Market Update - January 10, 2025 Takeaways Spot bitcoin ETFs in the US acquired 51,500 bitcoin in December, nearly quadruple the 13,850 BTC mined: Spot bitcoin ETF-driven demand could create a supply shock that would drive prices higher in the coming months. But the price of bitcoin pulled back below $93,000 this week after reports the US government might sell $6.5 billion worth of bitcoin seized from Silk Road. Backpack Exchange has reportedly acquired FTX EU after regulatory approval: The exchange, founded by ex-FTX and Alameda staff, would be the managing entity for FTX EU bankruptcy claims. But the FTX bankruptcy estate released a statement claiming Backpack has no control over redistributing the funds, adding that the press release announcing the sale went out without approval. Terraform Labs founder Do Kwon has pleaded not guilty to fraud charges in US court following extradition: Prosecutors allege he misled investors about terraUSD's stability. Kwon's case is expected to go trial in January 2026. Metaplanet is aiming to quintuple its bitcoin holdings to 10,000 BTC by leveraging capital markets: The Tokyo-listed firm already holds 1,761.98 bitcoin, currently worth close to $180 million. The move continues a recent trend of corporate and investment entities stockpiling bitcoin as a reserve asset. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Accumulate nearly four times December’s Mined BTC Amid Supply Squeeze Spot bitcoin ETFs in the US acquired 51,500 bitcoin in December 2024, dwarfing the 13,850 produced by miners during the same period. This ETF-driven demand reportedly represented 272% of the monthly supply. Bitcoin's price peaked at an all-time high of $108,135 on December 17, driven by surging spot market activity. A January 6 report also highlighted bitcoin exchange balances hitting record lows, with researchers predicting a potentially imminent supply shock. On Friday last week, spot bitcoin ETFs added over $900 million in inflows. But the price of bitcoin has subsequently pulled back this week, dropping below $93,000 on Thursday as the market weighed the veracity of a report that the US government was poised to sell some $6.5 billion in bitcoin originally seized from Silk Road. In mining, MARA Holdings led December’s production with 9,457 bitcoin. Riot produced 516 bitcoin and Cleanspark came in third with 668 bitcoin mined. Other contributors included Bitfarms (211 BTC) and Terawulf (158 BTC). With total US bitcoin ETF holdings now nearing $110 billion, some analysts have projected bitcoin to see more significant gains throughout the year. Dogecoin (DOGE): The Birth of the Original Memecoin Dogecoin (DOGE) started out as a parody of cryptocurrencies and, in particular, the proliferation of altcoins. Its founders have publicly stated that DOGE was a joke, and the currency hasn’t received a significant technical update since 2015. Despite these facts, market forces have kept the cryptocurrency alive. According to the founders, it was never about the value of DOGE, but rather about giving people an accessible introduction to the world of cryptocurrency through a face many already knew from an internet meme — Doge. The founders sought to overcome Bitcoin’s and other cryptocurrencies’ barriers to entry — for example, news of hacks and scams, as well as technological complexities. To that end, they created a fun and friendly cryptocurrency to welcome newcomers to the crypto space. Read more! Onward and Upward, Team Gemini
Obviously a completed head and shoulders pattern is bearish with a break below $92,000. We shall see.
The CADCHF pair is approaching a significant supply zone, marked by historical price rejections and strong resistance levels. The current market structure suggests the potential for a reversal at this level if sellers regain control. I anticipate that if the price confirms a rejection from this supply zone, the market may move downward toward the 0.63128 level. This setup aligns with the idea of trend exhaustion near resistance. If you have any additional insights or agree with this analysis, feel free to share your thoughts!
I am Ieios_The_Trader on TG, next NFP will be traded live there, this is just a peep into the Pips from NFP as was discussed earlier this morning on my Profile.
This is a description, there are many descriptions out there but this one is mine and unique
Stay cautious with your long positions as USDT Dominance (USDT.D) is gaining strength, which is a bearish signal for altcoins
Again we Hit TP3 in NFP News Enjoy 180 pips done enjoy
Key Indicators Supporting a Buy Opportunity: • Support Levels: Aligned with Yearly, 6-Month, 3-Month, and 1-Month lows. • Low Trading Volume: Suggests potential for continuation in the current direction. • Historical Support: Echoes previous strong support observed in 2008 and 2020. Defined Goals for the Trade: TP 1 = 80 pips TP 2 = 200 pips TP 3 = 400 pips
The CADCHF pair is currently trading near a significant supply zone, where prices have previously encountered strong resistance and reversed lower. This suggests a potential bearish scenario as sellers might regain control in this region. A bearish confirmation, such as a rejection candlestick pattern (e.g., a bearish engulfing or long upper wick), would strengthen the case for further downside movement. If this scenario unfolds, the next target to monitor is around 0.63202, which aligns with a key support level. Traders should wait for clear confirmation of selling pressure before entering short positions to ensure alignment with the broader market sentiment.
Over the past 50+ days, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a well-defined range, with the all-time high (ATH) at 108K marking the upper boundary and 90K as the lower boundary. The current price action has formed a Head and Shoulders pattern, with the neckline positioned around 90K. Volume and Recent Price Action Volume has notably decreased compared to the elevated levels seen in November and December 2024, signaling weakening momentum. Price rose significantly to 102.7K, reaching the 0.666 Fibonacci retracement level of the current downtrend, where it faced a sharp rejection. This rejection led Bitcoin to test the lows around 91.5K. Key Resistance Levels 97K (POC): The Point of Control (POC) of the current range sits around 97K, which also aligns with the anchored VWAP taken from the all-time high. 98.3K (Fib 0.618): The Weekly Open (wOpen) coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the current downward wave, making it a significant resistance level. 100K (Psychological Level): A critical psychological barrier, also serving as a key level for setting stop-loss orders for short positions. Short Trade Setup A short position could be built in the range of 97K-98.3K, with the following parameters: Stop-Loss: Above 100K. Target: 84-80K range. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): A favorable 3:1 to 4:1, depending on laddered entries. Key Support Levels and Confluence Zone (80K-83K Region) The 80K-83K region stands out as a strong support zone due to multiple confluence factors: 1.) Fib Retracement Levels: 0.618 (82.7K): From the swing low of 67K to the ATH of 108K. 0.5 (80.45K): From the broader wave structure (52.5K to 108.35K). Negative Fib -0.618 (81.1K): From the current downward wave. 2.) Anchored VWAP: Anchored from 6th September 2024, currently aligning with the 82K level. 3.) ]Fib Speed Fan (0.618): Taken from the low at 52.5K to the ATH, intersecting with the 80-82K region around mid-to-late January. Long Trade Setup The 80K-83K support zone presents a strong opportunity for a long position for those who missed the previous uptrend: Entry Zone: Between 80K and 83K. Stop-Loss: Below 78K or lower. Target: 90K, which aligns with the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Approximately 2:1 if entering from the 80K level.