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Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- https://www.tradingview.com/x/oGOUjJ1V/ I think TradingView is attractive because users can create charts as they want. However, since the number of indicators that can be added to the chart is limited depending on the plan, you have to add indicators that fit your plan. As a result, I ended up integrating multiple indicators into one indicator. - The HA-MS indicator in this chart is a public indicator. If you search the Internet, you can find detailed explanations on how to interpret the OBV indicator. I expressed it as follows to make this interpretation method more realistic. https://www.tradingview.com/x/93kWqh1i/ The body color of the candlestick is indicated by the 4-stage OBV indicator. The OBV indicator is distinguished in the same way as the Price Channel indicator. You can interpret it like the Bollinger Band. That is, if the middle line that divides 2 and 3 rises by more than 3, you can interpret that the buying force is increasing. 1: It means below the lower line of the Price Channel and is indicated in dark red. If you enter this section, there is a high possibility of a sharp decline. You should check the support and resistance points because it is likely to stop falling soon and rise to 2. 2: It means between the lower line and the middle line of the Price Channel and is indicated in red. This section is likely to show a weak downward sideways movement. Therefore, if it rises from 1->2, there is a possibility of a short rise. However, if it fails to rise to 3, it is likely to fall back to 1, so it is recommended to make short trades. 3: It means between the middle line and the upper line of the Price Channel and is displayed in green. This section is likely to show a weak upward sideways movement. If it rises from 2 -> 3 and shows a sideways movement, you should focus on finding a buying point. 4: It means above the upper line of the Price Channel and is displayed in dark green. If it enters this section, there is a high possibility of a sharp rise. Since it is likely to stop rising soon and fall to 3, you should check the support and resistance points. - What we should pay attention to is when it changes from 1 -> 2, 4 -> 3. As explained above, 1 is a section located below the lower line of the Price Channel, so there is a high possibility of a sharp fall. 4 is a section located above the upper line of the Price Channel, so there is a high possibility of a sharp rise. Therefore, you can proceed with an aggressive buy when it changes from 1 -> 2, and you can proceed with a sell when it changes from 4 -> 3. In the case of futures, it can be used as reference information for entering and liquidating LONG and SHORT positions. - They say that the only things you need on a chart are price and trading volume. However, it is not easy to interpret this in reality. To compensate for this, we hid the colors of the existing candles and displayed them in 4 stages of OBV so that you can intuitively see which stage the current price is at. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. --------------------------------------------------
Current Market Structure: The chart suggests that IREDA is undergoing a Wave (2) correction after completing a strong impulsive Wave (1). The corrective phase is labeled as an A-B-C structure, indicating a possible end to the pullback in the coming weeks or months. Wave Count & Key Levels: Wave A initiated the downward correction, followed by Wave B retracement, and now Wave C is in progress, subdividing into a five-wave pattern. The projected completion zone for Wave (2) is highlighted in the ₹50–₹80 range, aligning with Fibonacci extensions and previous structural support. An additional 1.618 Fibonacci extension target is placed near ₹23.78, though this would be an extreme case. Outlook & Strategy: If the price reaches the projected support zone and shows a strong reversal, it could indicate the beginning of a Wave (3) uptrend. A confirmed break above key resistance levels and trendlines would strengthen the bullish case. However, if selling pressure continues, a deeper correction toward the extreme target cannot be ruled out. ? Disclaimer: The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice, investment recommendations, or trading signals. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst or advisor. Always conduct your own research and analysis before making any financial decisions. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. I may be completely wrong in my analysis. Please consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
? #TOTAL2 Analysis ? Weekly Timeframe: ? Ascending Parallel Channel – Price has tested and rebounded from lower support, keeping the structure intact. ⚡ Key Outlook: - If momentum strengthens, CRYPTOCAP:ETH and alts could see a bullish move. - A breakdown below support may invalidate the trend. ? Watch for confirmation of strength before positioning!
Hi, This weekend, I’ll be mapping out BTC’s path based on the weekly timeframe so we can monitor its behavior over the last two days of the week. We’ll focus on how the weekly (W) and daily (D1) candles close. If the price action unfolds as I anticipate, the D1 and H4 timeframes will push BTC higher than its current range of 87k-88k, where it might either consolidate sideways or pull back slightly. This is also the zone where both the D1 and W candles will close. This price level is critical. If BTC hits this target and the weekly candle closes strong, it’ll gain momentum to climb toward the higher range of 92k-97k, supported by the weekly timeframe. Summary: Short-term (D1 & H4): BTC will reach around 88k, hover there as we await the weekly candle close, and then resume its upward journey into the following week. Mid-term (W): A solid weekly candle close will fuel BTC’s next leg up, targeting 92k-97k with support from the weekly trend. Post-mid-term: After this move, BTC will likely retrace to 72k or 66k, setting up a swing short opportunity. Per the plan, let’s see how BTC chews through these levels!
Oh yeah, posting early because I had coffee this evening and am wired. Happy Friday! Hope you all had a safe and profitable trading week, if not, don't sweat it, the PA was pretty bad and pretty challenging for most. The worst part is the current PA requires a lot of patience. If you're a scalper, probably not so bad but I personally find there are a lot more scalp traps lately than usual, so I do advise against scalps. Doing another written post, just because I find I can organize my analysis and thoughts better and be more in-depth without wasting too much of your time. So let's start off with the summary for next week, adding some new variables that my stuff tracks but I generally don't share, but I should share because it may be helpful for you. Summary Here is the snapshot for SPY for next week: Best fit high target 567.96 with a probability of 29% (shown on the chart in white) Best fit low target is 553.95 with a probability of 73% (shown on the chart in white) Expected return on the week is -0.6% Expected High ATR Range from RSI is 3.20 (open to high) Expected Low ATR Range from RSI is -4.05 (open to low) Expected High ATR Range from MFI is 5.18 (open to high) Expected Low ATR Range from MFI is -3.01 (open to low) Expected High ATR Range from Stochastic is 3.38 (open to high) Expected Low ATR Range from Stochastic is -6.7 (open to low) SPY Remains below the EMA 200 on the day, having had multiple rejections, and multiple attempts at reclaiming but always failing to hold. We still have our outstanding 5% pullback from the cross below the EMA 200. The TP is approximately 533 ish. Overall, based on the summary, the outlook is bearish. ? Volume Data https://www.tradingview.com/x/m2AzFUSG/ Volume profile has shifted from a sea of selling to a lot of buying over the last 5 days. POC for the last 5 days (1 trading week) is now up to 564, so this will be an area to watch for consolidation and generally not an area to take a trade. This is a very important thing to keep in mind, you don't want to do anything if SPY is at 564 as this is consolidation zone based on volume!!!! Volume remains overall low. If we look at the last 25 trading days, we can see that sellers are very much there, it is likely that we have just dropped in volume this past week. Take a look at the 25 day (1 trading month) volume profile: https://www.tradingview.com/x/6i4xSUwK/ If you read the description in the volume profile chart, you will understand the predicament, and also understand kind of, where the rangeyness and whipsaw come from. There is still a lot of panic in the market, a lot of fear, people are trapped and looking for exits. This translates to stark rejections of certain levels where bulls and bears are trapped. Leading into this week we only had trapped bulls, now we have trapped bulls and bears, so we are between a rock and a hard place in terms of making progress in a direction without seeing a lot of covering leading to some more volatility and whipsaw. Overall, the volume metrics are positive and I would rank them as bullish. ? EMA Data We crossed below the EMA 200 on March 10th and closed below on the day. This historically leads to 5% pullback on average across both SPX, ES1! and SPY. The pullback of 5% is calculated from the close of the day, which was around 557. So, 557 - 5% is about 529 ish (I am rounding, the TP is more around 531 - 533). Currently we are holding the EMA 300 as support. We have had over 3 failed reclaims of the EMA 200. Overall, the EMA statistics are bearish ?. https://www.tradingview.com/x/7Pf4oCUY/ Time Series I haven't talked about time series in a hot minute. Like years acutually. So those of you who are long time followers, hi, how are you?! You will remember the sacred time series that carried us through the 2022 decline. As of right now, I am leaning heavily to the quadratic time series model. Leaning towards a quadratic model assumes bear market correction. This could be or couldn't be. We won't know for sure until the market makes a new ATH. However, it was my guiding light in 2022 and it is current guiding light right now. So let's just go over SPY's quadratic time mean, range and forecast very quickly. SPY's qudratic time series model can be expressed as y = trading days(-3.902e-02) + trading days squared(1.062e-05) + 1.109e+02 Sigma or residual error range is 39.32 Taking this into consideration, SPY's current quadratic range is between 529 and 451. 451 is the LCL or lower confidence level. The LCL is where SPY found a bottom in 2022. Historically in bear markets, only 1 bear market has exceeded the LCL, and that was in 2008, where it exceeded by around 5 points. Overall, the time series statistics are bearish ?. Quick side note, if you followed me during 2022 and you have a photographic memory, you will notice our sigma (error range) is the exact same as currently, +/- 39. Kind of cool because it tells us SPY is really not doing anything it hasn't done before. Forecast for Next Week Forecast using only this past week data https://www.tradingview.com/x/KjRJvdXc/ Forecast using the entire downtrend period and this consolidation period Data input: https://www.tradingview.com/x/WAc0ROWW/ Forecast result over the next 150 hours: https://www.tradingview.com/x/47rluxa2/ Overall, the forecast is bearish ?. Verdict We have what? Four bears, ? ? ? ? for 1 bull ?. To summarize Volume: Bullish Overall stats: Bearish Time series: Bearish Forecast: Bearish EMA Bearish My expectation is up towards 570 into Monday, before seeing a rejection and consolidation again. Currently, the EMA 200 is at 568, 570 would require another break of the ema 200 and fail. The bearish thesis would be tentatively invalidated if we were to break and hold above the EMA 200. In this case, we would be looking for a further bounce of around 5% more upside. Those are my thoughts, not advice of course. As always, safe trades! ?
BTC.DAILY.22.3.2025 Over the past few days, BTC has continued its correction on the H4 timeframe as part of its bottoming process. That bottom appears to have been completed, and BTC is now moving into another upward leg. This Saturday and Sunday, BTC is expected to push up toward the 88k–91k zone. The speed of this move will depend on overall market dynamics, but the 88k–91k range is a key area to watch for a potential continuation of the downtrend on the D1 timeframe. The plan: Short-term scalping on BTC in the LONG direction Simultaneously wait for a solid SHORT entry point to swing back down to the 72k zone Time to bite into BTC, folks. Good luck out there.
The Wolfpack pattern: The price has tested the support zone several times (around $82,000), showing Signs of buying pressure Indicates that sellers are weak and controlling the market (LH) Reversal Pattern - The formation of a higher bottom indicates An expected upward movement The chart illustrates a breakout scenario with an upward trajectory. The target zone is between $91,000 and $94,000, based on the green box indicating a potential take-profit zone. This is not financial advice.
Break resistance line. Frist target is 3.5 usdt What do you think about Near?