This forecast is for the week of DEC 16 - 20th. The SP500 & NAS100 are bullish and buys are the order for the week. The DOW Jones is weeker, sliding down as the USD climbs. Be careful here, as the DOW tends to travel it's own path at times. FOMC is Wednesday. Stay vigilant and disciplined this week! Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
I'm waiting for a pullback and continuation to the downside.
Here, the main supports and resistances are specified, and according to the movement of this currency, we can get an entry trigger and use it by breaking these limits. "I will be happy if you boost my idea"
? ?Mon Dec 16 ⏰9:45am Flash Manufacturing PMI ?Tue Dec 17 ⏰8:30am Retail Sales m/m ?Wed Dec 18 ⏰2:00pm FOMC Statement ?Thu Dec 19 ⏰8:30am Final GDP q/q Unemployment Claims ?Fri Dec 20 ⏰8:30am Core PCE Price Index m/m #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
Daily Timeframe Analysis (Longer View) 1. Trend: * AAPL is in a strong uptrend, respecting the rising wedge pattern and trading near resistance. * Price is consolidating at $248–$250, a critical level for direction. 2. Key Levels: * Resistance: $250.80 (recent high). Breaking above could trigger continuation toward $255. * Support: $240 (previous consolidation zone) and $235 as a lower support. 3. Indicators: * EMA 9/21: Price is above both EMAs, signaling continued bullish momentum. * MACD: Flattening, showing weakening momentum, which could lead to a pullback. * Volume: Relatively steady but not showing strong buying pressure. https://www.tradingview.com/x/OFCoHull/ Daily Outlook: * If AAPL holds above $248, it can test $250.80–$255. * Failure to hold could lead to a retest of $240 as support. 1-Hour Timeframe Analysis (Shorter View) 1. Trend: * Price is consolidating in a descending triangle, with lower highs and stable support near $246. * The short-term trend is neutral to slightly bearish, awaiting a breakout or breakdown. 2. Key Levels: * Resistance: $250.80 (upper trendline). * Support: $245.68 (lower trendline). * If $245 breaks, the next level is $241.25 (recent low). 3. Indicators: * MACD: Bullish crossover forming, suggesting a short-term upside move. * Volume: Increased red volume shows bears are still active, but buyers are stepping in. 1-Hour Outlook: * Watch for a breakout above $250 for bullish continuation. * A breakdown below $245.68 could trigger further downside toward $242. Direction and Strategy For Tomorrow (Scalping): * Look for a breakout above $248–$250 to scalp toward $252–$255. * Short if AAPL rejects resistance at $250 and breaks $246, targeting $243–$245. For Next Week (Swing Trading): * Bullish Setup: If AAPL breaks $250.80 with volume, it could rally to $255+. * Bearish Setup: If it fails to hold $245, look for downside toward $240–$235. Summary * Short-term Bias: Neutral to slightly bullish; watch for a breakout or breakdown. * Key Zones: $250 resistance and $245 support. * Swing Direction: Needs confirmation above $250 for bullish continuation; failure risks pullback to $240. ----------------------------- GEX Analysis For Option Trading ----------------------------- https://www.tradingview.com/x/3az2Vth3/ Key Observations from GEX Levels: 1. CALL Walls (Resistance): * 247.6: The highest positive GEX level, acting as key resistance. This is where upward momentum could slow down or reverse. * 252.5–255: Additional strong resistance zones, aligning with the 2nd and 3rd CALL Walls. 2. PUT Walls (Support): * 237.5: The strongest PUT wall and likely the first support level where price could stabilize. * 225: The 2nd PUT wall—this acts as a deep downside support level. 3. Gamma Sentiment: * Neutral to Bearish Bias: Gamma exposure shows a balance, with a slight tilt towards the downside due to the PUT wall activity. * Elevated resistance at 247.6 suggests CALL buyers may cap price movement. 4. IVR and Options Oscillator: * IVR: 11% indicates low implied volatility, making options relatively cheap for directional plays. * CALL Positioning: At 17.1%, call positioning is weak, signaling limited bullish momentum. Technical Analysis for Options Trading (Using GEX): 1. Bearish Option Trade Setup: * Entry: Look for rejection at 247.6 (CALL wall resistance) or a failed breakout above 252.5. * Target: First target near the 237.5 PUT support, with an extended target at 225. * Option Strategy: * Buy PUT options (near-the-money strikes) with 30–45 days to expiration to allow time for the trade to play out. * Alternatively, use a Bear Put Spread (e.g., buy 245 PUT, sell 235 PUT) to reduce cost. 2. Bullish Option Trade Setup (Short-Term): * Entry: If price consolidates above 247.6 with volume confirmation, look for a push toward 252.5. * Target: CALL wall at 252.5, with stop-loss below 247. * Option Strategy: * Buy CALL options with short expiration (0DTE or 1-week out) to capitalize on quick moves. * Use a Bull Call Spread (e.g., buy 247 CALL, sell 252 CALL) for a cost-effective approach. Conclusion & Directional Bias: * Bearish Outlook: Price is struggling near the 247.6 CALL wall, and low IVR suggests options are cheap for PUT strategies. * Key Levels to Watch: * Resistance: 247.6 and 252.5 * Support: 237.5 and 225 For options trading, focus on PUT options if rejection occurs at resistance or CALL spreads if bullish confirmation is seen above key levels. ? Short Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Macro trendline is bullish. Alert placed around 1.99 for a short to 1.97 (200pips). Id like to see a internal liquidity sweep inside the 4H FVG and well inside the premium zone. Target would be 50% fib level and weekly support at 1.97. A break of this zone could see a deeper move to grab Liquidity at 1.95. News this week will determine the size of the move.. GBP news - unemployment rate - PPI - inflation rate - interest rate decision - retail sales (less important) This is an idea only, do your own research. Happy trading
This here is a variation of my last but just on the daily instead and another wishful thinking price scenario guess for the altcoins from here. Came up with this scenario guess by using an amalgamation of different ta principles i picked up here and there like described on last chart mixed with a little bit of just intuition guessing, moon cycle theories, and real world time events. Could be totally wrong, not an expert, just throwing my guess based on my level of knowledge, just in case it turns out to be spot on.
? Weekly Analysis of Crude Oil (USOIL) Based on the SMB Strategy In this analysis, key levels, potential market reactions, and trading opportunities are examined based on price action and the SMB strategy principles. ? Key Levels Identification (Support and Resistance): Major Resistance: The 72.000 level is considered a significant resistance. A potential bearish reaction to this level is expected. If this level is broken with strong momentum, prices may advance toward 74.000 and 75.000. Major Support: The 70.000 level is identified as a psychological and key market support. A bullish reaction at this level may provide buying opportunities. A breakdown of this support could push prices toward 68.000. ? Price Action Analysis (Based on Market Behavior): Current Trend: The short-term trend is bullish, but the market is at a decision point near the 72.000 resistance. Bullish Scenario: If the 72.000 resistance is broken with a strong bullish candle and high volume, prices are likely to continue higher toward 74.000 and 75.000. This move could occur due to the stop-losses of retail sellers being hit and institutional players joining the trend. Bearish Scenario: If a bearish reversal candle forms at the 72.000 resistance, the price may move toward the 70.000 support. A break below the 70.000 support could lead to further downside toward 68.000. ? Proposed Trade Signals Based on SMB Strategy: Buying Opportunity on Breakout of 72.000 Resistance: Entry Confirmation: A strong breakout above the 72.000 level with a bullish candle and high volume. Stop Loss: 71.500 (below the breakout level). Targets: Target 1: 74.000 Target 2: 75.000 Selling Opportunity on Rejection at 72.000 Resistance: Entry Confirmation: Formation of a bearish reversal candle at the 72.000 level. Stop Loss: 72.500 (above the resistance level). Targets: Target 1: 70.000 Target 2: 68.000 Buying Opportunity at 70.000 Support: Entry Confirmation: A strong bullish reaction at the 70.000 support with a valid bullish candle formation. Stop Loss: 69.500 (below the support level). Targets: Target 1: 72.000 Target 2: 74.000 ? SMB Summary and Recommendations: Closely monitor market behavior at the key levels (72.000 and 70.000). Wait for price action confirmations (such as strong candles and high volume) in breakouts or reversals. Use tight stop-losses and aim for large profits by aligning with institutional market players.
as you see COQ INU forms a good pattern wait the breakout and buy
Analyzing the CRYPTOCAP:BTC coin chart on the 4-hour timeframe: - **Symmetrical Triangle**: A well-structured symmetrical triangle is visible, with equal angles on both sides, indicating potential for an imminent breakout. The price is currently below the upper resistance line, suggesting a possible upward movement soon. A target around $113k has been discussed based on the pole of this pattern. - **Bullish Divergence**: There have been instances of bullish divergence with RSI on the 4-hour chart, particularly noted in May and July 2024, where the RSI was not confirming the price lows, suggesting underlying strength. - **Bearish Divergence**: Conversely, bearish divergences have also been observed, especially when the RSI was overbought, indicating potential short-term pullbacks or corrections. This was notably seen in November 2024, signaling a possible reset before further upward moves. - **Resistance and Support Levels**: - **Resistance**: Key resistance levels were noted around the psychological barrier of $100,000, with movements above this level suggesting strong bullish momentum. - **Support**: The price has found support at various levels, with significant attention being paid to where the 50 EMA and other moving averages lie, particularly after the price drops. - **Trendline Analysis**: The 4-hour chart often shows Bitcoin testing its trendlines, both as support and resistance. A bullish move is often confirmed when the price breaks and holds above these trendlines. - **Volume and Market Sentiment**: There's been discussion about distribution and HODL-ing behavior, with the Long/Short-Term Holder Supply Ratio dropping, suggesting less long-term holding and potentially more active trading or distribution. - **Price Targets**: Based on various analyses, especially around breakout scenarios from patterns like the symmetrical triangle, targets have been suggested around $113k, with some posts on X indicating this could be reached quickly in a lower timeframe setting. - **Current Sentiment**: The sentiment from X posts shows a mix of optimism for continued upward trends with cautions for potential corrections. The recent activity around $100,000 has sparked discussions on whether Bitcoin will continue its bullish run or face a significant correction. In summary, the 4-hour chart for CRYPTOCAP:BTC shows a battle between bullish and bearish forces, with technical patterns like symmetrical triangles indicating potential for significant price moves. The emphasis on divergences, especially with RSI, gives clues on momentum, while the community on X watches for breakouts from key levels to confirm trend directions. Always consider that crypto markets can be influenced by broader market sentiment, macroeconomic news, and regulatory changes, which can alter technical predictions.