Market Structure & Price Action MSTR has recently formed multiple Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) signals, suggesting a power struggle between bulls and bears. The chart currently shows price climbing into a descending trendline and pressing right up against key resistance near the $307 zone after rejecting the CHoCH zone from below. * BOS confirms bullish intent, but it's climbing within a falling wedge, creating a potential breakout setup. * Support held strong at $272 and $281, forming a higher low structure with growing bullish momentum. Trendlines * The falling wedge pattern is a bullish reversal pattern. Price is nearing the apex—expect volatility and potential breakout in either direction. * A breakout above $307 with strong volume could trigger a squeeze toward $320–$344. * Breakdown below the rising trendline near $297 could invite downside liquidity grabs. Indicators Analysis * MACD is showing bullish cross momentum, but it’s flattening—momentum is not strong yet. * Stoch RSI is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a short-term pullback could occur before a true breakout. Key Levels * Support: $297 / $281 / $272 * Resistance: $307 / $320 / $344 * Reversal Zone: $272–$281 demand zone still valid if price drops. Options GEX Sentiment https://www.tradingview.com/x/KC6QYMJV/ * GEX Walls are stacked around $325 and $344, signaling heavy call positioning—possible magnet if momentum confirms. * IVR: 25.7 (low but rising) * Call%: 42.6% * IVx vs Avg IVx: +9.23% suggests bullish bets are heating up. * GEX: Green across the board — bullish gamma tilt. This GEX alignment suggests a call-dominant environment, especially above $307, increasing the probability of a gamma squeeze toward $320+ if bulls sustain pressure. Trade Ideas * Bullish Scenario: Long above $307 breakout with volume. Targets: $320, $344. * Bearish Scenario: Short below $297 breakdown or wick rejection at $307. Targets: $281 / $272. Conclusion MSTR is coiling at resistance with bullish signals building. If it breaks $307 with volume, there’s room for a sharp move higher supported by strong call walls and GEX. However, fading momentum or a fakeout at this level can lead to a pullback to $281 or lower. ? Watch the volume and MACD for confirmation before entering either side. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
All the important events in BTC during the cycle and times of bottoms, highs ahead of the next leg higher.
Market Structure & Price Action PayPal (PYPL) is showing early signs of a potential reversal after forming a CHoCH (Change of Character) near the $66 level following a prior BOS (Break of Structure) and key demand reaction around $63.38. The price is now trading inside a retest range from a previous order block and pushing higher with a bullish structure of higher lows. A clean ascending trendline supports the move, with price respecting the diagonal base. MACD is showing light momentum to the upside, and Stoch RSI is coiled just under overbought — signaling possible short-term consolidation before continuation or a breakout. Key Levels to Watch: * Resistance Zone (Supply): $71.50 – $72.00 * Support Zone (Demand): $63.38 – $64.57 * Breakout Trigger: Over $66.50 with volume * Breakdown Trigger: Below $63.38 BOS zone GEX & Options Flow Sentiment https://www.tradingview.com/x/q8Z23Y0z/ * GEX Walls (Gamma Exposure): * Highest Call Wall / Resistance: $72.00 * Put Wall / Support: $63.00 * Options Oscillator (Pro): * IVR: 39.7 * IVx avg: 45.3 * Call$: 12.6% * GEX: ??? * Bias: Slightly Bullish into resistance, volatility could expand above $67. Trade Setup Ideas Bullish: If price holds above $65.50 and breaks $66.50, we may see a squeeze toward $69 and eventually $71. * Entry: $66.50 * Stop: $64.70 * Targets: $69 / $71.50 Bearish: Failure to break $66.50 with rejection + bearish divergence may offer a put opportunity toward $63. * Entry: $65.70 rejection or breakdown below $64.50 * Stop: $66.60 * Target: $63.50 / $62.80 Conclusion PYPL is bouncing within a consolidating range, and the CHoCH suggests possible accumulation. A breakout above $66.50 confirms strength; otherwise, it’s a fade back to support. Watch the trendline and volume closely this week. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
Bitcoin (2024–2025) is tracing a structure similar to the Russell 2000 (2017–2018). On the slide: BTC on top, RUT below - both showing near-identical consolidation patterns just before a major breakout. Both periods were marked by macro stress: • 2018 + 2025: Trump tariffs + rising global trade friction Back in 2018, RYY rallied 22% into a blow-off top, tagging the 1.618 Fib. If BTC repeats the move, that projects a 70% rally - bringing us right to the $130K target we've been tracking. Same structure. Same season. Similar stress. Different ticker.
Rectangle Bottom A possible upward breakout from the upper trend line. Trading strategy 1: Trade between the rectangle. Wait for the price to touch the lower trend line. Buy around 63.42 Take profit around 76. Stop loss: when the candle closes below the lower trend line Trading strategy 2: Trade when the price breakout of the triangle upper trend line. Buy around 78. Take profit around 90. Stop loss: when the candle closes below the upper trend line.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/TTpUhupl/ Weekly and Daily Timeframes (W & D): GOLD is still in an uptrend, as the RSI's WMA45 is still hovering near the 70 level, and RSI remains above both of its moving averages. https://www.tradingview.com/x/PUkyTzFP/ H4 Timeframe: This timeframe is currently showing a correction. However, it's not yet considered a downtrend because the WMA45 is still in the high region, close to the 70 level. But, RSI has dropped below the WMA45. At present, the RSI on H4 is facing dynamic resistance from the WMA45 above and has support around the 4x level (43-48). The corresponding temporary price levels are approximately 3128 (resistance) and 3088 (support). This end-of-uptrend correction on H4 could lead to high price volatility. GOLD may move within a 300–400 pip range (between the resistance from WMA45 and the RSI support around the 4x zone). H1 Timeframe: Currently in a downtrend, as RSI is moving below both of its MAs, and the WMA45 has a noticeable downward slope. H1 also has RSI support at the 30 level (temporary price ~3086) and resistance at WMA45 above (temporary price ~3130). Since we’re focusing on intraday trading, priority is given to the H1 trend. https://www.tradingview.com/x/F9DQs0GS/ Figure 1 Trading Plan: SELL Entry Zone: When RSI on M15 approaches upper resistance: levels 50–55 or 65–70. Confirm Entry: Conservative/Safe approach: when M5 ends its uptrend and reverses (see example in Figure 1 – M5 ends uptrend when RSI crosses below both MAs). Or when bearish divergence appears on M5. Or even earlier, when there’s divergence on M1 and M5's WMA45 flattens out. Stoploss: 20–30 pips above M5’s recent peak. Or if RSI on M5/M15 breaks through its previous high. Take Profit: 100 pips or R:R >= 1:1. Or when M5’s downtrend ends (when RSI crosses above both MAs). You can check out the indicators I use here: https://www.tradingview.com/u/dangtunglam14/#published-scripts
1. Market Structure Analysis: XOM has formed a balanced range after printing a Break of Structure (BOS) and two notable CHoCHs on the 1H timeframe. Price is consolidating inside a green supply zone between 118.50–119.90, with wicks tapping the top of the zone but no clean breakout yet. The price structure is forming higher lows from the March 28th pivot, signaling accumulation beneath key resistance. 2. Supply and Demand Zones: * Demand Zone (Support): 117.21 → Strong historical zone and prior low from BOS candle. * Supply Zone (Resistance): 119.00 – 119.90 → Flat ceiling that's held since March 26. 3. Order Blocks and Support/Resistance: * Resistance: 119.90 (key gamma wall + SMC zone) * Support: 117.21 (red BOS support and trendline base) * Trendline: An ascending support trendline from March 28th low is intact. Watching for a triangle breakout or breakdown. 4. Key Indicators (MACD, Stoch RSI): * MACD shows a bullish crossover with histogram building strength. * Stoch RSI is rising out of oversold territory and nearing mid-zone. Still room to run before hitting exhaustion. These indicators currently support momentum building toward a bullish breakout. 5. Options Flow / GEX Sentiment Zones: https://www.tradingview.com/x/btS3iLTm/ * Highest positive GEX: 120.00 → Gamma resistance and breakout target. * Call Walls: 119.00 (74.31%), 121.00 (moderate), 124.00 (light). * Put Walls / Downside GEX: 116.00 is the HVL + strong negative gamma level, 115.00 and 113.00 are next layers of support. Options Oscillator: * IVR: 29.1 * IVx avg: 24.2 * Put$ Flow: 24.3% * GEX Bias: Strongly bullish with green bars stacked to 124 This setup supports a potential gamma squeeze if price pushes above 120 with strength. 6. Scalping vs Swing Outlook: * Scalp Bullish Trigger: Break and hold above 119.90 = breakout play to 121.00. * Scalp Bearish Trigger: Rejection at 119.90 = short setup back to 118.30–117.90. * Swing Bullish Setup: Entry on retest of 118.50 with SL below 117.20 and PT at 121.00 → 124.00 * Swing Bearish Setup: Only valid if clean break below 117.20 with volume, targeting 116 → 113. 7. Actionable Suggestion: If XOM opens above 119.50 and breaks 119.90 with increasing volume and flow, look for a momentum breakout toward 121 and 124. If the move stalls under 119.90 again, consider fading the resistance for a pullback play. 8. Conclusion: XOM is coiled for a potential breakout, sitting just below a major resistance cluster at 119.90. Gamma levels and bullish options flow favor an upside push, but failure to break could trigger mean-reversion. Watch for volume and reaction at the 120 level. 9. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
I have been waiting for a solid pull back. Price looks like it wants to give it up. But since it is so bullish I have to wait for it to show its hand first before assuming. If price wants to continue with the strong bullish action I feel they need to come back and correct some of the price action first. Looking for signs they want to continue for Asian Session.
NASDAQ:TLRY Up in Smoke or Waiting for the Puff and Pump? Left for Dead or a Sleeper Rocket in the Making? ? Alright, let’s talk about Tilray (TLRY). I know what you’re thinking: this thing’s been taken behind the woodshed, beaten, and then fed through the wood chipper—twice. Technically speaking, it’s been in a brutal downtrend. But here's where it gets interesting... Since December, I’ve been noticing signs of quiet accumulation. Volume patterns are showing life. This isn’t just random noise... it looks like smart money nibbling while the rest of the market sleeps. Fundamentally, it's trading at 0.68x sales and a crazy 0.17x price to book. That’s deep value territory... basically priced like it’s going out of business, which it’s not. Cannabis isn’t going anywhere, and when this sector comes back (and it will), I want to already be on the launchpad. Now imagine a scenario: Trump leans on Musk-style libertarian logic, and pushes for federal legalization to fill the coffers with tax revenue (and their pockets as they and their friends will be ahead of the trend as all politicians at that level are). Boom. You think this thing trades at 65 cents for long? Me neither. I’m not saying we’re going to $5 next week....but the risk/reward here feels very asymmetrical. Worst case? We chop sideways or retest lows. Best case? We get a face-melter rally that TLRY has shown it's capable of in the past. This is precisely the kind of chart I look for. Beaten up, forgotten, but technically setting up... and fundamentally undervalued. Not financial advice. Just sharing my thinking as someone who loves deep contrarian setups.
The British Pound looks very strong across the board. Check my post of GPBCHF lines below. Is forming a bullish flag at the monthly resistance to break it up violently. If it pulls back I'll add more. SL triggers is a weekly candles closes under the bottom of the flag but I hardly doubt it. I'm almost all in on the British Pound.