??? EUR/USD new: ?The EUR/USD surged 1.75% on Wednesday, approaching the 1.0800 level as market sentiment improved following another shift in U.S. President Donald Trump's trade policy. Trump has once again eased off his previous stance of imposing heavy tariffs on imports, a strategy he had used to retaliate against perceived unfair treatment by other nations. ?Meanwhile, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) on Thursday, lowering the Main Refinancing Operations Rate to 2.65% and the Deposit Facility Rate to 2.5%. Despite sluggish and uneven economic growth in the Eurozone during the first quarter, traders have reduced their expectations for further ECB rate cuts in 2025, as inflation remains more persistent than policymakers initially anticipated. The market now predicts fewer than 70 bps in additional rate reductions for the rest of the year. ?In the U.S., the ADP Employment Change for February showed only 77K new jobs, well below the 140K forecast and March’s 186K figure. However, since a reporting methodology change in 2022, ADP data has had little correlation with Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), suggesting that the weak figures may not have a significant impact. Personal opinion: ?EUR/USD increased by 4% in 3 days so it is dangerous to continue buying ?Technically, RSI in many time frames is in the extreme zone and there are signs of RSI divergence - This is a forecast for a short-term downtrend. ?If EUR/USD breaks the trend line and retests this area, consider buying at 1.0800 Analysis: ?Based on the trend line and RSI combined with resistance - support levels and SMA Plan: ? Price Zone Setup: ?Sell EUR/USD 1.0800 – 1.0820 ❌SL: 1.0860 | ✅TP: 1.0750 – 1.0700 – 1.0600 FM wishes you a successful trading day ???
This analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research. Prada — here’s a luxury story that’s outperformed peers in recent times — sales up +17% in 2024 — Miu Miu drove sales a remarkable +25% (+93% in Q4 alone!). It’s been a long, funny life as a publicly listed company for Prada — they listed on the Hong Kong exchange in 2011 and the stock surged, and then sat flat for ages, going sideways. There was a lot of doubt if the Italian family-controlled fashion house could grow — it’s a lot smaller than LVMH, Kering etc, and there’s a lot of focus on only a small clutch of brands (plus, the company had a disastrous foray into buying Helmut Lang and Jil Sander). And yet — here we are — in a year of recession for most of luxury, Prada, like Hermes and Brunello, has shined. Not least thanks to growing Gen Z demand of Miu Miu — I keep saying this, but it’s not enough to only sell to your 1% old-timers — you need to sell to the market with growing wealth. Gen Z, baby. 27x earnings — down 6.00% today. I avoided this stock for a while — maybe to my detriment? But now I am starting to ask— is it dumb not to own Prada? Consider also the rumored +US$1.5 billion bid for Versace, Prada’s fellow Italian competitor. Capri Holdings owns it now — they haven’t grown revenue. I had to pause with the idea of chic, intellectual Prada buying Versace — brash, bold, a little tacky. Yet if anyone can make it work, it’s Prada… Kering — I know I have been harping on about this one for a while ‘cos the Gucci and Saint Laurent owner is trading well under five year lows, but this little tidbit from Lauren Sherman’s excellent newsletter, Line Sheet (at Puck) — some validation! I was told by one trusted industry source to buy Kering stock because it’s going to be a sure-bet designer—such as Hedi Slimane—but others keep pointing to lesser-known, yet still formidable candidates. Dario Vitale keeps coming up, despite his conversations with Versace. One thing to remember is that no Gucci designer has ever been a name before they started at Gucci, so a known entity would be a departure from that. Anyway, as my partner Bill Cohan likes to say, this is not investment advice. Not investment advice, but you know — buy ‘em down and dirty, and ride ‘em high…I always remember how Walter Schloss was prone to look at companies trading at five year lows. That’s Kering for you…
https://www.tradingview.com/x/mci0fPbD/ ✅GBP_CHF made a bullish Breakout of the key horizontal Level of 1.1400 and the breakout Is confirmed so we are bullish Biased and we will be expecting A further move up and a retest Of the horizontal resistance Above around 1.1606 LONG? ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
The GBP/NZD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Rounded Top Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2.2362 2nd Support – 2.2266 ? Please hit the like button and ? Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
If you haven`t bought AVGO before the previous earnings: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/idea/HDz9Hf0y/ Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AVGO Broadcom prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 190usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2025-3-21, for a premium of approximately $10.35. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Chart Details: Current Price: 2,251.2 USD (+0.43%) Trading Pattern: A downward channel (falling wedge) indicates a bearish trend. Trading Strategy: Stop Loss: 2,220 USD (marked in the red zone) First Take Profit Level: 2,280 USD Target Profit Level: 2,300 USD This chart suggests a potential sell trade, where the price may break out downward from the channel. If the price reaches 2,280 USD, the first take profit level is achieved, while further decline to 2,300 USD is expected. If the price moves above 2,220 USD, the stop loss will trigger, limiting potential losses.
If you haven`t bought BBAI before the massive rally: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/idea/noPCA8PV/ Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of BBAI BigBear ai Holdings prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 5.50usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-6-20, for a premium of approximately $1.10. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
In this video, I go over the possibility of Tesla not starting its next major bull run until January 2027
Analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GAP prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 19.50usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2025-3-7, for a premium of approximately $1.02. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
If you haven`t sold SWBI before the previous earnings: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/idea/3KnQ5K1w/ Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 11usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-3-21, for a premium of approximately $0.52. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.