By utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails.
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GOLD currently trade at $2987 when i write this idea. GOLD bullish momentum started when CPI data released followed by PPI data. Both of data show inflation slowdown. Last Tuesday, job opening data also showed us a neutral level and we can conclude that the labor market is still in slow pace. A week ago NFP also showed us weak data and slow down in labor market. Fundamentally, this labor market slow down and inflation that coming up in a lower level will give THE FED to cut rate in the next May or June. Besides all that the trade war still heating up and there is no clear way how to end the geopolitical war in Russia - Ukraine and also Middle East. Traders seems just make early entry and buying GOLD as safe haven commodity and assume THE FED will cost lower borrowing rate. Technically, GOLD just broke it's resistance trendline on symmetrical triangle pattern. It's just indicates that bullish movement of this instrument still going on and we don't know where it will stop. I see $3032 as the next level if $2986-$2987 broke up. Is there any surprises in the next week? IF THE FED revised it's Federal Fund Rate to 3.4% or lower i see GOLD will play at $3000-$3100 for a few next month Do you have any opinion guys?? Just give your comments below!
Kiwi Franc is reacted on the 0.49900 barrier, and the price is aiming to settle into the 0.5000's. As long as the price is above the two barriers, momentum will likely lead to growth within the pair as price is correcting within the structure.
Price projection based on volume profile. This my personal opinion and for education purpose only, to show how VP can be used. Uses 15m chart and VP from the recent top
It has broken the support channel in 1 hr time frame and is likely to go down.
U.S. Treasury bonds rose on the back of risk aversion, and U.S. Treasury yields fell collectively. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.273%; the two-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 3.98%. As the global trade war intensifies and stimulates risk aversion demand, spot gold hit a new record high, approaching the $2,990 mark, and finally closed up 1.9% at $2,988.89 per ounce. Spot silver closed up 2.15% at $33.86 per ounce. In terms of interest rate cuts, the latest CME "Fed Watch" data shows that the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 98.0%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.0%, the probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by May is 79.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 19.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.4%. U.S. gold continued to rise, breaking through the integer mark of $3,000 per ounce during the session. Note that the volatility of the market is increasing. Gold fluctuated upward on Thursday, with a large positive line recorded at the daily level. The gold bulls performed very strongly and there is a probability of further continuation. Today's operation considers retracement and layout of long orders first, and high short orders as a supplement. Gold plan: Gold retreats above 2966 and stabilizes more, with a target of 2978-2990, and a stop loss of 5 US dollars. If the gold price breaks below $2940/ounce, it will stop the expected bullish trend and push the gold price to regain the main trend of fluctuations. It is expected that the gold price will trade between the support level of $2960/ounce and the resistance level of $3000/ounce today.
Pattern Lovers will be Love this one!!! Megaphone pattern ? Breakout Will Comming? Make Sure Manage your risk here , Dyor! Goodluck ? Giga Bullish?