What was once a bullish crab trend, is now the opposite due to it's breakdown. So we have to assume we are going to see lower highs. Use these channels to setup trades. Short near the Red Line, and Long near the Medium Support Green Line.
Short Term Elliott Wave View in Nifty shows an incomplete bearish sequence from 9.27.2024 high. Decline from there is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from 9.27.2024 high, wave ((A)) ended at 23263.15 on 11.21.2024 low and wave ((B)) rally ended at 24857.75 on 12.5.2024 high. The extreme target lower for wave ((C)) is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave ((A)). This area comes at 19964 – 21842. Wave ((C)) is currently in progress with subdivision as an impulse Elliott Wave. Down from wave ((B)), wave (1) ended at 22786.9 and wave (2) rally ended at 23807.3 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Up from wave (1), wave A ended at 23632.45 and wave B ended at 23222. Wave C higher ended at 23808.27 which completed wave (2) in higher degree. The Index has resumed lower in wave (3). Down from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 22798.35 and wave 2 ended at 23235.5. The Index resumed lower in wave 3. Down from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 22725.45 and wave ((ii)) ended at 23049.95. Near term, while below 23808.27, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) has been steadily climbing, breaking through key resistance levels and forming an ascending trendline on the 1-hour chart. The price action suggests continued bullish momentum with a breakout above $91 and potential for further upside. Key observations: * Trend Structure: TLT is in a clear uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows. * Support & Resistance: * Major Resistance: $92.50 (PUT resistance) and $93.50 (2nd PUT Wall) * Key Support: $91 (current breakout level), followed by $90 * Stronger Support Zones: $88 - $87.79 * MACD Indicator: Showing bullish momentum, with signals aligning for continuation. * Stoch RSI: Slightly overbought but still has room for further upside before a pullback. Options Flow & GEX Analysis https://www.tradingview.com/x/Qr85Lust/ The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator highlights a strong call concentration at $91, indicating a potential gamma squeeze if price holds above this level. * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 39.6, with IVx avg at 15.9%, signaling moderate volatility. * Call Side Bias: 17.9% of options flow, supporting a bullish breakout scenario. * Key GEX Levels: * CALL Wall Resistance: $92 → Breaking this level could push toward $93.50. * PUT Support Zone: $88 - $87 → A breakdown could trigger downward momentum. Trade Plan & Suggestions ? Bullish Trade Setup (Preferred Play) * Entry: Above $91 with confirmation (sustained hold above resistance). * Target 1: $92.50 * Target 2: $93.50 (2nd PUT Wall) * Stop-loss: Below $90 ? Bearish Alternative (Hedge Play) * Entry: Below $90 with volume breakdown. * Target: $88 → $87 * Stop-loss: Above $91 Final Thoughts TLT is in a strong bullish structure and could see further upside if it holds above $91. Options data suggests a gamma squeeze toward $92-$93.50, but failure to sustain $90 could bring a retracement. Keep an eye on volume confirmation before taking positions. ? Risk Management: Adjust position sizes and stop-loss levels according to your risk tolerance. ? Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
The move down from Feb 3 looks corrective instead of impulsive. I will label this move as wave 'B" of an expanded flat (ABC). In the short to medium term, an impulsive wave 'C" afterwards will bring bitcoin to 103 to 108 K region before heading down.
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?Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!? Dear Money Makers & Robbers, ? ????? Based on ?Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis?, here is our master plan to heist the JP225/NIKKEI "JAPAN 225" Indices CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. ??Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.??? Entry ? : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (37800) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss ?: Thief SL placed at 38500 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target ?: 36500 (or) Escape Before the Target ?Scalpers, take note ? : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money ?. ??️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: JP225/NIKKEI "JAPAN 225" Indices CFD Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend., driven by several key factors. ➜Fundamental Analysis 1. Economic Indicators: Japan's economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace, driven by domestic demand and exports. 2. Monetary Policy: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has maintained an accommodative monetary policy stance, with negative interest rates and quantitative easing. 3. Corporate Earnings: Japanese corporate earnings have been improving, driven by strong export growth and domestic demand. ➜➜Macroeconomic Factors 1. Inflation: Japan's inflation rate remains low, at around 0.5%. 2. Interest Rates: The BOJ's negative interest rate policy has helped to keep borrowing costs low. 3. GDP Growth: Japan's GDP growth is expected to be around 1.5% in 2023. ➜➜COT Data 1. Non-Commercial Traders: These traders hold a net long position in JP225 futures, with 52.3% of open interest. 2. Commercial Traders: Commercial traders hold a net short position in JP225 futures, with 47.7% of open interest. ➜➜Market Sentiment Analysis 1. Bullish Sentiment: 53.2% of investors are bullish on JP225. 2. Bearish Sentiment: 46.8% of investors are bearish on JP225. ➜➜Positioning Analysis 1. Long Positions: 56.1% of investors are holding long positions in JP225. 2. Short Positions: 43.9% of investors are holding short positions in JP225. ➜➜Quantitative Analysis 1. Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend. 2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is at 55.6, indicating a neutral market sentiment. ➜➜Intermarket Analysis 1. Correlation with Other Markets: JP225 has a positive correlation with other Asian markets, such as the Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite. 2. Commodity Prices: JP225 has a positive correlation with commodity prices, such as copper and oil. ➜➜News and Events Analysis 1. BOJ Meetings: The BOJ's monetary policy decisions can impact JP225. 2. Japanese Elections: Japanese elections can impact JP225, depending on the outcome. ➜➜Next Trend Move Based on the analysis, the next trend move for JP225 is likely to be bullish, with a potential target of 40,500. ➜➜Future Prediction Based on the analysis, the future prediction for JP225 is bullish, with a potential target of 42,500 in the upcoming months. ➜➜Overall Summary Outlook JP225 is expected to remain in a bullish trend, driven by improving corporate earnings, a moderate economic growth outlook, and accommodative monetary policy. However, investors should remain cautious of potential market volatility and economic uncertainties. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ? ?️ ?? As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits ?Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money ?? Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.???❤️?? I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned ?????
Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action Eli Lilly (LLY) is showing strong bullish momentum, currently trading within an ascending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. The stock recently tested the upper trendline and is consolidating near $900, a key psychological level. Key observations: * Trend Structure: LLY is in a strong uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows within a well-defined price channel. * Support & Resistance: * Major Resistance: $912 (recent high) * Key Support: $894, followed by $881 * Stronger Support Zones: $869 - $865 (confluence with PUT walls) * MACD Indicator: Bullish momentum persists but shows slight signs of cooling off. Watch for potential continuation. * Stoch RSI: Approaching overbought conditions, which may signal a slight pullback before another push higher. Options Flow & GEX Analysis https://www.tradingview.com/x/c09NsjL2/ The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator suggests a high call concentration around $900, aligning with our price action resistance. This means market makers may hedge aggressively if LLY sustains above this level, fueling further upside. * IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 19, with IVx avg at 32.7%, indicating relatively lower volatility. * Call Side Bias: 23.4% of total options flow supports a bullish breakout scenario. * Key GEX Levels: * Strongest Resistance / CALL Wall: $900 → Break and hold here unlocks $920 (2nd CALL Wall). * PUT Support Zone: $865 - $867.5 → A breakdown could trigger downside hedging, making this a critical level to hold. Trade Plan & Suggestions ? Bullish Trade Setup (Preferred Play) * Entry: Above $900 with confirmation (sustained hold above resistance). * Target 1: $912 * Target 2: $920 (CALL Wall target) * Stop-loss: Below $894 ? Bearish Alternative (Hedge Play) * Entry: Below $894 with volume breakdown. * Target: $881 → $869 * Stop-loss: Above $900 Final Thoughts LLY is one of the strongest setups on my radar. If it maintains above $900, it could trigger a gamma squeeze toward $920. However, failure to hold this level could result in a retest of $865-$869. Options positioning suggests a bullish bias, but watching price action closely is key. ? Risk Management: Always size positions according to your risk tolerance. Trade the setup, not the expectation. ? Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.
WIF/USDT Long Reason: Tested the bottom Trend of falling wedge and confirmed. Breakout and Confirmation done in Internal Structure. Strong Bullish bullish momentum with high Volume. All technical Parameters suggesting a strong Bullish Wave. After Successfully breakout from wedge, we can Expect a 40% bullish wave. Pro Tips: After Target 2, Move Stoploss to breakeven Best Regards, The Panda BINANCE:WIFUSDT MEXC:WIFUSDT BITGET:WIFUSDT.P BLOFIN:WIFUSDT.P
OANDA:EURCAD Technical Analysis – February 26, 2025 Hello traders, this is Fuinvest, and today we’ll break down the EUR/CAD pair on the 4-hour timeframe, using a combination of Price Action and key indicators. Let’s get started! 1. Trend & Market Structure Looking at the chart, EUR/CAD has made a strong breakout past its previous resistance levels and is currently trading around 1.5045. Earlier, price cleared all three key EMAs: 34 EMA (gray) – 1.4916 89 EMA (yellow) – 1.4893 200 EMA (red) – 1.4890 ? Key Observations: After consolidating around 1.4850 – 1.4900, price exploded upward with high momentum and strong volume. The 34 EMA has crossed above the 89 EMA, signaling potential bullish continuation. A decisive break above the 200 EMA could indicate a trend shift from bearish to bullish. 2. Key Support & Resistance Levels ? Support Zones: 1.4916 – 1.4930 (34 & 89 EMA support zone) → A key area to watch if price pulls back. 1.4890 (200 EMA support) → If price retests and holds, the bullish trend remains intact. ? Resistance Zones: 1.5050 – 1.5070 → Current price region; a key test for bulls. 1.5100 – 1.5150 → If this breaks, expect further upside movement. 3. Price Action & Key Insights Strong breakout above the 200 EMA with high volume → Bulls are in control. Bullish Marubozu candle indicates strong buying pressure. Increased trading volume during the breakout → Likely institutional interest. ? What this means: If price stays above the 34 & 89 EMA, expect continued bullish momentum. If price rejects 1.5050 and forms a reversal pattern, we may see a short-term pullback. 4. Suggested Trading Strategies ✅ Trend-Following Buy Setup (Higher Probability) ? Entry: Look for a pullback to 1.4916 – 1.4930 with a bullish confirmation. ? Stop Loss: Below 1.4890 (under 200 EMA). ? Target 1: 1.5050 – 1.5070. ? Target 2: 1.5100 – 1.5150. ? Confirmation Needed: Bullish candlestick formation or price action indicating strong buyer interest. ❌ Short-Term Countertrend Sell Setup (Riskier Play) ? Entry: If price struggles at 1.5050 – 1.5070 and forms a bearish reversal pattern. ? Stop Loss: Above 1.5080 to avoid stop hunts. ? Target: 1.4930 (89 EMA, dynamic support). ? Caution: This is a countertrend trade and carries higher risk. Execute only if clear bearish signals emerge. 5. Conclusion & Action Plan ? The bullish breakout above the 200 EMA suggests a potential trend shift. ? If price holds above 1.4930 – 1.4950, expect continuation toward 1.5100 – 1.5150. ? A pullback to the 34 or 89 EMA could offer a strong buying opportunity. ? If price fails at 1.5050, watch for possible bearish rejection signals. ? Final Advice: Don’t trade on emotions! Always have a clear risk management plan and wait for market confirmation before entering a trade. ? Follow Fuinvest for Daily Market Analysis! If you found this analysis helpful, FOLLOW Fuinvest to receive daily technical insights and market updates. Stay ahead of the game and never miss a trading opportunity! ? ? Trade safe and stay profitable! ?
? Asset: XAUUSD (Gold/USD) ? Timeframe: 15-minute (M15) ? Trade Direction: Short / Sell ? Entry Points: Aggressive: Around 2923.00 Conservative: Break below 2920.05 ? Trade Parameters: ✅ Stop Loss (SL): 2924.50 ✅ Take Profit 1 (TP1): 2897.00 ✅ Take Profit 2 (TP2) (Optional): 2891.00 ? Rationale: ? Visual bearish setup on the chart (red/green boxes indicating a downward move). ⚠️ Risk Management: ✔️ Risk 1-2% of capital. ✔️ Calculate risk-to-reward ratio before entry. ✔️ Monitor trade closely.