USD/CAD 4H Time Frame Analysis On the 4-hour time frame, USD/CAD has been in a prolonged consolidation phase following an uptrend. However, during this consolidation, we observed a subtle shift in market momentum toward the downside. Two key support levels have been identified: 1.41800 – First major key level 1.39000 – Next significant support level These levels will serve as crucial zones for observing future price action. Recently, a breakout occurred below the first major key level (1.41800), triggering pending sell orders from retail traders anticipating further downside. This move also signaled a Change of Character (CHOCH) in the market structure. However, before a full bearish move unfolded, market makers stepped in to absorb liquidity, hunting stop-losses to create more efficient trade flow within the liquidity zone. Now that liquidity has been collected, institutional traders are beginning to position themselves for a continuation to the downside. This is often when smart money—large, informed investors—start executing their strategies after a prolonged price build-up. Trading Strategy: Sell Limit: 1.41660 (upon pullback or retest of broken support) Stop Loss: 1.43000 (above the liquidity zone) Take Profit: 1.38920 (next major key support level) We'll wait for a retest of the 1.41660 zone to confirm entry, following smart money concepts and liquidity dynamics. Fundamental Outlook: Recent Positive Developments Supporting CAD: April 8, 2025: Canada has been largely exempted from the U.S.'s newly imposed 10% import tariffs. While Canadian exports in steel, aluminum, and autos remain under existing tariffs, the broader exemption has helped support CAD strength, reflecting confidence in Canada's trading stability. April 7, 2025: The Canadian dollar gained 0.1%, trading around 1.42 per USD (70.42 U.S. cents). This appreciation stems from investor optimism regarding Canada's insulation from global tariff pressures, positioning the CAD more favorably compared to its peers. Recent Negative Developments Impacting USD: U.S. CPI (m/m): Forecast shows a decline to -0.1% from the previous 0.2%, suggesting weakening inflation momentum, which could influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance. Unemployment Claims: Expected to rise from 219K to 223K, signaling potential softening in the labor market, which may add downside pressure to the USD. ? Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
??? USD/ JPY news: ➡️ The Japanese Yen (JPY) maintains its upward bias against a weaker U.S. Dollar (USD) during Asian trading on Tuesday, despite a lack of strong follow-through buying. While escalating concerns over the negative impact of intensification U.S. tariffs on Japan's economy persist, investors appear confident that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue raising interest rates in 2025, amid signs of rising domestic inflation. Moreover, fears of global economic disruption stemming from U.S. President Donald Trump's tit-for-tat tariff policies have added to the safe-haven appeal of the JPY. ➡️ Still, a modest sentiment rebound in global risk has curbed aggressive bullish bets on the Yen. On the flip side, the USD came under renewed selling pressure, halting its two-day recovery from multi-month lows seen last week, as markets increasingly price in the possibility that the U.S. Economic downturn caused by tariffs could push the Federal Reserve to resume its rate-cutting cycle faster than expected. This stark contrast to the BoJ’s hawkish outlook suggests that the path of least resistance for the lower-yielding JPY remains to the upside. Personal opinion: ➡️ DXY’s RSI is showing signs of falling after entering the overbought zone, causing USD/JPY to decline in the short term ➡️ The initial uptrend is still maintained, so watch for technical recovery zones to be able to buy at good prices. ➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy. Plan: ?Price Zone Setup: ?Buy USD/JPY 146.20- 146.00 ❌SL: 145.60 | ✅TP: 146.70 – 147.20 – 148.00 FM wishes you a successful trading day ???
Based on EASY Trading AI analysis, my current outlook for NZDJPY is bullish. The entry level identified at 81.808 is strategically positioned, indicating emerging upward momentum and favorable market sentiment. My target profit is set at 83.30733333, driven by technical signals highlighting price strength and buying interest accumulation at current support levels. However, risk management remains crucial; my defined Stop Loss at 80.29533333 safeguards against unexpected downside volatility.
The EASY Trading AI model delivers a clear buy signal for AUDNZD at the entry price of 1.07909. This bullish sentiment emerges from enhanced momentum metrics and positive price-action signals underscored by the strategy’s predictive algorithms. We anticipate upward movement towards our target of 1.08707667. Strict risk management suggests placing Stop Loss at 1.07067667, protecting our trade against unexpected volatility and downside reversals.Current technical alignment and algorithmic indicators strongly reinforce buying strength, confirming potential gains in the short-term horizon. Stay disciplined with your trading plan and observe position carefully.
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