The U.S. Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectation Comparison in the image attached shows the difference of the past 3 presidential administrations. I'm not trying to make this a political issue, but merely just looking at a comparison of what the masses of people have expected the future inflation rates to be in the past in order to have an idea of what to expect in the future. When looking at this comparison, it shows the difference between economic policies (different administrations) and their effects on inflation expectations. Granted, with some policy implementations having a lag effect, there is likely some overlap between administrations and their effect on the inflation expectations. The dashed orange lines show the limits of the majority of data points that fall within those dashed lines. Anything that plots outside the dashed orange lines are outliers / not normal (for the last 30+ years). COVID obviously had an outsized impact on inflation expectations since the U.S. government printed massive amounts of new money (Quantitative Easing (QE) by the Federal Reserve) to offset the closing of the economy / lockdowns due to COVID. That is marked on the chart to show approximately when that would have started. Thankfully, when COVID hit, we were at historically the lowest inflation expectations in U.S. history (as far back as the data goes on this chart). With our current administration trying to cut costs of the federal government and trying to increase external sources of tax revenue to offset decreases to internal tax revenue sources, I suspect that will decrease the federal spending (net effect). A large portion of our inflation in the U.S. economy comes from government spending and printing of new money (QE). Granted the Federal Reserve has been in a Quantitative Tightening (QT) mode lately to help cool recent elevated inflation. However, I bet the Fed will be going to a net zero (not QT or QE) stance soon before they begin QE again in the future. This will, hopefully in the short term, help inflation expectations come down, but tariffs will pressure inflation to increase if tariffs aren't offset enough by the administration lowering the taxes on U.S. citizens and businesses to have a net zero effect (which is possible). If the Federal Reserve starts QE sooner than later (highly unlikely unless our economy goes into a recession), then that will certainly put a lot of pressure on inflation to go up. This is a mistake the Fed has done before in the past back in the 1970's / 1980's until past Fed Chairman Paul Volcker raised rates to the highest they've ever been to break the insane inflation rates back then. Time will tell if history rhymes again or not. I certainly hope inflation is tamed and not allowed to go crazy again. Please feel free to leave a comment / your thoughts below. I welcome all feedback on anywhere my analysis may have been wrong. Good luck trading / investing out there.
Gold has pulled back from the $2,940 level, which it tested twice, to form what appears to be a double top pattern. Since reaching this peak, prices have pulled back to $2,882, a key support area that previously acted as resistance on two occasions. On an uptrend, such pullbacks often present buying opportunities as previous resistance levels turn into support. If the $2,882 support level holds, gold could regain momentum and resume its primary uptrend. However, a drop below the $2,863 level could invalidate this outlook, potentially opening the door for further downside pressures. Double Top (M) • The double top chart pattern is a bearish reversal formation that occurs when the price of an asset reaches two peaks at similar levels, separated by a decline, signaling a potential reversal in the trend once the price drops below the neckline support line. • The psychology behind this pattern involves initial buyer enthusiasm driving prices to a peak, followed by a pullback creating hesitation, and eventually a second failed attempt to surpass the first peak, indicating a shift in sentiment as sellers gain control.
MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on SOL here. SOL looks bad overall and this news may make SOL drop more Do not miss out on SOL as this can affect the entire market Watch video for more details
Price is moving in bullish trend with no bearish divergence. Ascending channel supports bullish trend continuation.
The instrument is above 170, so I'm considering going long because the instrument is gaining ground. But if it goes below 170, I'll consider going short to 150.
? Market Overview: Trend: Palantir (PLTR) is in a strong bullish uptrend, making new highs but showing signs of exhaustion near resistance. Key Levels: Resistance: $120–$125 (recent highs, potential breakout zone). Support: $114–$115 (Supertrend support). Indicators: EMA 9: $118.50 (acting as dynamic support). EMA 200: $92.74 (long-term uptrend intact). Supertrend: $114.39 (key level for trend continuation). MACD: Losing momentum, signaling possible consolidation. RSI: 63.06 (bullish but nearing overbought levels). ? Scalping Strategy: ? 1. Momentum Scalping: Buy near: $115–$118 on pullbacks. Target: $122–$125. Stop-loss below: $112. ? 2. Breakout Scalping: Long if price breaks above: $120, targeting $125+. Short if price rejects $120, targeting $115. ? 3. Range Scalping: Sell near: $120–$125 resistance. Target: $115–$112. Stop-loss: $126 if breakout occurs. ? Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks): If PLTR breaks $120, expect a push toward $125–$130. A rejection at $120 could lead to profit-taking, pushing the stock back toward $115–$112. RSI is approaching overbought levels, meaning short-term volatility is expected. ? News & Market Context: AI & Government Contracts: Palantir’s role in AI-driven analytics keeps fueling investor demand. Tech Sector Momentum: The entire AI sector is on fire, but profit-taking risk remains high. Macroeconomic Factors: Interest rate concerns could trigger sector-wide slowdowns. ? Decision: ? Short-term: Scalp long near $115 or on a breakout above $120. ? Mid-term: Bullish, but extended—watch for consolidation before another move. ? Ideal Play: Buy on dips or wait for a breakout confirmation above $120. ? Final Verdict: Palantir remains one of the hottest AI stocks, but profit-taking risk is increasing. Bulls need to clear $120 to maintain momentum. ? LucanInvestor's Quote: "The strongest trends don’t last forever—know when to hold and when to cash in."
This is a quick trade designed for a fast entry and exit with profit. ? SHORT #LAYERUSDT from $0.6780 ? Stop Loss: $0.6840 ⏱ 15M Timeframe ✅ Overview: ➡️ #LAYERUSDT remains in a downtrend, trading near $0.6780, which could act as a short entry point. ➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $0.7316 confirms a high liquidity zone above the current price, indicating strong selling pressure. ➡️ The price failed to hold above the previous consolidation zone and continues downward. ➡️ If the price breaks below $0.6780, a further decline is expected, targeting lower support levels. ⚡ Plan: ➡️ Enter short upon breaking $0.6780, confirming the downward trend. ➡️ Risk management via Stop-Loss at $0.6840, protecting against a false breakout. ? TP Targets: ? TP1: $0.6690 ? #LAYERUSDT remains weak—expecting further downside! ? #LAYERUSDT is under strong selling pressure. If the price breaks $0.6780, increased momentum may push it toward $0.6690. However, if it reclaims $0.6840, a short-term rebound could occur.
Aktuelle Marktstruktur von #Bitcoin mit einem Blick auf die Yearly, Quarterly & Monthly VWAPs! ? Quarterly VWAP bei 99.335 USDT – Ein entscheidender Widerstand, der für eine Fortsetzung nach oben durchbrochen werden muss. ? Monthly VWAP bei 97.396 USDT – Kurzfristige Preisreaktionen zeigen, dass dieses Level als Widerstand agiert. Ein Durchbruch könnte für Aufwärtsmomentum sorgen. ? Yearly VWAP bei 85.032 USDT – Sollte BTC weiter abverkauft werden, könnte dieses Level als starke Unterstützung fungieren. ? Aktuell bewegt sich BTC in einer Konsolidierungsphase. Ein Ausbruch über den Quarterly VWAP könnte bullishe Impulse liefern, während ein Retest des Yearly VWAP potenzielle Kaufgelegenheiten bieten könnte. Was denkt ihr? Sehen wir bald eine Bewegung in Richtung 100k oder einen weiteren Dip? ??
US Dollar weakens due to weak economic data, prompting Fed rate cut expectations. Risk-on sentiment and geopolitical uncertainties also contribute. Global economic uncertainty persists due to geopolitical tensions, trade wars, and divergent central bank policies.
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