Market Context: LINK has retraced into a key support area, presenting a solid risk-to-reward opportunity for a potential move higher. Trade Details: Entry Zone: $14.50 - $15.50 Take Profit Targets: $17.20 $19.50 - $21.50 $27.00 - $30.00 Stop Loss: Just below $13 This setup anticipates buyers stepping in at support, with the potential for upside continuation if momentum builds. ?
EUR/JPY – 4H Chart Analysis (Feb 27, 2025) 1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis The chart shows that EUR/JPY has broken out of a descending channel, indicating a potential bullish reversal. A higher low formation could confirm the beginning of an uptrend. The key resistance level to watch is 159.87, where the price could face selling pressure. 2. RSI & Momentum Analysis RSI is currently at 51.89, signaling that momentum is shifting towards the bulls. The previous downtrend showed oversold conditions, and now RSI is starting to rise, confirming a potential bullish move. 3. Key Levels to Watch Support: 156.38 (Breakout retest zone; price must stay above this to remain bullish) 155.50 - 156.00 (Demand zone; if lost, downtrend may resume) Resistance: 159.87 (Major resistance; could act as a take-profit zone for longs) 162.00 (Next resistance if the uptrend gains strength) 4. Potential Trade Scenarios ? Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability) If price holds above 156.38 and continues its breakout move, a rally towards 159.87 is likely. Long Setup: Entry: Around 156.50 - 157.00 Stop-loss: Below 156.00 Target: 159.87 ? Bearish Scenario (Low Probability) If price fails to hold above 156.38, a drop back into the channel could happen. A rejection at 159.87 could also trigger a retracement. 5. Conclusion & Strategy Short-term bias: Bullish, targeting 159.87 if support at 156.38 holds. Trade idea: Look for a pullback entry near support and ride the breakout move. Risk management: Keep a tight stop below 156.00 to avoid false breakouts.
the pair is in downtrend & made beaish flag pattern. Entry can e taken at CMP
Hey there on 4HTF BTCUSD looking for Continue sell zone from these 89k point We can see after few days it has going downside continue And also now breaks there support and resistance So now we can see possibly continue sell zone and our target is for long 71k
Get Reaction from Imbalance Zone Broke the support and because of news, it dumped.
Economic Factors Influencing USD/JPY: Monetary Policy Divergence: The Federal Reserve has maintained a relatively hawkish stance, while the Bank of Japan (BOJ) continues its accommodative policies. In December 2024, the BOJ kept interest rates steady at 0.25%, despite internal discussions about potential hikes. REUTERS This policy divergence often leads to a stronger USD against the JPY. Inflation and Economic Data: Japan has recently achieved its 2% inflation target, ending a prolonged deflationary period. However, the yen has weakened significantly, reaching a 37.5-year low of 161 JPY/USD in July 2024. WIKIPEDIA This devaluation impacts trade balances and investor sentiment. Global Risk Sentiment: The yen traditionally serves as a safe-haven currency. Shifts in global risk appetite, influenced by geopolitical events or economic uncertainties, can lead to yen appreciation during risk-off periods. Technical Analysis: The USD/JPY pair has been on a downward trajectory, forming lower lows. Analysts suggest that if the price rises above 150.89, it could signal a trend reversal to the upside. Conversely, a decline below 141.68 may indicate further bearish momentum. CFI TRADING Investment Considerations: Interest Rate Expectations: Monitor announcements from both the Federal Reserve and the BOJ. Changes in interest rate policies can significantly impact the USD/JPY exchange rate. Economic Indicators: Keep an eye on GDP growth, employment figures, and inflation data from both economies, as these metrics provide insights into economic health and potential currency movements. Risk Management: Given the yen's role as a safe-haven asset, global economic or political turmoil can lead to rapid currency fluctuations. Implementing appropriate risk management strategies is essential when trading this pair. In summary, the USD/JPY exchange rate is influenced by a complex interplay of monetary policies, economic indicators, and global risk sentiment. Staying informed about these factors and conducting thorough technical analysis can aid in making informed trading decisions.
Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 30-minute timeframe and is in its descending channel. An upward correction of gold towards the supply limits will provide us with the next selling position with a good risk-reward ratio. An economist believes that the massive influx of gold and silver into the United States, coupled with speculation about the liquidity of the country’s gold reserves, could have profound effects on American consumers as well as the domestic and global economy. Thorsten Pollitt, professor emeritus of economics at the University of Bayreuth and publisher of the BOOM & BUST report, told Kitco News that the increase in physical gold and silver inflows into the US is not surprising, as banks are increasing their reserves to counter potential risks associated with tariffs. He stressed that while the likelihood of tariffs on gold and silver is low, the risk is significant enough for banks and investors to take a precautionary approach. Looking at the long-term implications of this, Pollitt explained that the increase in US gold and silver reserves, coupled with the government’s renewed focus on its reserves, could lead to expectations that both precious metals would be used as currency alongside the US dollar. He added that using gold and silver as hard currency alongside the dollar could help reduce the problem of inflation, which has become a major challenge for the economy. However, he stressed that for such a scenario to happen, the price of gold and silver would have to reach a much higher level to be commensurate with the size of the US economy. (Hard currency refers to a form of currency that is globally accepted and retains its value due to its stability and reliability.) Pollitt went on to explain that the significant increase in US government debt has put not only the Federal Reserve, but the entire fiat-based monetary system at risk. “In the future, the Federal Reserve will no longer be able to maintain the same flexibility that it has in the past,” he said. For example, in times of financial crises, the Fed would usually support the economy by injecting liquidity into it. But now, doing so could trigger a wave of hyperinflation. We now know that the Fed can no longer simply be the savior of the economy as it used to be.” He also warned that the Fed’s policies have led to the market not pricing in risks properly. For example, yields on risky corporate bonds are significantly below their historical average. Currently, the yield spread between B-rated corporate bonds and U.S. Treasury bonds is 1.45 percent, its lowest level since mid-1979. Warren Buffett, one of the most influential figures in the investment world, has made his concerns clear. In his annual letter to shareholders, the 94-year-old has a stark message for policymakers in Washington: financial turmoil and monetary instability pose a serious threat to the U.S. economy. The warning comes as his conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway has delivered a record-breaking profit and a record $334.2 billion in cash. But Buffett is treading carefully as investment opportunities appear to be shrinking and is preparing to hand over the reins to his appointed successor, Greg Abel. In the letter, Buffett expressed concern about the growing U.S. budget deficit and warned of a possible extension of tax cuts that began under Trump. He emphasizes that “irresponsible fiscal policies can destroy the value of paper money” and emphasizes the importance of sound public financial management. According to him, the stability of the US economy depends on a strong dollar, and any mistake in monetary policy can have irreparable consequences. With the rapidly growing budget deficit and increasing discussions about extending the Trump-era tax cuts, Buffett warns that the value of the dollar may weaken. He calls on Washington policymakers to maintain a stable economic framework and support the vulnerable: “Support people who have been unfortunate in life through no fault of their own. They deserve a better life.” Warren Buffett reminds us of one of the fundamental principles of investing: “In times of uncertainty, caution and responsible management are more important than ever.” His warning about the growth of the US public debt and the depreciation of the dollar may come true if current trends continue. Moreover, his focus on investing in Japan and preparing for his successor is a key step for the future of Berkshire Hathaway, a company that must find its way without him in a world of increasing economic instability.
Gold (XAU/USD) – 1H Chart Analysis (Feb 27, 2025) 1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis Gold has been trading inside an ascending channel, but recently, price broke below the lower trendline, suggesting potential downside continuation. The key support level at $2,836 is highlighted as a major area to watch. If this level breaks, further downside could be expected. Bearish RSI Divergence has formed, meaning price made higher highs, but RSI made lower highs, signaling weakening momentum. 2. RSI & Momentum Analysis RSI is currently at 38.40, approaching the oversold area (below 30), which means we could see a short-term bounce before further downside. However, momentum remains weak, and lower highs on RSI indicate that buyers are losing strength. 3. Key Levels to Watch Resistance: $2,900 - $2,910 (Previous support turned resistance) $2,940 - $2,950 (Upper trendline resistance) Support: $2,860 (Recent bounce zone) $2,836 (Major support; a break below confirms further downside) $2,800 (Psychological level and next downside target) 4. Potential Trade Scenarios ? Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability) If price rejects at $2,900 or breaks below $2,860, we could see a move down towards $2,836. A break below $2,836 would confirm further downside towards $2,800. Short Setup: Entry: Below $2,860 Stop-loss: Above $2,900 Target: $2,836, then $2,800 ? Bullish Scenario (Low Probability) If price reclaims $2,900 and holds above it, a move back to $2,940 - $2,950 could be possible. Long Setup: Entry: Above $2,900 Stop-loss: Below $2,880 Target: $2,940 5. Conclusion & Strategy Short-term bias: Bearish, with a potential retest of $2,836. Watch for rejection at $2,900 or breakdown below $2,860 for a short opportunity. Longs are risky unless price reclaims $2,900 and shows strength.
Letztes BTC Update: https://de.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT.P/0XC6kLVS/ Wie im letzten Update bereits erwähnt, haben wir das NPOC-Level erreicht – und genau hier sehen wir nun den erwarteten Bounce! ? Gestern habe ich daraufhin wieder etwas Risk-On genommen, da sich der Bereich als Unterstützung bestätigt. Kurzfristig erwarte ich weiteres Aufwärtspotenzial, ich behalte aber die CME-Gap-Zone sowie das 2021 ATH im blick. ? Bestätigung eines Bullishen Orderflows wäre wenn preis in die letzte Range von 92-93k akzeptiert bei Ablehnung von diesem Level werde ich short gehen, alles in allem schauts nicht zu gut aus da wir einen breakdown der Range und einen Bärischen Strukturbruch auf dem 3 Tages Chart haben. Was denkt ihr? Sehen wir eine Fortsetzung oder nur einen kurzfristigen Rebound? ??
Apple ?:Wir müssen die Marke von $249 nach oben hin durchbrechen und als Support bestätigen. Sollte das gelingen, gehe ich davon aus, dass sich das Crab Pattern weiter ausbilden könnte.