Based on the M30 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 149.12, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 149.80, a swing high resistance. The stop loss is placed at 148.56, a swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Price is showing a nice strength to the upside. With 2 days remaining in the month we can see a new higher high. Today 2/26 showed a retest of a d1 breakout to the upside with rejection. DG is a long term hold and will hit new highs with plenty of gaps to fill. Hopefully February starts the reversal in the consumer staples sector.
If you’re worried about a recession, you should be watching the Yield Curve Inverting. Historically, an inversion signals a recession, but with a lag. We can see this on the chart whenever the yield curve hits 0% This shows the 2Y yield higher than the 10Y which is a signal that the market expects slow economic growth. To counter-act the inversion, the Fed cuts the EFFR, although they are always late. One would think that the Fed would learn from history, and get ahead of the curve this time around. Only time will tell. I’m cautiously optimistic as Treasury Secretary Bessent has stated that he has a weekly meeting with Fed Chair Powell.
? Market Overview: Trend: Bearish Key Levels: Resistance: $2,400, $2,530 Support: $2,300, $2,200 Indicators: MACD: Bearish divergence, momentum weakening RSI: 37.2, approaching oversold territory EMA 200: Strong resistance at $2,530 Liquidity & Volume: Low liquidity, potential for market maker traps High sell pressure on resistance levels ? Scalping Strategy: ? 1. Momentum Scalping (Short Bias) Entry: Short at $2,350-$2,400 Target: $2,300, $2,250 Stop-loss: Above $2,410 Expected Profit: 2-4% ? 2. Range Scalping Buy Zone: $2,300 support level Target: $2,350 Stop-loss: Below $2,280 Expected Profit: 1.5-2% ? 3. Breakout Scalping Entry: If ETH drops below $2,280 Target: $2,200 Stop-loss: Above $2,300 Expected Profit: 3.5-5% ? Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks): If ETH fails to reclaim $2,400, further decline to $2,200 likely If ETH breaks below $2,280, expect a quick drop to $2,200 Only a strong reclaim above $2,530 will shift the trend bullish ? News & Market Context: ETH showing weak recovery after major sell-offs Low institutional inflows compared to BTC No strong catalysts for a reversal ? Decision & Risk Rating (1-10): ? Short-term (Scalping): Short bias, 8/10 (High probability) ? Mid-term (Swing): Bearish, 7/10 (Breakdown possible) ? Best Play: Short near $2,350 with a target of $2,300-$2,250 ? Final Verdict: Ethereum remains weak, struggling to hold key supports. Scalping shorts remain favorable. Don't catch falling knives—wait for confirmations. ? FinCaesar's Statement: "Victory belongs to those who move with precision, not emotion."
Based on the m15 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently testing our buy entry at 1.2661, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fobo retracement. Our take profit will be at 1.2684, an overlap resistance. The stop loss will be placed at 1.2646, below the 78.6% Fibo retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Very good opportunity to buy. The first target is very easy to achieve
? Market Overview: Trend: Bearish Key Levels: Resistance: $86,500, $90,600 Support: $84,500, $82,000 Indicators: MACD: Negative, showing bearish momentum RSI: 43.3, oversold zone approaching EMA 200: Acting as resistance, rejection near $90,600 Liquidity & Volume: Strong sell-offs with increased bearish volume Market makers possibly driving price lower before a rebound ? Scalping Strategy: ? 1. Momentum Scalping (Short Bias) Entry: Sell near $85,000 Target: $84,000, $83,500 Stop-loss: Above $85,600 Potential Profit: ~1.2% - 1.8% ? 2. Breakout Scalping Entry: If BTC breaks below $84,000 Target: $82,500 Stop-loss: Above $84,500 Potential Profit: ~1.8% ? 3. EMA & VWAP Scalping Entry: Short when price rejects EMA 200 ($86,500) Target: $84,200 Stop-loss: Above $87,000 Potential Profit: ~2.6% ? Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks): If BTC holds $84,500, expect consolidation before potential rebound If breakdown occurs, $82,000 is the next major support Only a confirmed breakout above $90,600 will shift momentum bullish ? News & Market Context: Increased selling pressure from institutions Possible market manipulation before ETF-related movements Global market sentiment leaning risk-off ? Profit Calculation: Average scalping trades yield 1.2% - 2.6% per position Risk-reward ratio: 1:2 or better in most setups ? Trade Rating (1-10): ? Momentum Scalping: 8/10 – Strong setup, but needs volume confirmation ? Breakout Scalping: 7/10 – Good setup if BTC loses $84,000 support ? EMA/VWAP Scalping: 9/10 – High probability short near EMA 200 Final Score: 8/10 – High potential trade, but requires tight risk management ? Decision: ? Short-term: Favoring shorts near resistance ? Mid-term: Cautious, potential for breakdown ? Ideal Play: Scalp shorts near $85,000-$86,500 ? Final Verdict: The market is not in favor of long positions. Smart money is distributing, and retail traders are being trapped in fake recoveries. Stay disciplined. ? FinCaesar's Statement: "The weak chase the pumps. The strong anticipate the dumps."
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Daily hammer candle, bottom of years consolidating triangle. Good risk to reward trade.