Wall Street experienced significant declines as investors weighed President Trump’s tariff policies and doubts over a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire. The S&P 500 fell 1.5%, and the Nasdaq dropped 2.2%, signaling heightened risk aversion. Simultaneously, investors sought safety in gold, pushing prices to a record high of $2,982 per troy ounce. Trump's threat to impose a 200% tariff on EU alcohol imports and geopolitical uncertainties surrounding Russia’s stance on ceasefire terms with Ukraine further dampened market sentiment. Concerns over US economic growth and weakening business and consumer confidence led to a rotation out of tech stocks into more defensive sectors. Macroeconomic Landscape: -Market Sentiment: Investor risk aversion is evident as major indices decline (S&P 500: -1.5%, Nasdaq: -2.2%). Flight to safety is reflected in record-high gold prices ($2,982/oz). -Trade Policy Impact: Trump's proposed 200% tariff on EU alcohol raises concerns over supply chain disruptions and potential retaliatory tariffs. This could pressure consumer goods and retail stocks with global exposure. -Geopolitical Risks: Uncertainty over a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire adds to investor unease, influencing energy prices, global supply chains, and equity markets. -US Economic Outlook: Slower growth projections (Goldman Sachs GDP cut to 1.7%) suggest a more cautious investment environment, favoring defensive assets. Safe-Haven Assets: Gold & Precious Metals: Gold’s 14% YTD surge suggests continued demand for inflation hedging and market uncertainty protection. ---Possible Outcome: Sustained geopolitical concerns and economic slowdown could further support gold prices. ---Considerations: Monitor inventory levels on Comex and central bank purchasing trends. US Treasuries & Safe-Haven Currencies: Risk aversion typically strengthens US Treasuries, CHF, and JPY. ---Possible Outcome: Bond yields may decline as capital flows into safer assets. ---Considerations: Duration management is key—shorter-duration bonds could mitigate rate risk. Trade & Geopolitical Risks: Tariff Uncertainty: A 200% EU alcohol tariff could disrupt supply chains, weaken consumer demand, and provoke retaliatory measures. ---Possible Outcome: Sectors with significant EU exposure (e.g., alcohol, retail) may face earnings pressure. ---Considerations: Sector diversification and geographic risk analysis are key for portfolio insulation. Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Uncertainty over ceasefire talks affects energy security, investor sentiment, and commodity markets. ---Possible Outcome: Oil price fluctuations may persist, impacting energy equities and inflation-sensitive assets. ---Considerations: Exposure to domestic-focused industries could reduce geopolitical risk impact. Economic Slowdown & Consumer Behavior US Growth Concerns: Slower GDP growth (1.7%) suggests a more challenging earnings environment for cyclicals and credit-sensitive sectors. ---Possible Outcome: Equities could face further downside pressure, particularly in growth-dependent sectors like tech. ---Considerations: Maintaining liquidity may provide opportunities to capitalize on undervaluations post-correction. Consumer Confidence Weakness: If tariffs and global instability persist, discretionary spending could decline, affecting retailers and non-essential consumer brands. ---Possible Outcome: Consumer discretionary stocks may underperform, while staples and value oriented brands could see relative strength. ---Considerations: Focus on firms with resilient pricing power and diversified revenue streams.
Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XRPUSDT for a buying opportunity around 2.35 zone, XRP is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2.35 support and resistance area. Trade safe, Joe.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/kIcTZReQ/ Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the USDCAD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
TECHNICAL SUMMARY 1W- since January 2025 price has been rising, this is after it finally broke the 1.04601 level that was held since October 2024 ( so we can simply identify the current move as a retracement of a general downtrend). 4H- price reached the 4H order block( green rectangle) and created a RSI divergence after a long upward push. If the price breaks the orange horizontal line thus giving us a change of character, I'll be looking to sell to around 1.05476 . ADDITIONAL NOTE 1. Beware of high impact news 2. Do your own analysis too, feel free to share your thoughts 3. I'll update what happens later next week so that we can learn from how ever market will react. SO STAY TUNED
The two indicators on this chart make for very well buy and sell signals. At the moment, it's reading a buy for USDJPY which is very interesting as I've recently made a post about being long the USDJPY with the aniticiaption that price will trade to 160 over the next quarter.
most of the coins on verge of breakout after long consolidation, atom is one of them, breaking descending channel, and im expecting successful breakout too, incase of successful breakout atom can give 50 to 60% bullish wave in coming days
Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $84,364.87, with a 24-hour gain of 2.96% and a 7-day cumulative decline of -2.81%. Recently, influenced by news about the Trump administration's strategic reserves, the price experienced a "sell-the-news" style pullback, retreating from its high of around $100,000 to consolidate within the $80,000 range. The short-term support level stands at $74,000, while the resistance level is at $85,000. Bitcoin Trading Strategy sell @ 90000 buy @ 78000 If you're currently dissatisfied with your Bitcoin trading outcomes and seeking daily accurate trading signals, you can follow my analysis for potential assistance.
Hi traders, Last week Bitcoin made another move down (blue c-wave) to finish the bigger (grey) WXY correction just like I've said in my outlook. Now it could go up again but the way it's moving is not very impulsive. This could be a leading diagonal (wave 1) or we could see another move down (ending diagonal blue wave c). If price can break the dotted trendline above, it's bullish again. So let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a break of the dotted trendline, an impulse wave up and a small correction down to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost or respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
I'm looking for a retracement on Monday to long nas100, as price is already change character on the higher time frame.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/oq8r0l1m/ My dear subscribers, BTCUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 84192 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 81120 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK