Tight trading channel at hand here, technically signaling for a bullish take in this instance.
S&P 500 (SPX500) – March 6, 2025 The price has a bearish movement because again stabilized below the pivot zone. ? Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 5,856, the downtrend remains active, with the next key support levels at 5,792 and 5,764. ? Bullish Scenario: A break and 1H or 4H close above 5,879 would indicate a bullish shift, targeting 5,920 and 5,938. ⚠️ Market Impact: The tariff situation and geopolitical tensions with Ukraine have increased market uncertainty, leading to a risk-off sentiment. Key Levels to Watch ? Resistance: 5,879 | 5,920 ? Pivot: 5,856 ? Support: 5826 | 5,792 | 5,764 ? Directional Bias: Bearish below 5,856 – A confirmed breakdown below 5,792 would strengthen downside momentum.
Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 32.44 which is an overlap support. Stop loss is at 31.85 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 33.30 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
You know the feeling. You’re confidently riding a winning trend, high on the euphoria of green candles, when—BAM—the market flips faster than a politician in an election year. Your once-perfect trade is now a humiliating red mess, and your stop loss is the only thing standing between you and financial pain. But what if you could see that reversal coming before it smacks you in the face? What if, instead of watching your profits evaporate, you could exit like a pro—or better yet, flip your position and ride the reversal in the other direction? Reversals don’t happen out of thin air. The signs are always there—you just have to know where to look. In this idea, we break down how to spot reversals before they happen. ? Price Action: The Market’s Way of Dropping Hints Markets don’t just change direction because they feel like it. Reversals happen when sentiment shifts—when buyers and sellers agree, sometimes all at once, that the current trend has run its course. The first clue? Price action itself. Look for hesitation. A strong uptrend should be making higher highs and higher lows. A downtrend should be carving out lower lows and lower highs. But what happens when that rhythm starts breaking? A higher high forms, but the next low dips below the previous one? Warning sign. Price approaches a key resistance level, but momentum stalls, and candles start looking indecisive? Caution flag. A massive engulfing candle wipes out the last three sessions? Somebody just hit the eject button. Before markets reverse, they throw up some red flags first—and depending on your time frame, these red flags can give you a heads up so you can prepare for what’s coming. ? Divergence: When Your Indicators Are Screaming "Lies!" Indicators might be lagging, but they’re not useless—especially when they start disagreeing with price. This is where divergence comes in. If the price is making new highs, but your favorite momentum indicator (RSI, MACD, Stochastic—you name it) isn’t? That’s a major warning sign. Bearish Divergence: Price makes a higher high, but RSI or MACD makes a lower high. Translation? The momentum behind the move is fizzling out. Bullish Divergence: Price makes a lower low, but RSI or MACD makes a higher low. Translation? Sellers are losing their grip, and a bounce might be coming. Divergences don’t mean immediate reversals, but they do suggest that something’s off. And when the market starts whispering, it’s best to listen before it starts shouting. ? Volume: Who’s Actually Driving the Move? A trend without volume is like a car running on fumes—it’s only a matter of time before it stalls. One of the clearest signs of a potential reversal is a divergence between price and volume. If price is pushing higher, but volume is drying up? Buyers are getting exhausted. If price is tanking, but selling volume isn’t increasing? The bears might be running out of steam. If a major support or resistance level gets tested with huge volume and a violent rejection? That’s not a coincidence—it’s a battle, and one side is losing. Reversals tend to be violent because traders are caught off guard. Watching the volume can help you avoid being one of them. ? Key Levels: Where the Market Loves to Reverse Price doesn’t move in a vacuum. There are levels where reversals love to happen. Support and Resistance: The most obvious, yet most ignored. When price approaches a level that’s been historically respected, pay attention. Fibonacci Retracements: Markets are weirdly obsessed with 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% retracement levels. If a trend starts stalling near these zones, don’t ignore it. Psychological Numbers: Round numbers (like 1.2000 in Forex , $500 in stocks , or $120,000 in Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD act like magnets. The more traders fixate on them, the more likely they become reversal points. Smart money isn’t chasing prices randomly. They’re watching these levels—and if you’re not, you might consider doing it. ? Candlestick Warnings: When the Market Paints a Picture Candlesticks aren’t just pretty chart elements that give you a sense of thrill—they tell stories. Some of them hint at “reversal.” Doji: The ultimate indecision candle. If one pops up after a strong trend, the market is questioning itself. Engulfing Candles: A single candle that completely erases the previous one? That’s power shifting sides. Pin Bars (Hammer/Inverted Hammer, Shooting Star): Long wicks show rejection. When they appear at key levels, reversals often follow. Candlestick patterns alone aren’t enough, but when they show up alongside other reversal signals, they’re hard to ignore. ? The News Factor: When Fundamentals Crash the Party Technical traders like to pretend breaking news doesn’t matter—until it does. Earnings reports , economic data , interest rate decisions ECONOMICS:USINTR —these events can turn a strong trend into a dumpster fire instantly. A stock making all-time highs right before earnings? Tread carefully. A currency pair trending up before an inflation report? One bad number, and it’s lights out. A crypto rally before a major regulation announcement? That could end badly. Reversals don’t always come from charts alone. Sometimes, they come from the real world. And the market rarely gives second chances. ✨ The Reversal Cheat Sheet: When Everything Aligns A single signal doesn’t guarantee a reversal. But when multiple factors line up? That’s when you need to take action. If you see: ✅ Divergence on indicators ✅ Volume drying up or spiking at a key level ✅ A major support/resistance level getting tested ✅ Reversal candlestick patterns forming ✅ News lurking in the background Then congratulations—you’ve likely spotted a reversal before your stop loss takes the hit. ✍ Conclusion: Stay Ahead, Not Behind Catching reversals before they happen isn’t magic—it’s just about knowing where to look. Price action, volume, key levels, indicators, and even the news all leave clues. The problem? Most traders only see them after their account takes the hit. Don’t be most traders. Pay attention, recognize the signs, and act before the market flips the script on you. Because the best time to spot a reversal? Before it happens. Do you use any of these strategies to spot reversals in your trading? What’s the last time you did it and what were you trading—forex, crypto, stocks or something else? Let us know in the comments!
https://www.tradingview.com/x/IdiIdYDK/ On a yesterday's live stream, we discussed that Gold is consolidating within a horizontal range. After a test of its resistance, we got a local sideways movement and distribution. Violation of its minor support is a strong intraday bearish signal. Because of that, I think that the price may drop to 2900 support. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
With our 1:1 profit target achieved, we'll now aim for a 1:2 ratio. To lock in some gains, let's secure half of the profits and allow the remaining position to run towards the full take-profit level.
USDJPY: Ready To start another bearish wave During the previous week, former President Trump accused China and Japan of intervening in the forex market, claiming they were taking advantage of the US. Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba responded, stating that Japan is not pursuing a currency devaluation policy and disagreed with Trump's accusations. Since then, the JPY has become more volatile, possibly pushing USD/JPY down to satisfy Trump's demands. Additionally, Japan aims to avoid a trade war with the US. The odds are that USD/JPY could begin another bearish wave following this week's turmoil, as shown on the chart. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
1. **Accumulation and Distribution Phases**: - There's a clear accumulation phase between November 2023 and February 2024, showing price consolidation at lower levels. - A distribution phase appears from June to August 2024, with price making higher highs before reversing. 2. **Wyckoff Schematics**: - The chart shows a "Spring" around March 2023 (when price broke below support then quickly reversed). - Several "Tests" of resistance levels are visible, particularly around June-July 2024. - The "Sign of Strength" rally is evident from February to May 2024. 3. **Volume Analysis**: - Volume increased during the early 2024 uptrend (accumulation confirmation) - The May 2024 peak showed high volume (distribution), followed by decreasing volume as price declined. - Recent selling has occurred on increased volume (bearish confirmation). 4. **Price/Volume Relationships**: - Price rises on increasing volume (bullish) - Price drops on increasing volume (bearish) - Several instances of "effort vs. result" divergence, where large volume (effort) produced minimal price movement (result). 5. **Current Positioning**: - The stock appears to be in a re-accumulation or possibly continued distribution phase. - The recent lower highs and lower lows suggest continued weakness. - The multiple "Sell" signals on the chart align with Wyckoff's distribution concept. The Fibonacci retracement levels (0.382, 0.5, 0.618) shown on the chart support the Wyckoff analysis, with price respecting these key levels during both advances and declines.
BTC Market Analysis: Update and Future Expectations We are pleased to report that our previous prediction has been confirmed, with the price successfully pumping in our anticipated direction. Our attention now shifts to the marked supply zone, where we expect a potential rejection to occur. This rejection may trigger a pullback, and traders are advised to monitor price action closely for a potential trading opportunity.
Hallo zusammen, ein schneller Tag mit nur einem Trade heute, ein guter Einstieg wurde verpasst (Kaffeemaschine war zu langsam), Der Block Break war ein Paradebeispiel für einen Breakout, da hat einfach alles gepasst. Buildup, Bruch der Range und niedrigere Hochs innerhalb der Range. Schade, aber das gehört dazu. Relativ zeitnah danach gab es die zweite, gute Möglichkeit. Die dreieckige Formation hat sich an einer Widerstandszone gebildet. Auf Höhe des "Buildups" gabs zudem ein double Top. Alles Indizien dafür, dass die "Bären" weiterhin das Sagen haben. Weitere Infos im Part 2