While NQ and ES was trending lower DOW was going higher. This was to take out stops, pair smart money orders and start the sell program. I waited for multiple confirmations before entering the trade. Buystops, rejection, CISD and IFVG. I could've entered earlier targeting even higher rr but the more confirmations there are showing bearishness, the higher the probability. This trade is risk free and partials have been taken. The stops will be adjusted accordingly and managed while letting the runner target the PDL. Let's see.
Here are five powerful trading psychology tips to help you cope with losses and stay in the game without giving up: 1. Accept Losses as Part of the Game Losses are inevitable in trading—even the best traders lose. Instead of fearing them, see losses as the cost of doing business and a learning opportunity. Keep a trading journal to analyze your mistakes and improve over time. 2. Control Your Emotions & Stick to the Plan Emotions like fear and greed lead to revenge trading and overleveraging. Set clear rules for stop-losses, position sizing, and risk per trade. Never move your stop loss out of desperation—respect your trading plan. 3. Manage Your Risk Like a Pro Follow the 1-2% risk per trade rule to protect your capital. If you lose small, you can always come back. A good risk-to-reward ratio (at least 1:2 or 1:3) ensures that even a 40% win rate can still be profitable in the long run. 4. Take Breaks & Maintain a Strong Mindset If you experience a streak of losses, step away from the charts for a while. Clear your mind, do something unrelated to trading, and return with a fresh perspective. Trading with a stressed or emotional mindset leads to bad decisions. 5. Focus on the Long-Term Vision Trading success doesn't happen overnight. Many traders blow their accounts because they want quick riches. Instead, focus on consistency, discipline, and skill-building. If you trust the process and stay patient, the results will come. Below is an example of a trading checklist that I follow before I take any trade, this helps me stay disciplined, manage risk, and avoid emotional decisions: ✅ Trading Psychology Checklist ? Before Entering a Trade: ☐ Did I follow my trading plan? (No random trades, only high-probability setups) ☐ Am I trading based on logic, not emotions? (No FOMO, revenge trading, or overconfidence) ☐ Is my risk properly managed? (1-2% risk per trade, proper lot size) ☐ Does this trade have a good risk-to-reward ratio? (At least 1:2 or 1:3) ☐ Did I place my stop loss and take profit before executing the trade? ? While in a Trade: ☐ Am I sticking to my original plan? (No moving stop losses or take profit out of emotions) ☐ Am I avoiding overtrading? (Only taking quality setups, not forcing trades) ☐ Am I managing my emotions? (Staying calm, not panicking over small fluctuations) ? After Closing a Trade: ☐ Did I journal my trade? (Win or lose, record entry, exit, and emotions during the trade) ☐ Did I review what went right or wrong? (Learn from mistakes and improve) ☐ Am I sticking to my daily trading limit? (No excessive trading after wins or losses) ☐ Am I taking breaks and staying mentally refreshed? (Not glued to charts 24/7) Feel free to copy. But remember to support this with a boost if you enjoyed reading it.
Market Structure & Analysis: Rising Wedge Formation: Price has been moving within a rising wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish reversal pattern. Bearish Breakdown Expected: BTC is testing the lower boundary of the wedge, indicating a potential breakdown. Resistance Zone: $89,649 – Key resistance level preventing further upside. $88,336 – Local resistance that price failed to sustain above. Support Levels: $86,852 - $85,335 – Intermediate support range. $80,402 – Main target for a bearish move. $76,725 – Secondary support in case of further decline. Trading Plan: Sell Setup: Wait for confirmation of a breakdown below the wedge. Enter short if price closes below $86,852 with volume confirmation. Stop Loss: Above $88,336 to avoid false breakouts. Take Profit Targets: TP1: $84,474 (first support level). TP2: $80,402 (main target). TP3: $76,725 (extended bearish target). Risk Factors: If BTC finds strong support at $86,852, a bounce could invalidate the bearish setup. Macro events (ETF approvals, institutional buy-ins, Fed rate decisions) may impact price action.
Trade frictions remain a headwind in the market. US trade measures have triggered concerns, and the Australian economy, which is dependent on exports to China, may be impacted. Meanwhile, inflation triggered by tariffs conflicts with concerns about a slowdown in the US economy. The Federal Reserve has maintained the interest rate unchanged and adjusted its economic forecasts. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut interest rates in February, and future actions will depend on inflation data. Employment positions decreased in February while the unemployment rate remained stable. The upcoming release of the monthly CPI indicator for February is of great concern. The net short - positions of the Australian dollar have increased, and market sentiment is bearish. Technically, if the AUD/USD breaks through key levels, there is upward potential. If the bears dominate, there are multiple support levels. Momentum indicators show mixed performance. AUDUSD sell@0.63500-0.63000 tp:0.62500-0.62000 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Crude oil has been fluctuating and rising recently, reaching a three-week high. From a fundamental perspective: Supply: The United States has intensified its energy sanctions against Iran. Attacks on Saudi facilities have affected their performance. The OPEC+ will gradually lift the voluntary production cuts starting from April and may increase production for the second time in May. The 30-day ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has not been effectively implemented in substance. However, recently, the United States, Russia, and Ukraine have reached some consensus on Black Sea navigation and the protection of energy facilities. Inventory: According to API data, for the week ending March 25, U.S. crude oil inventories dropped significantly by nearly 9 million barrels. However, commercial crude oil inventories have been increasing continuously for several weeks, and the overall inventory remains at a high level. Geopolitics: The U.S. airstrikes against the Houthi armed group in Yemen and Israel's military operations in the Gaza Strip have heightened concerns about the disruption of crude oil supplies in the Middle East. The United States' continuous strengthening of sanctions against Iran and Venezuela also includes a plan to impose a 25% tariff on countries importing Venezuelan crude oil. Production Increase Pressure: The daily supply increments of non-OPEC countries (such as the United States and Brazil) far exceed the global demand growth rate, which has long-term downward pressure on the oil price center. ??? USOIL ??? ? Sell@70.000 - 70.200 ? TP 68.5 68.0 67.5 The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Not much changed since my last report. Expecting price to potentially move a bit higher than previously indicated. It may also--overall--not move to the indicated strong support area, but continue to range in the current general area before a move up. A move to the strong support area cannot currently be ruled out however.
Bitcoin has retraced to an area where volume has been decent and resistance recently turned to support but its overall bullish tone remains intact in short term time frames . It seems to have held the area indicated in the chart and begun to turn upwards on short term time frames I'd expect more of a bounce if equity markets remain calm but nothing too big so will be setting targets conservatively Stop 85600 Entry 86800 Exit 88000 Just a 1:1 risk reward for a quick entry and exit . E.
Trading patterns often tend to repeat themselves due to market psychology, investor behavior, and historical price movements. The current Shiba Inu chart appears to be mirroring past formations, reinforcing the cyclical nature of technical patterns. Stage 1, a Falling Wedge, was completed , similar to previous corrections on September 24 before a breakout. Stage 2, a Cup and Handle pattern, was confirmed , resembling earlier bullish continuation setups in August 2024. Now, the market awaits, Stage 3, the formation of a W pattern , which historically signals strong upward momentum in September 2024. Finally, Stage 4, an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern expected, could mark a significant breakout, much like previous bullish reversals. These recurring patterns highlight the importance of studying historical charts to anticipate future price movements.
If the price breaks below 3015, and retests with a rejection signal to the upside, I'll be looking at short sell positions targeting the 2999 level.
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) was successful in three moves , as I expected in my previous post . I still think Bitcoin will NOT stop trying to break the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) . Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($87,100_$85,800) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($86,376_$85,411) . Regarding the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . If we look at the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart on the 4-hour time frame , USDT.D% is pulling back to the Uptrend line and is currently in the Resistance zone(5.30%-5.15%) . There is a possibility of completing the Bearish Flag Pattern .? https://www.tradingview.com/x/B1ITjmlV/ I expect Bitcoin to rise again in the coming hours and attack the Heavy Resistance zone($93,300_$89,200) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Resistance lines , Monthly Pivot Point , and 50_SMA(Daily) . Note: If Bitcoin falls below $85,400, we can expect more dumps. Market Developments: GameStop announced BTC adoption as a treasury asset, signaling growing corporate interest. Trump Media partnered with Crypto to launch crypto ETFs, adding institutional momentum. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button ?? & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.