Pullback toward $263, then $244 Breakdown below $244 could retest $221 and resume a broader downtrend ? Bullish Scenario: A clean break above $284 with volume Continuation toward $306 → $325 Sustained momentum opens the path to $356 and $387 ⚠️ Final Thoughts: Brand Damage vs. Technical Rebound Tesla's rebound is undeniably impressive—but investors should remain cautious. While technicals suggest a short-term recovery is underway, the underlying fundamentals and sentiment remain damaged. Unless Tesla can stabilize earnings, rebuild global brand trust, and separate leadership from political theatrics, this bounce may prove to be temporary relief rather than a long-term trend reversal. The $284 resistance zone is now the key battleground. A failure to break above may confirm that Tesla's best days are still behind it—for now.
The Japanese yen remained weak around 150.7 per dollar on Tuesday, near a three-week low, as the U.S. dollar gained strength. Trump's plan to impose tariffs on autos, pharmaceuticals, and other sectors raised concerns for Japan’s export-driven economy. BOJ minutes from January showed officials remain open to future rate hikes depending on wage and inflation trends, with one member suggesting a possible increase to 1% in late fiscal 2025. Still, the BOJ kept rates steady at 0.5% last week, maintaining a cautious stance with global tensions. Key resistance is at 151.70, with further levels at 152.70 and 154.00. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
Hello Guys Here Is Chart Of XAUUSD in 1-H AT Entry: When Gold Break Resistance Level Strong Support zone : 3001 / 2998 Target Will Be : 3045 OANDA:XAUUSD Going to Break Resistance Level And It went to Uptrend,
OANDA:XAUUSD - The corrective pullback to $3,000 indicates wave ((v)) is now underway. Minimum expectations require a breach of the previous high and an ideal advance towards/near the 3100 handle.
Comprehensive Analysis of CHF/USD 4-Hour Chart The CHF/USD 4-hour chart presents a technical trading setup based on a Double Bottom reversal pattern, combined with trendline support and key resistance levels. This pattern suggests a potential bullish breakout if key resistance is cleared. Below is a professional breakdown of the chart, covering the market structure, pattern formation, and a strategic trading setup. 1️⃣ Market Structure & Trend Analysis The overall market structure suggests that CHF/USD has been in an uptrend, as indicated by the ascending trendline that has consistently provided support. The price has recently tested a key support zone twice, forming the Double Bottom pattern, which is known for signaling a trend reversal or continuation of an uptrend. The dashed trendline connecting higher lows confirms the bullish momentum. As long as the price stays above this trendline support, the bullish bias remains valid. A break below the trendline would indicate a possible reversal or a deeper retracement. The most critical observation here is that the price is respecting both the trendline and horizontal support zone, which increases the likelihood of a breakout in the upward direction. 2️⃣ Double Bottom Pattern Formation The Double Bottom pattern is clearly formed at a strong demand zone, reinforcing the idea that buyers are stepping in to prevent further declines. The first bottom was formed after a rejection from the 1.1250 - 1.1290 support zone. The price then attempted to recover but faced resistance at 1.1350 - 1.1400, which now acts as the neckline of the pattern. The second bottom was formed at approximately the same price level as the first, confirming the validity of the pattern. A Double Bottom pattern is considered bullish, but confirmation is required through a breakout above the neckline resistance (1.1350 - 1.1400). If the price successfully breaks this level, it will indicate that buyers have regained control and the price is likely to move higher. 3️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Levels In this setup, there are three crucial price zones: support, resistance, and the target area. The support zone, located around 1.1250 - 1.1290, is where buyers stepped in to push the price higher. This level is crucial because it provided strong demand during the formation of the Double Bottom. The resistance level at 1.1350 - 1.1400 serves as the neckline of the pattern. A breakout above this level would confirm the bullish trend continuation, while rejection could lead to another retest of support. The target area is projected around 1.1500 - 1.1550, based on the measured move of the Double Bottom formation. This is the price level where traders may start taking profits if the bullish breakout occurs. 4️⃣ Trade Execution Plan To take advantage of this potential setup, traders should focus on three key aspects: entry, stop-loss placement, and take-profit levels. Entry Strategy Aggressive traders can enter a long position above 1.1350, anticipating an immediate breakout. Conservative traders may wait for a break and retest of the 1.1350 - 1.1400 zone, which would act as a confirmation for a sustained bullish move. Stop-Loss Placement A logical stop-loss should be set below 1.1138, which is beneath the Double Bottom formation and trendline support. If the price drops below this level, it would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a potential trend reversal. Profit Targets The first target zone lies around 1.1450 - 1.1500, where traders may consider securing partial profits. The extended target zone is 1.1550, which aligns with the expected measured move of the Double Bottom pattern. 5️⃣ Risk Management & Final Considerations Since this setup is based on a strong trendline support and bullish pattern, risk management is essential to protect against fake breakouts or sudden trend reversals. Traders should monitor price action near the 1.1350 - 1.1400 resistance zone. A strong bullish candle closing above this area increases the likelihood of a successful breakout. If the price fails to break out and starts moving lower, it may indicate that sellers are still in control, which could lead to a deeper correction toward 1.1200 or lower. 6️⃣ Summary & TradingView Idea This CHF/USD 4-hour chart presents a high-probability bullish setup based on a Double Bottom reversal at a strong support zone. The key confirmation level to watch is 1.1350 - 1.1400, which, if broken, will likely push the price toward 1.1500 - 1.1550. Entry: Buy above 1.1350 or after a breakout retest. Stop Loss: Below 1.1138 to avoid false breakouts. Take Profit: First target at 1.1450 - 1.1500, extended target at 1.1550. This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it a strong potential trading opportunity. However, traders should always wait for confirmation signals before entering a position. ?
CAD JPY Trade Setup 1 hour timeframe Following last week's trade setup CAD JPY is moving in an uptrend making Higher Highs and Higher Lows, so we will keep looking for Buying opportunities. CAD JPY is forming a bullish break and retest continuation pattern that also align with the 0.618-0.50 Fib Retracement level. Lets wait for the price to pull back to the retest level then enter base off candlestick confirmation
BTC trend is changing,seems temporarily (Until April2nd 2025) it is builidng a support. Intrady apporaches: CONSERVATIVE and aggressive I cover the stops of others intraday,also profit targets and sell positions of midterm bears,to re-enter long .Simple. The hiigh volatility guarantees fast moves,but also imbalances,and I take them as my advantage. Your stop should be individual,because stop means to everybody something different.Some use levels,some use %-risk of account balance or initial balance.
??? EUR/USD news: ?The EUR/USD pair continues to extend its decline from its recent yearly high, starting the week on a negative note. It has fallen below the 1.0800 support level, reaching a new three-week low near 1.0780, an area that also coincides with the temporary 100-day SMA. This correction comes as the US Dollar (USD) regains momentum, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) strengthening further above the 104.00 mark, as investors closely monitor the latest developments regarding tariffs. Personal analysis: ?EUR/USD will maintain its short-term decline and await further news on US tariffs and Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks. ?The market is stable as there is little information affecting the pair today. ?Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: ?Price Zone Setup: ?Sell EUR/USd 1.0790- 1.0800 ❌SL: 1.0830 | ✅TP: 1.0750 – 1.0720 FM wishes you a successful trading day ???