Head and shoulders pattern detected here on the day chart, should see large support line bounce at 0.91$ USD . Upside after that will be recharted lots of potential looking for a bounce here
XRP @2.45 or below is a nice BUY idea! 12.18.24 #XRP #XOW #WealthStrategies
? ** AMEX:SPY Testing Key Support!** ? The **S&P 500 ETF ( AMEX:SPY )** is pressing against a critical support level — the **green trendline** that's been a pivotal bounce zone for months. Will it hold or break? ? ? **What’s driving the move?** - ? **Hawkish FOMC Outlook**: The Fed now sees **fewer rate cuts in 2025 (2 vs. 3 expected)**, keeping rates higher for longer. - ? **Geopolitical Risks**: Powell noted some Fed members are factoring in possible **Trump-era policy risks** (think tariffs & deportation) into their forecasts. - ⚠️ **Market Reaction**: Growth stocks are under pressure as higher rates impact valuations. ? **Why It Matters?** - If AMEX:SPY holds the support, we could see a technical rebound. ? - A breakdown below the green line could signal further downside risk. ? ? **Traders, are you buying the dip or waiting for the break?** Drop your thoughts below! ⬇️
closing triangle pattern with ABCDE, previous move of 100% with repeat can see upto 5$ + in the near future
#Bitcoin has four key factors, apart from news and market psychology, that have contributed to its drop—something we were expecting. Remember, every drop is a buying opportunity. The market is gathering its fuel to make a big move and explode upward.? So, these days are shopping time?. Now, let’s go through the four points: 1- CME Gap: Bitcoin had a CME gap between $103,670 and $102,470 that needed to be filled. 2- Bearish Divergence: It showed bearish divergence across most timeframes, which we’ve illustrated on the chart. 3- Weak Buying Power: There hasn’t been strong buying power, and selling volumes have been higher. 4- Bitcoin Dominance: Dominance has made another move toward 59–60%, likely to shake out weak hands and gather bullish fuel for the next rally. ?On the chart, we’ve identified two potential points where Bitcoin could rebound: 1- Around the 12H MA50: This is roughly at the bottom of the ascending channel and aligns with the horizontal support level at $98,292.61, making it a strong potential reversal point. 2- If the ascending channel breaks: #Bitcoin could drop to retest the 12H MA100, which is near the support zone between $93,010 and $92,310, before moving back up. ?♂️If Bitcoin reverses upward, the first target is ?$110,657, and the second target is ?$118,828. For now, we’ll stick to this analysis and see how the market reacts. ?Avoid using leveraged trades under any circumstances until the market establishes its direction.
The pullback I outlined in my last ETH post came to fruition, however, there was a surprise retest of resistance before failing again and pulling back. Now we are at the bottom of the ascending channel but if we lose support here, it looks like we may be forming a sideways channel, in light blue lines on the chart. With support of bottom of channel and 200 EMA on the 4h candle, seems like a good chance to hold here. Lets look at the details. ------------------------------------------- # ETH/USD Analysis – 4H Chart ? ## Structure and Price Action: **Parallel Ascending Channel** ETH/USD is trading within a **parallel ascending channel**, with price oscillating between the upper and lower bounds (green lines). The price is currently testing the **lower trendline support** of the channel, following a recent rejection near the **$4,000–$4,050** region. **Bearish Rejection at Resistance** Sellers stepped in at the **$4,050 Bearish Order Block (OB)** (red zone), leading to a sharp reversal. This indicates heavy supply at this level, halting upward momentum. **Bullish Order Block Retest** The price is approaching multiple **Bullish Order Blocks (OB)** around **$3,500–$3,600** (green zones), a strong demand area where buyers previously defended. --- ## Support and Resistance: **Immediate Resistance** - **$3,800–$4,000**: Key resistance zone aligning with the upper channel boundary and recent bearish OB. - **$4,050**: Critical rejection level and prior swing high. **Key Support Levels** - **$3,500–$3,600**: Primary demand zone, reinforced by bullish OBs. - **$3,300**: Secondary support area in case of deeper pullback. --- ## Indicators **EMAs (20/50/100/200):** - Price has fallen **below EMA 20 ($3,880.60)** and **EMA 50 ($3,810.46)** – short-term bearish bias. - **EMA 100 ($3,613.86)**: Acting as dynamic support near the current price. - **EMA 200 ($3,380)**: Long-term support level. **Parabolic SAR** - SAR dots are **above the price**, signaling bearish momentum. Watch for a shift below the price for trend reversal. **Volume** - Volume **spiked on the recent drop**, reflecting increased selling pressure near the lower channel boundary. **Stochastic RSI** - Stochastic RSI is **oversold** (3.69/7.86), signaling potential for a short-term bounce. **Money Flow Index (MFI)** - MFI sits at **23.89** (oversold), suggesting buyers may soon step in. --- ## Pattern Analysis: **Ascending Channel Breakdown Risk** ETH/USD is at the **lower channel support ($3,600)**. A breakdown below this level could invalidate the bullish channel and trigger bearish momentum. --- ## Probabilistic Outlook **Bullish Bounce (Primary Scenario):** If buyers defend the **$3,500–$3,600** zone and volume increases: - **First Target**: $3,800–$3,850 (EMA 20 and recent resistance). - **Second Target**: $4,000–$4,050 (upper channel resistance and bearish OB). **Bearish Breakdown (Alternate Scenario):** If price closes below **$3,500**: - **First Target**: $3,300 (next significant support). - **Second Target**: $3,200–$3,000 (psychological support and structural zone). --- ## Key Signals to Watch: 1. **Lower Channel Support ($3,600):** Break below = bearish continuation. 2. **Volume on Breakdown or Bounce:** Rising volume confirms the move. 3. **EMA 100 Support ($3,613):** Holding this EMA could trigger a short-term bounce. 4. **Stochastic RSI and MFI:** Both oversold; favoring bounce unless sellers persist. --- ## Order books Took a significant hit, losing about 15% of its prior levels. The market depth ration has remained stable, inferring bullish sentiment overall but weakening books can deteriorate this, we will look for order book levels to recover past today's levels to validate reversal. ## Conclusion ETH/USD is at a **critical juncture** within the ascending channel. Buyers must defend **$3,600** to maintain the bullish structure. A successful bounce targets **$3,800–$4,000**, while a breakdown below **$3,500** could open the door for a decline toward **$3,300–$3,200**. ? **Watch volume and key support levels for confirmation of the next move.** ?
I guess downward ends here or with a shadow at 98-100k which collects liquidity there to continue
... for a 39.56 debit. Comments: This ... is unwinding. Adding at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 39.56/share Max Profit: 2.44 ROC at Max: 6.17% 50% Max: 1.22 ROC at 50% Max: 3.09%
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