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? NASDAQ:HOOD – Robinhood zwischen Wachstum & Gegenwind – Hype vorbei, aber Chance noch da? ? Meine Gedanken: Robinhood ist einer dieser Titel, die eine gewisse Korrelation zum Kryptomarkt aufweisen – was jedoch aufgrund des jungen Alters des Unternehmens noch keine allzu große Aussagekraft hat und sich künftig auch verändern könnte. Eventuell ist die Struktur dem allgemeinen Marktumfeld der letzten Jahre geschuldet. Für diesen Titel habe ich zwei sehr unterschiedliche Annahmen: In der einen gehe ich von einem bullischen Aufwärtstrend aus, in der anderen lediglich von einem korrektiven Anstieg. In der bullischen Variante vermute ich, dass sich der Titel aktuell innerhalb einer Korrektur in Welle (4) befindet, die sich – wie skizziert – entwickeln könnte. Anschließend sollten neue Allzeithochs gebildet werden, bevor es zu einer größeren Korrektur kommt. In der bärischen Annahme könnte das lokale Top bei ~67 $ bereits den Abschluss eines korrektiven Anstiegs innerhalb einer Welle markiert haben, worauf nun eine größere Korrektur folgen müsste – mit einem Zielbereich von mindestens 14 $. Je nachdem, ob die Unterstützungen für das bullische Szenario halten, wird das bärische Szenario entsprechend wahrscheinlicher. ? Bärisches Szenario: Sollte der Kurs innerhalb der orangenen Zone keine bullische Gegenbewegung aufbauen und nachhaltig unterhalbdieser Zone fallen, erhöht das zunächst die Wahrscheinlichkeit für das bärische Szenario. Als starke Unterstützung dient die rote Unterstützungslinie bei 17,40 $. ? Potenzielle Unterstützungen: Zielzone der Welle (4) in Orange: ? 38,2 % Retracement bei $29,10 ? 50 % Retracement bei $22,50 ? 61,8 % Retracement bei $17,40 ➡️ Sobald die rote Unterstützung nachhaltig unterschritten wird, befinden wir uns im bärischen Szenario. Da die Unterstützung und das erste Kursziel dieses Szenarios sehr nah beieinander liegen, müsste die folgende Unterstruktur genau beobachtet werden, um festzustellen, welches Szenario tatsächlich zutrifft. ? Bullisches Szenario: Solange die orangene Zone – respektive die rote Unterstützungslinie – hält, hat das bullische Szenario weiterhin Bestand. Ein korrektiver Anstieg innerhalb der Welle B und ein darauffolgender erneuter Abverkauf in der Welle C würde die Welle (4) dann vermutlich komplettieren. Wird die grüne Widerstandslinie nachhaltig überschritten, steigt die Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass die Korrektur bereits abgeschlossen wurde. ? Wichtige Widerstände: In Grün wird ein mögliches Top einer überschießenden Welle B markiert: ? $85,49 – 138,2 % Retracement der Welle B ➡️ Ein nachhaltiger Bruch dieses Widerstands wäre ein kurzfristig bullisches Signal, das auf den weiteren Bestand eines bullischen Szenarios hindeutet. ? Kurzfristige mögliche Entwicklungen: Kurzfristig rechne ich mit der skizzierten Annahme: Ein Abverkauf in die orangene Zone, woraufhin eine bullische Gegenreaktion bis an die grüne Widerstandslinie folgen könnte. Abschließend könnte nochmals ein Abwärtsimpuls auf das Niveau der orangenen Zone erfolgen, bevor wir in die Welle übergehen – mit dem Ziel, neue Allzeithochs zu erreichen. ? Meine Analyse basiert auf der Elliott-Wellen-Theorie in logarithmischer Darstellung. ? Folgt mir gerne für weitere Marktanalysen & Investment-Strategien! Beste Grüße Jeff ✌? ❌ Keine Anlageberatung #Aktien #Robinhood #Krypto
After a strong dominance from buyers, the price has been led to our next zone of rejection, which stays between the neckline and the 100EMA line. We are going to look for any signs of weakness near this zone from where we expect another wave of downward movement to happen, just like we had when we broke the neckline zone the first time! Swallow Academy
BTC/USD currently trades above both short-term (34-EMA and 55-EMA) and below long-term (200-EMA) moving averages on the daily chart. Minor support is around $75800; breaking below this would drag the pair down to $72000/$65000. Immediate resistance is around $88000 any breach above confirms intraday bullishness, a jump to $90000/ $95000/$100000. A secondary barrier at $110,000 indicates that closing above this level could lead to targets at $111,292, $115,000, or even $135,000. Investment Strategy: Opportunities for Traders Indicators (4-hour chart). CCI(500- Bullish Directional movement index - Bullish It is good to buy on dips around $85000, with a stop-loss set at $78000 for a TP of $10000/$110000.
Buyers seem to have established a supportive zone where buyers are showing some kind of dominance on Ethereum. Although it is early to say that this would be the bounce zone for us, we need to see some sideways movement or a retest of that support zone, after which we are going to look once again for dominance to fall into buyers hands. Once we see that we are going to look for MSB to form, and then we will be looking for a long position here. Swallow Academy
https://www.tradingview.com/x/T1TdzybW/ I see a nice gap up opening on EURGBP. After a strong up movement, the pair finally leaves strong bearish clues. I see a bearish breakout of a neckline of a head & shoulders pattern on an hourly time frame after a test of a key intraday resistance. It looks to me that the price is going to drop and fill the gap. Goals: 0.8582 / 0.8567 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
? Technical Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD) – Weekly Chart ? Price Action & Structure Current Price: ~$3,420 Gold has been on a strong bullish rally, breaking previous highs and trending upwards in a steep channel. The chart shows a long-term ascending parallel channel, with price currently nearing the upper half. There's a crucial breakout zone marked around $3,500 – a psychological and technical resistance level. ? Key Levels Immediate Resistance: $3,500 – if a weekly candle closes above, it opens up bullish continuation. Next Target (TP): $4,083 – based on the breakout projection and mid-channel resistance. Further TP: $5,031 – top of the channel (longer-term target). Support Zone: $2,750 – highlighted in blue, a strong demand zone with past accumulation and breakout area. ? Technical Indicators to Watch (not visible but implied): Fibonacci Levels: The $3,500 zone could align with a major fib extension (likely 1.618 from previous swing). RSI: Likely in overbought territory on the weekly, hinting at possible short-term exhaustion or retracement. MACD: Likely showing strong momentum, but a bearish crossover on higher timeframe would confirm a pullback. Volume Profile: (not shown) could confirm if accumulation is happening above $3,500. ? Potential Scenarios Bullish Breakout: If price closes above $3,500 and holds, a rally toward $4,083 is likely. Fakeout & Rejection: If price gets rejected from $3,500 zone, we may see a pullback toward $2,750 for reaccumulation. Profit Booking: After reaching $4,000+, profit booking could cause consolidation or a deeper correction. ? Fundamental Analysis – Gold Outlook ? Macro Drivers Global Inflation: Persistent inflation has historically driven gold demand as a hedge. Interest Rates: Expectations of rate cuts by the Fed or other central banks in 2025 would favor gold prices. Geopolitical Risk: Ongoing global tensions (Middle East, Eastern Europe, etc.) tend to increase safe haven demand. Currency Weakness: A weakening USD supports gold, as it's priced in dollars. ? Investor Sentiment Central banks are increasing gold reserves (China, Russia, etc.). Demand for physical gold is high, especially from BRICS nations as they explore de-dollarization. ? Risk Factors Sudden hawkish stance by central banks could pressure gold. If inflation cools faster than expected, gold might see reduced interest as a hedge. Overbought technical could trigger short-term corrections. ✅ Conclusion Gold is currently in a strong bullish trend, testing a major resistance. A weekly close above $3,500 can push it to $4,083 and potentially $5,031 in the long term. However, retracement is likely if it fails to sustain above this level, with $2,750 acting as a key support zone. “Watch price action at $3,500 carefully — the breakout or rejection here could define the next 6–12 months of gold's direction.”
The Bitcoin price made an all time high the day that the ETFs launched, and then those ETFs spent most of 2024 in loss territory from the launch price. That launch day high was finally breached the day that Donald Trump won the US Presidential election. For the next few weeks the market rocketed higher with exuberance. That exuberance slowly faded and the market drifted lower. Recently, the market retested, nearly to the tick, the ETF launch and pre-election high, on two separate days, and further selling was rejected. The precision of this move took me by surprise. We are currently trading around 85k and have potentially broken the 2025 downtrend, but I should want to see some follow-through from buyers here to confirm this. I am not making any price predictions here, but will be watching closely the next few weeks to see how this plays out. There has been no word from the Trump administration in recent weeks about the crypto strategic reserve that he boasted on the campaign trail. There are far more pressing issues for the US President to focus on at present. Long term holders have been buying more volume than short term holders have been selling. Saylor's Strategy is still buying like a pure degenerate. Bitcoin has always been a market where buying begins to attract more buying. As prices rise, FOMO driven activity sends prices even higher. On the other hand, if the market price trades back to that ETF launch day high I would watch for it to be violated and we may see some serious institutional selling of those ETF shares below that level. Banks and hedge funds aren't the "diamond hands" HODL at all costs traders that retail Bitcoin buyers are. I have no leveraged position in Bitcoin currently and no interest in entering one. These days I follow this market purely for my own amusement. My primary trading instruments these days are CME gold futures and S&P500 futures.
The GBP/JPY pair is exhibiting range-bound behavior with a neutral intraday bias. The price action is oscillating between key support and resistance levels, indicating a lack of decisive momentum in either direction The overall sentiment remains cautiously bullish, with traders eyeing the key resistance at 190.00. The recent price action suggests building momentum, but confirmation through a breakout is essential before committing to long positions. In summary, the GBP/JPY pair is at a critical juncture. The alignment of technical indicators and market structures supports the potential for a bullish continuation, but traders should await confirmation through a break above key resistance levels As always, we’ll stay reactive and follow price action confirmation and update the VIP members timely. No chasing — just smart, structured trades. Let’s stay patient and ready. Stick to the plan, Forex Mind Empire
Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day. Here we have a pretty nice dynamic on the Aptos (APTUSDT) chart. There is a sequence of long-term lower highs and lower lows, yet the chart looks solid and strong. These lower lows and lower highs are not a bearish trend but rather a long-term, wide consolidation channel. April 2025 produced the lowest prices since Aptos initial low in December 2022. From a TA perspective, seeing a reversal happening after this event is good news. The August 2024 stop-loss orders placed below this low have been activated, the same for October 2023. This means that liquidity is no longer on the downside. Once support has been challenged, the action moves toward resistance. While these major support levels were pierced, this only happened for a few days. Now, APTUSDT is trading back above both those low points and this makes the market extremely bullish. The Altcoins are growing but Bitcoin is not yet trading above 100K. The Altcoins tend to follow Bitcoin, if Bitcoin grows, the entire Cryptocurrency market grows. The fact that many Altcoins are moving ahead and producing 2-3 digits green means that this is the real deal, we are ready for the 2025 bull market. This is to say, that the next rise for Aptos will not end in another long-term lower high, we are set to experience a new All-Time High. This is seen on the chart as $22.222, $33.333 and $.44.444. These are the levels for this bull market cycle. When Bitcoin moves above 100K, expect the Altcoins market to explode! Thank you for reading and for your continued support. Namaste.