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$ADBE deteriorating MOAT ; Still Expensive; PT < $350

- NASDAQ:ADBE is one of the blue chip company of the last decade. - However, Chicken has come to roost. - Core products of NASDAQ:ADBE like acrobat are useless. One can use ChatGPT or any AI tool to parse and get the information. Google Doc for creating a PDF - Adobe designer tool might still be used but AI tools are taking over which provides done for you. Apart from that Canva & Figma are way better and easier to use NASDAQ:ADBE - NASDAQ:ADBE products are hard to use and have huge learning curve. On top of that, NASDAQ:ADBE engages in shady subscription practices where it doesn't let user cancel subscription and ask people to go through customer support potentially delaying cancellation to bill users. - NASDAQ:ADBE despite having huge datasets of images isn't able to launch a good AI model. Firefly by Adobe is Joke and not good enough. Fundamentally, it is still trading at a premium. Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 EPS | 20.39 | 23.01 | 25.56 | 27.02 EPS % growth | 11.61% | 12.82% | 11.11% | 5.72% Base Case ( Lenient ): Ideally, for a blue chip company with a MOAT growing EPS at 11-15% ; Failr forward P/E should be 20. For them, who are willing to pay forward p/e of 20 Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 Stock price (F. p/e = 20) | 407 | 460 | 500 | 540 Base Case ( conservative ): However, I believe NASDAQ:ADBE MOAT has been severely challenged and should doesn't command a premium multiple. Therefore, according to me, fair forward p/e should be 15 Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 Stock price (F. p/e=15) | 305 | 345 | 383 | 405 Extreme Bear Case : If we account for recession, We could see further compression in forward p/e ~ 10. Extreme bear case, where they miss EPS or revenue or both and guide lower. Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 Stock price (F. p/e=10) | 200 | 230 | 255 | 270 Bull Case ( F. p/e = 25 ) Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 Stock price (F. p/e=25) | 509 | 575 | 639 | 675

Exit Tight Trading Range on Exxon. XOM

Tight trading ranges are always tough, as they cause indicators to constantly throw off false signals. There is no way to know which signals will be false. Taking a chance on this one nonetheless. Three soldier candlestick pattern that breaks MIDAS curve and crossings on VZO+offset and Ehlers StochRSI. BB%PCT also crossed zero line. vWAP/US duo in alignment and supportive. It is uncommon to see all the stars lineup like that.

EURUSD in Uptrend Continuation

Similar to the EURUSD we see that in the coming days DXY should be stronger and the trend to continue from the 0.5 FIB retracement. Buy Limit Entry Price 1.070 Stop Loss 1.062 TP 1.094 Lot Size 0.31 Risk 1%

USNAS100: Bearish Momentum Holds, Watching 19,580 for Retest

USNAS100 Analysis – March 11, 2025 Technical Outlook: As mentioned in our Nasdaq analysis yesterday, the price dropped about 700 Points. Bearish momentum remains strong, as the price has already stabilized within bearish volume. However, there is a possibility of a retest, especially if the 1H candle closes above 19,580, which could lead to a move toward 19,730. If rejection occurs, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 19,250 and 18,895. Key Levels: Resistance: 19,735 | 19,915 | 20,110 Pivot Zone: 19,580 Support: 19,250 | 18,895 | 18,700

USDCAD SHORT we have a lot of confirmation

USDCAD, Daily timeframe is short, and weekly same. Moreover the price hit the 60% fibbonacci level on daily and rejected from that level. I expect the price to get down from the 2 hour orderblock on 1.4482. https://www.tradingview.com/x/5EzJzvxa/

SHIBUSDT major daily support zones ahead

As we can see price is now near two major daily supports and each can pump the price at least to the first target which is 0.000025$. one support is near 0.000010$ and the major one is 0.000005$ which is last support zone also and we can expect now range for a while here or pump to the targets from these supports. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))

XAUUSD Short H4 Update

Remember, successful trading relies on proper risk management and a disciplined approach. Use stop-losses to safeguard your assets and carefully plan each trade. Analysis is the key to making informed decisions. Stay updated and continue refining your strategies!

USDCAD Short H4 Update

Remember, successful trading relies on proper risk management and a disciplined approach. Use stop-losses to safeguard your assets and carefully plan each trade. Analysis is the key to making informed decisions. Stay updated and continue refining your strategies!

NZDUSD Neutral H4 Update

Remember, successful trading relies on proper risk management and a disciplined approach. Use stop-losses to safeguard your assets and carefully plan each trade. Analysis is the key to making informed decisions. Stay updated and continue refining your strategies!

NEW TRADE ON CELESTIA

new trade on celestia as described on the chart : dyor happy trading for you all