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Kawumm'sche MORGENANALYSE zum Montag, den 02.12.2024

Am Freitag hat sich unser Dax auf ein neues Allzeithoch geschlagen bekommen. Ob er das am Montag halten kann?! Guten Morgen :) Marken mit Wichtigkeit und hoher Reaktionsfreundlichkeit für heute und die nächsten Tage sind meiner Meinung nach: 19895, 19600, 19480, 19335, 19250, 19120, 19050, 18880, 18760, 18600, 18420, 18336, 18190, 17980 Chartlage: positiv Tendenz: aufwärts oberhalb von 19560, abwärts unter 19000 Grundstimmung: neutral Nachdem sich unser Dax wieder zur 19400 / 19420 vorgekämpft hatte, sollte er durchaus am Freitag mal die 19480 / 19500 angehen können und anschließend gleich weiter Richtung 19560 / 19600 arbeiten. Er sollte sich dafür nur über der 19400 gehalten bekommen. Sollte das nicht gelingen und er wieder nur drunter wegarbeiten, wären unten 19300 / 19275 und auch 19200 / 19150 erreichbar. So die Zusammenfassung von gestern. Zwar stichelte unser Dax unten an der 19400 am Freitag herum, stabilisierte sich dort aber schon zeitig genug, um oben nochmal in den Angriff zu gehen, hin zur 19480 / 19500 und auch 19560 / 19600. Aber nicht nur das, sogar ein neues Allzeithoch stellte unser Dax zum Monatsabschluss rein. Das öffnet ihm nun natürlich auch mal ein schönes Fenster für eine Aufwärtstrendfortsetzung. Die nächsten engeren Ziele wären dabei dann bei 19895, 20005 und 20205 zu suchen. Aber dafür erstmal alles mit der Ruhe und Stück für Stück. Nun muss er erstmal die neuen Hochs halten und nachlegen. Sollte der sich zum Beispiel von einer 19730 gleich nach der Xetra-Eröffnung wieder in die Tiefe schmeißen, könnte er 19630 und auch 19540 versuchen anzulaufen. Bei 19540 hätte er nochmal guten Support zum Hochdrehen, aber der muss dort dann auch kommen, sonst würde sich ein größeres Fenster runter zur 19270 auftun. Die Scheine bleiben gleich. Für Aufwärtsstrecken der PG70KW KO 18600 sowie GQ9CGN KO 17000 und für Abwärtsstrecken der MG72AM KO 20250 sowie GG34Z4 KO 21400 Fazit: Zum Freitag hatte unser Dax ein neues Allzeithoch gesetzt bekommen und sich damit eine Aufwärtstrend-Fortsetzung aktiviert. Kann er das nun halten, sind die nächsten Stationen dann bei 19730, 19810 und 19895 auszumachen. Dafür muss er sich nun nur über der 19650 halten. Sollte er aber von der 19730 oder gar vom Start weg dynamisch zurück getreten werden, wären unten erstmal 19630 und 19560 wichtige Anlaufstationen, an denen er sich auch nochmal hochdrehen könnte. Gelingt das dann aber nicht, geht unten sogar wieder Raum zur 19270 auf.

BTC-Short bei Einführung von Optionen an der CBOE.

Gehen wir 7 Jahre zurück. Am 1. Dezember 2017 stürzte BTC auf 9.410 $ ab, bevor es seinen historischen Höhenflug auf 19.700 $ antrat, was einer Preisbewegung von mehr als 109 % entspricht. Dieser Höhenflug im Dezember 2017 fiel mit der Einführung der jeweiligen physisch abgerechneten BTC-Futures-Handelsprodukte durch die Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) und die Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) zusammen. Die CBOE brachte ihr Bitcoin-Futures-Handelsprodukt am 10. Dezember auf den Markt. Dann erreichte Bitcoin am 17. Dezember 2017 sein Allzeithoch bei fast 19.700 $, genau zu dem Zeitpunkt, als die CME ihr eigenes bar abgerechnetes Bitcoin-Futures-Handelsprodukt auf den Markt brachte. Nach Bitcoin erwartete uns ein starker Rückgang. Morgen Einführung von BTC-Optionen an der CBOE. Das ist wahrscheinlich der Grund, warum wir es mit einem Short-SSL bei 105.000 USDT versuchen sollten. Falls BTC weiter wächst, werden wir nicht viel verlieren.

Analysis and Outlook for XRP Price Trajectory

Based on Current Market Status XRP is trading at approximately $2.39, demonstrating strong upward momentum after a recent bull run. The asset has reclaimed key levels of support and is pushing towards significant resistance zones. With increasing market optimism, favorable macro conditions, and fundamental catalysts, XRP’s price could follow a structured upward trajectory similar to its 2017 bull run. Resistance Levels to Watch First Resistance: $2.50 Analysis: Breaking above $2.50 would signal a continuation of the bullish trend and solidify investor confidence. This level corresponds to previous swing highs and acts as a psychological barrier for market participants. Key Indicators: Increased volume and strong RSI movement into overbought territory could confirm a breakout. Second Resistance: $3.35 Analysis: $3.35 represents a critical resistance level, close to XRP’s multi-year highs achieved during the 2021 bull run. Breaking this level would likely lead to heightened speculation about retesting the all-time high. Potential Trigger: Positive news surrounding Ripple’s ecosystem or global adoption of RLUSD could catalyze the breakout. Third Resistance (All-Time High): $3.85 Analysis: The all-time high remains the ultimate test of strength for XRP. Breaking this level would likely result in euphoric buying, drawing attention from institutional and retail investors alike. Historical Context: In 2017, after breaching its prior all-time high, XRP entered a parabolic phase that led to exponential growth. Projected Price Scenarios Scenario 1: Partial Replication of the 2017 Bull Run Price Target: $50 Timeline: Next 3-4 months Rationale: Following the initial leg of the 2017 bull run, XRP achieved a substantial percentage gain after clearing major resistance zones. If similar dynamics occur, including mass adoption of RLUSD, regulatory clarity (e.g., the resignation of SEC Chair Gary Gensler), and continued altcoin season momentum, XRP could see a parabolic rise toward $50. This would represent a significant increase but still align with historical market patterns. Scenario 2: Full Replication of the 2017 Bull Run Price Target: $322 Timeline: Next 8 months Rationale: The full 2017 bull run consisted of two parabolic legs, driven by extreme euphoria, retail FOMO (fear of missing out), and widespread adoption narratives. If XRP follows a similar pattern, breaking $50 could serve as a psychological trigger, propelling the price toward $322. This scenario assumes all positive catalysts align, including: Widespread RLUSD adoption. Favorable regulatory changes globally. Broader cryptocurrency market bullishness, amplified by an extended altcoin season. Key Catalysts for Bullish Continuation Regulatory Clarity: The potential resignation of SEC Chair Gary Gensler on January 20, 2025, could signal a friendlier regulatory environment for XRP and the crypto market as a whole. Adoption of RLUSD: Ripple’s launch of the RLUSD stablecoin could integrate XRP further into institutional payment systems, increasing demand for the token. Altcoin Season: With Bitcoin dominance declining, XRP could see significant inflows as altcoins gain prominence in the market. Market Sentiment: Continued bullish sentiment across the crypto market could amplify XRP’s momentum. Risks to Consider Regulatory Setbacks: Any unfavorable rulings or delays in regulatory clarity could hinder XRP’s growth. Market Corrections: Broader market downturns could limit XRP’s upward momentum. Adoption Challenges: Limited adoption or underperformance of RLUSD could reduce speculative interest in XRP. Conclusion While the projections of $50 or even $322 may seem ambitious, they are grounded in historical precedence and depend on key market and fundamental factors aligning favorably. XRP’s price trajectory will largely hinge on breaking the outlined resistance levels and maintaining strong momentum. Investors should remain cautious, diversify their portfolios, and monitor key developments closely. If the outlined scenarios materialize, XRP could become one of the top-performing assets in the crypto space over the next 6-8 months. Legal Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

nq idea again

as i said i just wanted to help you out in your trading this would have made you money

Where Is Market Heading All In Video

Video explains TA where we are heading looks to be higher with pull backs

PNUT 15M HiLoCh strategy

15M strategy coming together, couple test trades worked out nicely, 11R trade at max point(would never have TP'd there but, still a 8R at current) - forgot to put on the first TP so just manually did it then. would have normally taken some at about the 3,5R and the 7.5R looking at the chart now.

NAS100 SELL 30 MINUTE TIME FRAME

STRONG SUPPLY ZONE Price has to feel the gap below. Too much liquidity sitting below! Expecting a 3:1 reward, Let's see!

PLTR – Consolidation Break Imminent? Dec. 2

PLTR is consolidating within a tightening range, showing signs of a potential breakout. This trading plan provides insights into price action, key levels, and trading setups for both scalping and swing trading opportunities. Market Structure & Price Action: * Recent Trend: PLTR has been trading sideways, forming a tightening wedge pattern between $64 and $68. The price is testing upper resistance at $67.50, signaling potential breakout energy. * Liquidity Zones: * Buyers have defended the $64 zone consistently, forming a strong demand area. * Sellers are active near $67.50–$68, creating a supply zone that caps further upside. Key Levels: 1. Resistance Zones: * $67.50–$68: Immediate resistance zone where selling pressure increases. * $70: Psychological level and key breakout target. 2. Support Zones: * $66: Short-term support within the wedge. * $64: Strong demand zone and wedge bottom. Indicators: * MACD (1-hour): The MACD is bullish, with a crossover indicating upward momentum, but histogram growth is flattening, signaling a possible pause or pullback. * Volume: Relatively low volume suggests consolidation; a breakout will require higher volume for confirmation. Trade Ideas: 1. Scalping Setup: * Entry (Long): Above $67.50 with confirmation (strong bullish candles or increased volume). * Target: $68.50–$69. * Stop-Loss: Below $66.80. * Short Setup: If price rejects $67.50, short below $66 targeting $64, with a stop above $67. 2. Swing Trading Setup: * Bullish Case: * Entry: On a breakout above $68. * Target 1: $70. * Target 2: $72–$73. * Stop-Loss: Below $67. * Bearish Case: * Entry: Short below $64. * Target 1: $62. * Target 2: $60. * Stop-Loss: Above $65. Game Plan for the Week: 1. Watch for a breakout above $67.50 or a breakdown below $64, as these levels are critical for the next directional move. 2. Use lower timeframes (5-min, 15-min) to refine scalping entries based on breakout confirmation or rejection. 3. Stay patient during consolidation and wait for a decisive move with strong volume. Thoughts & Outlook: Palantir's tightening range indicates that a breakout is imminent. A move above $68 could trigger bullish momentum, while a break below $64 may lead to a deeper pullback. Traders should stay vigilant and wait for volume confirmation before taking positions. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and trade responsibly. Trading involves significant risk.

gbpusd up

reasons : week low liquidity raid monthly low liquidity $$$$$ + FU divergence

AAPL– Climbing the Channel: Breakout or Reversal Ahead? Dec. 2

NVDAAAPL continues its upward trajectory, pushing into a critical resistance zone. This analysis outlines the price action, key levels, and actionable trading setups for scalping and swing trades, offering insights into whether AAPL will sustain its bullish momentum or face a pullback. Market Structure & Price Action: * Recent Trend: AAPL is in a well-defined ascending channel, with the price nearing the upper boundary around $238. * Volume Profile: Strong buying volume accompanied the recent move higher, confirming bullish sentiment. * Liquidity Zones: * Liquidity is clustered between $235 and $237, suggesting this is a pivotal zone for both buyers and sellers. * Below $233, we see a demand zone where buyers have previously stepped in. Key Levels: 1. Resistance Zones: * $238–$240: Immediate resistance near the ascending channel’s top. * $242: Strong psychological and technical resistance from previous highs. 2. Support Zones: * $235–$236: Current support zone aligning with intraday pivot levels. * $230–$232: Key demand zone and lower trendline of the ascending channel. Indicators: * MACD (1-hour): The bullish crossover remains intact, but the histogram is flattening, hinting at possible consolidation or slowdown. * Volume: Increasing volume confirms the breakout, but watch for declining volume near resistance to signal exhaustion. Trade Ideas: 1. Scalping Setup: * Entry (Long): Above $238 with confirmation (strong bullish candles or volume increase). * Target: $240–$242. * Stop-Loss: Below $237. * Short Setup: If price rejects $238 with bearish candles, consider a short targeting $236 with a stop above $239. 2. Swing Trading Setup: * Bullish Case: * Entry: On a breakout above $240. * Target 1: $242. * Target 2: $245–$246. * Stop-Loss: Below $238. * Bearish Case: * Entry: Short below $235. * Target 1: $232. * Target 2: $230. * Stop-Loss: Above $237. Game Plan for the Week: 1. Monitor the $238–$240 zone closely for signs of a breakout or rejection. 2. Use lower timeframes (5-min, 15-min) to fine-tune scalping entries and exits. 3. Be prepared for a potential pullback to $235 or lower if broader market sentiment turns bearish. 4. Follow volume and MACD for confirmation of the next directional move. Thoughts & Outlook: Apple is in a bullish pattern but is approaching critical resistance. A breakout above $240 could propel the stock toward new highs, while rejection may lead to a retest of support levels near $235. Traders should approach with discipline, waiting for clear confirmation before entering trades. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and trade responsibly. Trading involves risk.