Gold well and truly smashed through the $3000 barrier this week, peaking at around $3057 per troy ounce. Looking at the 4 hour chart, we may see one more impulse of buying after the current corrective move. This correction may head towards the 38.2%/50%/or 61.8% Fib retracement levels (if you use them in your trading). If we do see another bullish impulse then the -27% Fib extension level could be a target.
XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 1-day timeframe and shows an ascending channel with key price levels and technical annotations. Key Observations: Trend Direction: The price has been in a strong uptrend since late 2024. It is currently near the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Liquidity & Market Structure: INT.LQ (Internal Liquidity): This suggests an area where liquidity is expected to be taken before a potential move. MB Unfilled (Market Balances Unfilled): These indicate inefficiencies in price movement that the market may revisit. Projected Price Action: The chart shows a potential short-term pullback from the upper boundary. Expected retracement towards the "fair value range" around $2,800–$2,850. If this scenario plays out, it would align with price rebalancing and a healthier uptrend continuation. Key Levels: Resistance: Around $3,050, which aligns with the upper trendline. Support Zones: Around $2,950 and deeper at $2,800. Potential Trading Strategy: Bearish Case: If rejection occurs at $3,050, short opportunities could exist targeting $2,900–$2,850. Bullish Case: If price retraces and finds strong support in the fair value range, it could resume its uptrend.
The market has opened. As mentioned in the previous article, gold still has a rebound. Under the current circumstances, our main focus is the resistance area of 3027-3037. I personally think that the probability of a direct breakthrough is not high, so we maintain the trading idea of shorting in this range. During the decline, 3018/3015/3011/3007 are the support levels that need to be paid attention to. If you have any questions, you can leave me a message. I will reply in time after I see it. In the new week, I wish you all a lot of money!
We can see from the chart above that PA has now fallen below the Fractal for the first time since July 2023 This is itself was expected as we can see from previous posts on this Idea PA was overbought and so HAS to cool off However, we have targets as to when PA may try and recover. initially, the circle in End of May was my expected "turn around" point Things have progressed faster and so now, we have possibilities opening up for a move higher, sooner, maybe around end of April 2925 However until the weekly MACD is on Neutral, these would be short lived - hopefully. For a sustainable move higher, PA needs to have the ability to maintain the push https://www.tradingview.com/x/MeZEYWIb/ the Weekly MACD shown above needs till end of April before any significant move can be maintained. PA has bounced of Neutral previously. But MACD can , obviously, Drop below this point, wait till May, or later, and move then. For me, the line of the arrow higher is becoming the more realistic ideal path But the longer we wait, the Steeper the rise has to be to maintain the idea of Cycle ATH in Q4, as per cycle trends. And to conitnue to follow this Fractal. The Time WILL come were we break away from this Fractal but as I have been saying for years, we are still on it......many things point towards that continuing. But as I have mentioned in a post earlier today, These Trends may be changing. Bitcoin is Maturing All we can do is watch, react and learn HAVE A PLAN FOR ALL OUTCOMES but also understand, the idea of Bitcoin collapsing is becoming more and more unrealistic... The outlook is BULLISH noi matter what I expect to remain on the fractal path till Next cycle ATH Time will tell
Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (LINKUSDT 1D chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/eAStYSpj/ How to interpret the OBV indicator https://www.tradingview.com/x/UVEdwnmX/ 1. If OBV is rising from the 0 point, it is interpreted as an increase in buying power, and if it is falling, it is interpreted as an increase in selling power https://www.tradingview.com/x/QVDY0RIr/ 2. How to create an EMA indicator for OBV and interpret it as rising or falling above the EMA indicator https://www.tradingview.com/x/yqCg4vcJ/ 3. How to add the price channel formula to the OBV indicator and interpret it like Bollinger Bands - If the price is maintained at the current price position, it is expected to attempt to rise above 15.45. However, since the StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend in the overbought zone, the key point is whether there is support near 15.45. If it fails to rise, we should check whether there is support near 13.13. - I think we are facing a golden opportunity to turn into an upward trend. If it fails to turn into an upward trend this time, there is a possibility that it will eventually fall to around 10.0, so we should think about a response plan for this. Therefore, what we should pay close attention to is whether there is support near 15.45 and it can rise. If support is confirmed near 15.45, it is the time to buy. The first sell zone is 19.52-20.51. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - Big picture I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. (BTCUSD 12M chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/WBuhqVrT/ Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (LOG chart) https://www.tradingview.com/x/YtZx6YSG/ Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing. Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective. Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future. - https://www.tradingview.com/x/zTnWN2r7/ The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015. That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend. The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019. Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026. - No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving. It is up to you how to view and respond to it. Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized. However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role. The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci. Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies. 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 -----------------
As of March 23, 2025, TSLA stock reflects global economic shifts, geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade), and EV/energy sector dynamics. Short-term, a rally is likely, driven by FSD progress, Cybercab hype, and strong delivery numbers (e.g., China outperformance), bolstered by energy storage growth. Technicals suggest momentum with RSI nearing overbought levels and MACD signaling bullish crossover. Long-term, consolidation looms as high P/E ratios (100x+) face scrutiny amid regulatory risks, EV market saturation, and rising rates. Competitive pressures and execution challenges could cap gains, with support likely at $300-$320 and resistance near $400. Short-term upside, long-term range-bound.
# Gold Spot USD Market Analysis: Navigating Recent Highs and Potential Directions The gold market has recently reached unprecedented heights, with prices touching the $3,050 level before experiencing a modest pullback. As of March 23, 2025, Gold Spot USD is trading at $3,023.24, showing a slight decrease of 0.69725% (-$21.23). This analysis examines current market conditions and factors influencing gold's potential direction to help inform your decision-making process. ## Current Market Position and Technical Outlook Gold has demonstrated remarkable strength in 2025, gaining approximately 15.68% since the beginning of the year. The recent breakthrough above the psychologically significant $3,000 barrier represents a major milestone for the precious metal . From a technical perspective, gold maintains its bullish structure with a pattern of higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart, despite some recent consolidation. ### Technical Indicators and Price Levels Current technical analysis reveals a nuanced picture: - **Support levels**: $3,027.20, $3,011.00, and $2,996.90 - **Resistance levels**: $3,056.30, $3,070.00, and $3,085.00 - **Moving averages**: The 50-day SMA at $2,895.09 and 200-day SMA at $2,684.01 remain well below current prices, confirming the strong uptrend - **Technical indicators**: Mixed signals with RSI at 43.996 (Sell), MACD at -3.29 (Sell), but longer-term indicators like moving averages showing bullish signals The recent price action shows characteristics of a strong breakout above $3,000, although some exhaustion signs are appearing in short-term momentum indicators . ## Key Factors Influencing Gold's Direction ### Strength of the US Dollar The US Dollar index (DXY) is approaching a two-year high, which typically exerts downward pressure on gold prices due to their inverse correlation . When the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for foreign investors, potentially reducing demand . This relationship explains part of gold's recent retracement from all-time highs. ### Monetary Policy Developments Recent and anticipated central bank actions provide support for gold prices: - The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 0.25% in its latest meeting - The Federal Reserve is expected to implement its first rate cut soon, with 85% of traders anticipating a 25 basis point reduction - Lower interest rates historically benefit gold by reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets ### Geopolitical Tensions Significant global conflicts continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal: - Renewed conflict in the Middle East, with Israel ending a two-month ceasefire with airstrikes across Gaza - Escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions with mutual aerial attacks - Upcoming implementation of tariffs by the Trump administration on April 2, creating trade uncertainty These developments have directly contributed to gold's recent surge above $3,040 . ## Institutional Positioning and Market Sentiment ### Institutional Flows Commitment of Traders (COT) data reveals strong bullish positioning among non-commercial traders, who hold 321,654 long contracts versus 63,722 short contracts . Meanwhile, SPDR gold ETFs have attracted $5.4 billion in inflows during 2025, with combined assets of GLD and GLDM crossing the $101 billion threshold . ### Sentiment Indicators The Gold Fear and Greed Index provides insights into market emotions, with readings above 60 indicating optimism and heavy buying, while readings below 40 signal fear and potential selling pressure . Research utilizing sentiment analysis indicates that positive gold sentiment correlates significantly with enhanced returns, particularly during market crises . ## Potential Scenarios and Considerations ### Scenario 1: Continued Uptrend Gold could resume its upward trajectory if: - Federal Reserve implements expected rate cuts - Geopolitical tensions escalate further - US dollar weakens from current levels - Institutional investment in gold ETFs continues to grow Technical analysis suggests potential for gold to reach $3,100 by mid-2025 if the current bullish channel holds . ### Scenario 2: Consolidation or Retracement Gold might experience a period of consolidation or retracement if: - US dollar continues strengthening - Technical indicators showing exhaustion prove accurate - Profit-taking emerges after the substantial rally - Geopolitical tensions ease unexpectedly In this scenario, the established support levels at $3,011 and $2,996 would be crucial to monitor . ## Conclusion Gold currently maintains its bullish structure despite recent consolidation near all-time highs. The interplay between dollar strength, monetary policy expectations, and geopolitical risks will likely determine its short-term direction. While technical indicators show some signs of exhaustion, fundamental factors largely remain supportive. For potential buyers, considering dollar-cost averaging or waiting for retracements to established support levels might be prudent strategies. For those considering selling, awareness of the strong institutional positioning and overall bullish trend suggests caution, particularly with expected Fed rate cuts on the horizon. Remember that all investment decisions carry risk, and this analysis represents current market conditions that can rapidly change with new developments. Diversification and alignment with your personal financial goals should remain paramount in any investment decision.
Gold behaved as predicted last Friday, forming head and shoulder pattern. https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GOLD/yBpFX4Cz-Gold-Intraday-Trading-Plan-3-21-2025/ Currently it is testing structure support which was turned into resistance. If this level holds, we shall see further drop to 3000 first, followed by 2980. However, if 3030 is broken, we may see the regaining strength of bulls and the setup mentioned previous becomes invalid.
I stumbled upon my old Elliott wave labels on the LTCUSDT , checked it's short term relative strength with BTCUSDT , looked more closer to the weird sideways to up consolidation and found a dodgy long with a microscopic stoploss , targeting ATH like a degen ...
I have analyzed Atco_A Swedish stock and found that it at crucial junction. Although it is in downtrend. But if it will close below 163 then it go till 140. Stop loss will be 173(Max 176).