The GBPUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of upward correction of the currency pair, it is possible to sell this currency pair within the specified supply zone. If the downward trend continues due to the release of economic data this week, we can see the demand zone and buy within that zone with the appropriate risk reward. The yield on the UK’s 30-year bonds reached 5.22%, the highest level since 1998. This surge followed the sale of similar maturity bonds and heightened concerns about the large issuance of government debt. The UK government plans to issue £297 billion in bonds during the current fiscal year, marking the second-highest figure in the country’s history. This substantial issuance has exerted significant pressure on the bond market and raised fears about mounting national debt. Moreover, expectations of a smaller rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE) have added further strain to the bond market. The UK government faces a considerable challenge in balancing the need to gain investors’ trust while managing its growing debt burden. The market remains overshadowed by the controversial 2022 budget under Liz Truss, the former Conservative Prime Minister. Meanwhile, recent data has led to improved economic forecasts. Real personal consumption expenditure growth for Q4 is now expected to rise from 3% to 3.3%, while projections for real private domestic investment growth have improved from -0.9% to -0.6%. Additionally, the contribution of net exports to real GDP growth in Q4 has been revised upward from 0.07% to 0.11%. Goldman Sachs has reduced its forecast for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts in 2025 from 100 basis points to 75 basis points. The bank does not anticipate that President-elect Donald Trump’s policies will result in rate hikes. Goldman Sachs notes that core inflation is declining and remains skeptical about Trump’s policy changes having a significant impact on interest rates. According to a report by The Washington Post, Trump may impose tariffs that are more limited in scope than he had promised during his campaign. This news has led to a decline in the value of the US dollar. Such reactions are likely to recur as more details about the tariffs are announced. Reports of lower tariffs typically weaken the dollar. But what happens if higher tariffs are imposed, such as those targeting China? Chris Meissner from Santa Clara University believes, “The Chinese yuan will appear weaker relative to the US dollar, which will strengthen the dollar to offset part of the direct tariff impact.” Olivier Jeanne, a professor at Johns Hopkins University, stated, “A stronger dollar benefits American consumers by lowering the cost of imports.” He added, “It is also advantageous for American tourists traveling abroad when the dollar is strong.” However, he cautioned that this is detrimental to the export sector, as a stronger dollar means other countries would need more of their own currency to purchase American goods. With approximately two weeks remaining until Trump’s inauguration, the threats surrounding his proposed tariff plans have already introduced stress into the global trade system and created uncertainties regarding inflation and interest rate trends.
Well, it broke out of the triangle, only not in the direction I was hoping for. Read up on the news about Jensen Huang bashing the quantum industry, also checked some background on QUBT (overvaluation concerns). I bought in at 17.50 about a week ago, being patient with the pennant. My thoughts: - Simply hold for the long run and don't panic, or - Sell and get out of it before it goes goes down even further towards annihilation (?) I must admit it was a bit of a gamble based on sentiment and technical anaysis (still learning!) (due diligence on the company should have warned me a bit) Any views and thoughts on it are most welcome!
The forex pair USOIL is currently priced at 75.000, with a target price set at 103. This indicates an expectation of significant upward movement. The technical pattern in focus is the Falling Wedge, a bullish reversal pattern often found in downtrends. In this setup, the price consolidates between converging trendlines, suggesting decreasing momentum in the downward movement. A breakout above the resistance line typically signals a trend reversal. Traders anticipate a breakout in this case, leading to a potential rally towards the target. This scenario implies increased buying pressure and positive market sentiment. Risk management is crucial, as breakouts can sometimes fail. Confirmation of the breakout, such as strong volume or a clear candle close above resistance, adds reliability to the trade setup. Monitoring key levels closely will help refine the strategy.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/O3XeYzhL/ Here is our detailed technical review for US100. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 21,249.90. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 22,102.42. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
https://www.tradingview.com/x/YS9xzoup/ Take a look at our analysis for GOLD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 2,653.865. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 2,713.989 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Team, we are SHORTING DAX at the current price 20422-32 STOP LOSS at 20465 can extend to 20515 Target 1 at 20390-76 Target 2 at 20349-16 Target 3 at 20267-20232 Enter slowly, once the first target hit, Take partial and bring stop loss to Entry level.
Ich werde Tesla bei 345$ massiv, weil sich bei dem Preis ein positives BAT Pattern bilden würde und das Preisziel dieses Patterns zwischen 400$-435$ liegen würde. Bei dem Preisziel würde ich dann den größten Teil meiner Aktienanteile abstoßen um günstiger nachzukaufen.
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