Market conditions are so different now. Everything is changing fast and radically, it has to do with the stars. The way the stars are aligned now has not happened in hundreds of years. The type changes we are seeing now have not happened in hundreds of years. It is not only the financial markets but the whole world and the way we perceive reality is changing in so many ways. This is certain to have its effect on the Cryptocurrency market, the effect is already present and tangible, market conditions (reality) will never be the same. The bull market is starting late. By this date in 2021, everything was up and up really strong. Some pairs had already peaked, literally, some altcoin trading pairs had already peaked by April 2021. The full cycle complete. Thousands of percentages of points of growth. What about now? It is April 2025 and the bottom is in on many pairs. Only last week, 7-April, we had a marketwide bottom. The start of the 2025 bull market cycle and phase. A late start can translate into a late end. Now, a full bullish cycle can be completed in 6 months. This is not necessary nor required. Also, the market is much bigger now, it wouldn't be feasible, there would be too much rush. Think of the market as an entity that wants to survive, thrive, live and grow. Can it go through years of bearish action and only produce several months of growth? Balance is needed. The market needs a bullish cycle to keep the participants engaged or else everybody will quit forever if there is nothing to gain. The fact that the Altcoins market hit bottom is the most bullish signal there is, but, looking at all these charts, hundreds of charts, something tells me that what is coming will be different to the past. Actually, it will be similar because the last bull market happened from March 2020 through late 2021. So we can have a bull market from April 2025 until some time in 2026. I just don't believe that everything will end too fast, within six months, because we are having a late start. It will be the other way around, the bull market will extend. Instead of Cryptocurrency growing for 1 year, we might get continued growth for 2-3 years straight, maybe more for some pairs. Some pairs have been dropping for 4 years while others have been down for 6 years or more. When things change, these pairs will be experiencing sustained long-term growth. Other pairs grew strong and never moved below support. These pair were supposed to drop according to classic past patterns and yet, they all remained strong and ready for more. This bull market will be out of the ordinary. Everything that is happening right now in finance and politics is not the same as always, it is a true generational change. We are going through a phase of evolution and this is what will cause the bull market to extend. Late start, late end. Namaste.
So, we are at the death cross again? Should we panic? Should we sell ? What if recession is coming? Ohhhhh noo!!!!! Stop worrying so much and most importantly, stop reading the damn news , especially the headlines that are meant to create more fear than anything! Of course, they want you to sell, how else can the algo traders, big boys scoop up the prices cheap. It is like displaying thunders and lightning across the sky, gloomy and dark clouds to make you believe it is going to rain, a heavy thunderstorm. We were in a bear market on 7th Apr where prices drop below 20% from the peak. However, it quickly bounced up within the next two days, especially 9th Apr where there is a 90 days pause on tariffs imposed. So, technically we are still in a BULL market lah, guys. Focus on the chart not the emotions of the people who are sold daily by social media, influencers with benefits and whoever that wants you to believe their side of the story. Until we enter into a bear market, we should not speculate too much nor read into the future with too much gloom and doom. I am quite confident the tariff matter will subside and blown away over time just like the real war between Ukraine and Russia (over 3 years and still fighting but who covers the news now, it is STALE and no longer sensational). Any papers or social media that gives that "expert view" on tariffs will be rewarded with likes and traffic volume, much to the content creators delight. Stay calm, guys! In the short term, market is volatile like a voting machine but in the long term, it is a weighing machine and history has shown us over the past century or so, the market is going up. Going in and out of the market or TIMING the market - leave that to the experts or professional traders. Your heart and mine cannot take it. Over the long term, you will be rewarded for staying in the market. Just look at Warren Buffett, many a times he bought something, the stock might goes down 10-20% or more, does he panic and starts selling? No, his biggest strength is his patience , one attributes that we all can learn from him. Go for a run, swim or hit the gym if you are too glued to the news. Stay healthy and ensure you have a balance, diversified portfolio to protect yourself.
? **Asset**: Gold (XAUUSD) **Timeframe**: 30-Minute Chart **Published**: April 15, 2025 --- ? **Setup Type**: Bearish Reversal – Head and Shoulders Pattern This chart illustrates a classic **Head and Shoulders** pattern, suggesting a potential reversal from bullish to bearish momentum. --- ### ? **Key Zones & Labels**: - **BOS (Break of Structure)**: Confirms initial bullish strength, but the structure break hints at a possible trend shift. - **L.S (Left Shoulder)**: Marks the first peak before the head formation. - **R.S (Right Shoulder)**: Indicates a lower high, a potential sell zone. - **Support Zone**: Clearly defined area around 3188, acting as the potential **target** for the short setup. --- ? **Trade Plan**: - **Entry Limit**: 3235–3237 (within the right shoulder resistance zone) - **Stop Loss (SL)**: 3240 (just above the resistance zone to protect against a false breakout) - **Target**: 3188 (aligned with previous structure support) --- ### ⚖️ **Risk-Reward Outlook**: This setup offers a favorable **risk-to-reward ratio**, aiming for a move from the entry zone to the support area, assuming resistance holds.
Good day: My friends, this is my mind in the short and medium term for trading. This is just a theory, not a buy or sell signal.
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