WTI oil is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour time frame and is moving in its upward channel. In case of a downward correction towards the demand zone, the next opportunity to buy oil with a suitable risk reward will be provided for us. Being in the supply zone of oil will provide us with the possibility of selling it with reimport at a suitable risk. The price of US crude oil futures (WTI) reached $75 per barrel, marking its highest level in the past three months. According to the American Petroleum Institute (API), US oil inventories dropped by 4 million barrels last week. If this reduction is confirmed by official data, inventories would reach their lowest levels since 2014. The severe cold in the United States has increased fuel demand and heightened risks of production disruptions, while Europe is also facing harsh winter conditions. Meanwhile, the Trump administration’s tighter sanctions on Iran, combined with a global supply reduction and persistent cold weather, could pave the way for further increases in oil prices. Last year, crude oil prices declined due to weak demand from China and oversupply. Market analysts predict that oil prices will remain under pressure in 2025. In its November report, the International Energy Agency projected that global oil demand would grow by less than one million barrels per day in 2025, a significant decline compared to the two-million-barrel-per-day increase seen in 2023. The Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) forecasts that Brent crude prices will drop to $70 per barrel this year due to expectations of increased oil supply from non-OPEC+ countries, which could offset global consumption growth. In a December note, BMI stated that the global oil market would likely face an oversupply in the first half of 2025 as new and substantial production from the US, Canada, Guyana, and Brazil enters the market. However, if OPEC+ implements its voluntary production cut plans, this oversupply could exert even more downward pressure on prices. BMI also highlighted that the outlook for global demand in 2025 remains unclear, stating, “Global demand for oil and gas continues to face uncertainty, with sustained economic growth and rising fuel consumption potentially offset by the impacts of trade wars, inflation, and declining demand in developed markets.” Additionally, the recent disruption of Russian gas flows to several European countries by Ukraine on the first day of the new year has added further uncertainty to global markets. As long as this situation persists, gas prices are expected to remain elevated. Citi Bank also noted that colder weather in the US and Asia during the remaining winter months could keep prices at high levels. According to the Financial Times, Donald Trump, who will assume office on January 20, is set to take control of one of the most powerful economic governance tools, capable of significantly enhancing America’s influence abroad. This tool is unmatched since the Cold War. However, the US economic framework remains flawed due to poor coordination and conflicting political priorities, presenting Trump with significant challenges in developing and implementing it. Unlike Joe Biden’s efforts to create a multifaceted geopolitical approach similar to China’s, the US economic framework suffers from issues in coordination and goal-setting.
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Bitcoin has experienced a significant selloff over the past few days, driven by a broader "risk-off" sentiment in the market, compounded by rising U.S. government bond yields. Could today serve as the catalyst for a potential breakdown of key support levels?
https://www.tradingview.com/x/4RukRe5w/ IF Pnutusdt formed bearish rectangle we will see 0.4 - 0.2 cent, It is a good opportunity for long.
Bitcoin has experienced a significant selloff over the past few days, driven by a broader "risk-off" sentiment in the market, compounded by rising U.S. government bond yields. Could today serve as the catalyst for a potential breakdown of key support levels? https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/Y4NaIkMU-Bitcoin-Going-Lower/
The Fibonacci retracement levels at 0.618 and 0.786 are significant indicators used by traders to identify potential support and resistance levels for the stock $HOSE:CTR. These levels are derived from the Fibonacci sequence and are commonly used in technical analysis to predict potential price reversals. 0.618 Level: This level is around 124,000 VND and is considered a critical support level. Traders often look for signs of a price reversal at this level, as it represents a 61.8% retracement of the previous price move. If the price approaches this level, it may indicate a potential buying opportunity. 0.786 Level: This level is around 118,400 VND and is another important support level. It represents a 78.6% retracement and is often watched closely by traders. A bounce off this level could signal a strong reversal and a potential entry point for long positions.
NAS100USD (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating indecision in the market. This pattern reflects a balance between buyers and sellers, with the potential for a breakout in either direction. Forecast: A breakout on either side of the triangle will determine the next directional move. Traders are advised to wait for confirmation before entering a position. Key Levels to Watch: Entry Zone: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the resistance or below the support of the triangle. Risk Management: Stop Loss: Placed beyond the opposite side of the breakout to manage risk. Take Profit: Target measured moves based on the height of the triangle, projected from the breakout point. Market Sentiment: The symmetrical triangle suggests neutral sentiment, with the potential for significant movement depending on the breakout direction.
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