Hello everyone, today I’m sharing my analysis on cocoa futures, as I see an interesting opportunity for an upward move. Below, I’ll break down the reasons behind my bullish bias and my entry strategy. Let’s get into the details! Why I’m Bullish on Cocoa Futures Institutional and Retail Activity My indicator is showing an incredible amount of long contracts from institutional players, while retail traders are selling aggressively, which is a bit alarming. Since retail traders often get it wrong, this strengthens my expectation of an upcoming upward move, and I’m looking for a long entry. Open Interest My open interest indicator confirms my bias, as all open positions are longs. This signals strong buying interest from the big market players, aligning with my bullish outlook. Valuation My valuation indicator also shows a clear undervaluation of cocoa, suggesting that the current price is an attractive opportunity for buyers. Technical Analysis The price recently touched a key zone on the weekly timeframe, and in that touch and reaction, it left a zone that, based on my objective parameters, is actionable, as cocoa is at a significantly discounted price. While this move and reaction might not yet change the downtrend on lower timeframes, I can take advantage of this zone for a tactical entry. Let’s recall the principle of supply and demand: I’m placing my entries where institutions have their buy orders, and this is one of those zones. Additionally, on higher timeframes, I see very significant demand zones below, which suggests a potential upward move that could indeed shift the trend to bullish. However, for this specific entry, I’m aiming for an entry within the next day. If the price drops further, I’ll be happy to buy at an even more refined zone on the weekly timeframe. My Entry Strategy I’ll enter a long position in the identified zone, expecting a quick upward move. I’ll keep this idea updated as the price evolves, so stay tuned for more details. Disclaimer This is my personal analysis and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries risks, so always conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making decisions.
Japanese Yen Futures – Weekly Chart Analysis The Japanese Yen has been climbing steadily after bouncing from a strong demand zone near 0.0062–0.0063, an area where buyers stepped in hard after months of selling. This bounce has created a solid uptrend, breaking previous highs and showing strong bullish momentum. Right now, price is approaching a key resistance area where sellers took control in the past. This zone has already rejected price once, so we should be watching closely to see if it happens again. Current Momentum showed us........... -Strong buying from the demand zone -Near break above recent highs -Buyers in control short term What to Watch Now is............ -Price is near a major supply zone (0.00717) this is where heavy selling occurred before, and sellers may show up again. -If we see signs of rejection (like long wicks or a sharp drop), we might get a nice pullback -f price breaks above 0.00717, that would be a strong bullish signal, possibly leading to more upside. In short -Short-term trend is Bullish -Near-term risk possible reversal at resistance -Trade idea is towait for price reaction at this key level. If rejection shows, short setups could form. If it breaks cleanly, bulls are still in control.
Hopped into this virtualusdt short. Saw it late but still using proper stop. 1:1. Usually I skip these but its quite high probability. If correct before TP I'll scale in later on at better price.
After a breakout of a key horizontal resistance, ?US50P retested this level and then formed an ascending triangle pattern on a 4-hour time frame. A bullish breach of the triangle's neckline is a key confirmation of buyer strength and suggests potential for a price increase to at least 5,500.
This is why it is very clear, certain, that the stock market, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is set to grow in the coming months. Last week produced the highest volume session, on the bullish side, since April/May 2010, that's 15 years. Back then, when this signal showed up, this index went to grow for years non-stop. The SPX also produced the strongest weekly session in several decades, maybe the strongest week ever, and a bounce happened (support found) exactly at the 0.618 retracement Fib. This is all we need to know. When the bulls enter the market and do so with force, it is because the market is set to grow. The correction produced decline of 21%. This is pretty standard. The fact that the correction happened really fast, it means that it will also have a fast end. The low is in. The correction is over. The S&P 500 Index is set to grow. You can be certain. If you have any doubts, just ask the chart. Namaste.
Bearish set up (price to move lower) Its made a wedge and the height of the wedge takes it back to the all time low, which could be exceeded as over 95% reduction from the apex of the pattern. Hopefully people get out of this if you have a bearish point of view as quick as possible and any rallies are to be sold if you are bearish Long term, over the next couple of years this pattern does not look bullish to me at the moment If it breaks upwards and subsequently moves over the apex point then this bearish pattern is voided and the bull market returns. If it pops back under again then this ones really in trouble. Wishing you luck with your trading, if you are a novice then this is not a good instrument to play in with potential for it to practically go close to zero which is unusual for a stock. If you work for them hedge your share options and keep your CV updated. Some of the market makers are stopping taking short positions on it now, to hedge your holding that usually means an imbalance and excess of short interest possibly with a full order book at for the market makers and they do not want to take on any more downside risk. Please be careful if you are retail.
Enter into any ALTs if we touch the green line you'd be gucci. OTHERS.D will find support and bounce of RSI MA
? ? ? Market-Moving News ?: ? Major Financial Earnings Reports: This week, investors will focus on earnings from prominent financial institutions, including Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and Citigroup. These reports will provide insights into the financial sector's health amid recent market volatility. ? Tech and Healthcare Earnings: Key tech and healthcare companies such as Netflix, TSMC, and UnitedHealth Group are also scheduled to release earnings. Analysts will scrutinize these reports for indications of sector performance and future outlooks. ? Housing Market Indicators: The release of housing starts data and a homebuilder confidence survey will shed light on the housing sector's response to recent economic conditions and tariff implementations. ?? European Central Bank Meeting (April 17): The ECB is expected to address recent tariff developments and may announce interest rate decisions in response to economic pressures. ? Key Data Releases ? ? Monday, April 14: ?️ Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker Speaks (6:00 PM ET): Insights into regional economic conditions and monetary policy perspectives may be provided. ?️ Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic Speaks (7:40 PM ET): Remarks may offer perspectives on economic developments and policy considerations. ? Tuesday, April 15: ? Import Price Index (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.1% Previous: +0.4% Measures the change in the price of imported goods, indicating inflationary pressures. ? Empire State Manufacturing Survey (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: -10.0 Previous: -20.0 Assesses manufacturing activity in New York State, providing early insights into industrial performance. ? Wednesday, April 16: ?️ Retail Sales (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +1.2% Previous: +0.2% Indicates consumer spending trends, a primary driver of economic growth. ? Industrial Production (9:15 AM ET): Forecast: -0.2% Previous: +0.7% Measures the output of factories, mines, and utilities, reflecting industrial sector health. ? Homebuilder Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 38 Previous: 39 Gauges builder sentiment in the housing market, indicating construction activity trends. ? Thursday, April 17: ? Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 223,000 Previous: -- Reports the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, reflecting labor market conditions. ? Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 1.41 million Previous: 1.5 million Tracks the number of new residential construction projects begun, indicating housing market strength. ? Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 3.7 Previous: 12.5 Measures manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia region, providing insights into sector health. ? European Central Bank Interest Rate Decision: The ECB will announce its interest rate decision, with markets anticipating a potential cut in response to tariff impacts. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. ? #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysi
? Weekly Macro View – Gaussian Channel Holds the Truth The Gaussian Channel on the weekly chart is painting a high-risk environment: * Price is hovering below the Gaussian midline, which is currently acting as dynamic resistance at ~$84K. * A red Gaussian channel is flashing caution — these phases typically indicate distribution or early-stage downtrends. * BTC previously lost the mean and retested the lower channel, bouncing aggressively off the ~ FWB:73K region — this bounce is the first sign of life, but it’s not confirmation of a trend reversal yet. What to watch this week: * If BTC can reclaim the Gaussian mean and close above ~$85K with strong volume, we may see a macro reversal pattern forming. * However, another rejection from the midline would point to a slow bleed down toward FWB:73K and possibly the lower channel edge near $63K–$65K. ? Weekly Bias: Cautiously Bearish — Price is below the Gaussian midline in a red channel. Reclaiming $85K flips the tone. ⚠️ Daily Chart View – Bearish Control, Weak Bounce https://www.tradingview.com/x/B0974bzM/ The daily chart confirms short-term bearish pressure is still intact: * BTC remains within a down-sloping channel and is struggling to break through key lower highs. * Volume footprint shows no major demand spike — each bounce is getting sold into. * The trendlines drawn from recent highs form a clear wedge; price is compressing, signaling a big move is coming. Support/Resistance Zones: * ⚔️ Resistance: $84K–$85K * ?️ Support: $80K > $73.6K major zone > $69.9K panic support * ? If we lose $80K again, a retest of $73.6K is very likely. * ? If bulls push above $85K, BTC could rally quickly toward $92K. What to look for this week: * A daily close above the upper trendline of the channel on rising volume = first bullish signal. * A daily lower high + lower low continuation below $80K confirms bears still in charge. ? Final Thoughts – Strategy This Week BTC is caught in a macro correction but trying to build a base. The Gaussian Channel on the weekly says we're in a danger zone, but the daily shows traders testing the bears’ strength. ? My read: * Swing traders: Wait for daily close above $85K before going heavy long. * Scalp traders: Monitor $80K– GETTEX:82K for bounce-to-fade plays. * HODLers: Prepare for longer consolidation — weekly Gaussian phases take time to resolve. ? This is a "watch, not chase" environment. Let the breakout confirm — not predict.
Are we entering the final stages of the bull market? Will all cryptocurrencies 10-25x within 90 days?