Momentum structure. Strong weekly open. Large Initial Balance. Breakout bias remains dominant unless we hit exhaustion. ? Likely Play Occurrences ✅ Clean breakout long – Very High ? Rejection-and-hold near VAH – Moderate (watch for retest) ? Failed breakout then rotation long – Low–Moderate ? Shorts – Only valid after AWR High (3170) is hit ? Key Reference Levels (W13 Context + W14 Targets) W14 AWR High: 3170 50% AWR Target: 3134 W13 High: 3086 W13 VAH: 3046 W13 POC: 3016 W13 VAL: 3004 W13 Low: 3002 Holding structure above 3046 keeps breakout thesis alive. Watching for reaction near 3134 and exhaustion into 3170. Shorts only considered above AWR.
Today, we're diving into the BTCUSD Perpetual Contract on Bybit, examining some intriguing technical setups that could hint at Bitcoin's next big move. Strap in as we navigate through critical support/resistance zones and what the Market Cipher B indicator is telling us. Technical Analysis: Current Position: Price: Bitcoin is currently trading around $82,460. Immediate Levels: There are several crucial horizontal levels that have shown significant market reactions in the past. Notably, resistance near $88,686 and support around $80,609. Volume Profile Insights: The visible range volume profile shows high trading activity around the $83,600 mark, indicating it as the Point of Control (POC). This level could play a pivotal role in upcoming sessions, serving as a stiff resistance or support upon retests. Market Cipher B Analysis: The Market Cipher B oscillator is showing increasing momentum, with the most recent wave turning upwards. This could be a precursor to bullish behavior if we see a sustained push above the zero line. Projected Movements: The drawn-out price path suggests a potential rally towards the $92,500 area, followed by a significant pullback. Traders should prepare for volatility and use this projected path to set strategic stop-loss and take-profit points. Strategy: Long Entry: Consider a long position if Bitcoin breaks and holds above the $83,600 POC. Set stop-loss just below $82,460. Short Scenario: If Bitcoin fails to sustain above the POC and breaks below $80,609, a short position could be favorable, with a stop-loss set just above the breakout level. Conclusion: Bitcoin's price is at a crossroads, and the next few days could be crucial for setting the tone in the medium term. Keep an eye on the $83,600 level for significant market decisions and adjust your strategies accordingly. #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketCipher
EURAUD - 24h expiry Trading has been mixed and volatile. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains. Bespoke resistance is located at 1.7360. We look to Sell at 1.7360 (stop at 1.7420) Our profit targets will be 1.7120 and 1.7080 Resistance: 1.7360 / 1.7420 / 1.7470 Support: 1.7275 / 1.7185 / 1.7090 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
? **Trade Idea: SHORT MSFT** I'm shorting Microsoft after a confirmed **death cross** on the daily chart (50 EMA crossed below 200 EMA), signaling long-term weakness. ### ? Structure: - Breakdown of support at $384 - Clean retest + rejection at $377 - Lower highs and lower lows in play - Volume spike on breakdown confirms seller strength ### ? Trade Plan: - **Entry**: $375–377 zone - **Stop**: $381 (above last swing high) - **Targets**: - TP1: $364 (prior base) - TP2: $357 (structural low) - TP3: $345 (macro demand zone / 200W EMA) ### ? Thesis: - MSFT has transitioned from distribution to downtrend - EMAs are bear-aligned - Rejection confirmed on intraday wick + volume - R:R = 3:1+ with clear invalidation > "We don't chase weakness — we short structure when the market begs us to." Open to thoughts — let’s trade clean.
Lesson 15 Methodology A few of the criteria have been met: 1. Support Level 2. Highest Up Volume Wave after a while 3. Anchored AVWAP at the previous down wave and priced crossed above 4. Price has pulled back to AVWAP ...and now I am waiting for a Plutus Long signal that will push price above AVWAP to enter Long!
I got stopped out from my previous position so I am entering again after good green candle so hopefully TRUMP April 2nd announcement will help this trade
- Nvidia reversed from key support level 105.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 115.00 Nvidia today reversed from the support area located between the key support level 105.00 (which has been reversing the price from last September) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the earlier short-term ABC correction ii from the start of March. Given the strength of the support level 3.60 and the bullish divergence on the daily Stochastic, Nvidia can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 115.00.
? USDCAD has experienced a strong bullish trend, with an aggressive push to higher prices. However, key fundamental indicators are signaling weakness: - **Inflation** – Negative - **Employment Change** – Negative - **Unemployment Rate** – Negative Despite the current uptrend, these bearish fundamental factors suggest that momentum could shift. At the very least, a strong pullback is likely, and a full trend reversal remains a possibility. Monitoring price action at key levels will be crucial in the coming sessions. I placed my SL on Key LvL clusters
//@version=5 indicator("GBP/USD Liquidity Sweep + EUR/USD Support Hold", overlay=true) // Input settings lookback = input(20, "Lookback Period") liquidity_threshold = input(0.002, "Liquidity Sweep Threshold") // Fetch price data for GBP/USD and EUR/USD gbp = close // EUR/USD as a separate security eur = request.security("EURUSD", timeframe.period, close) // Detect liquidity sweep in GBP/USD low_sweep = ta.lowest(low, lookback) and close > low and (low - low ) / low > liquidity_threshold // Check if EUR/USD is holding support holding_support = close >= ta.lowest(eur, lookback) // Confirm W-pattern second leg w_pattern = low_sweep and holding_support // Fibonacci Levels Calculation high_leg = ta.highest(high, lookback) low_leg = ta.lowest(low, lookback) fib_38 = low_leg + (high_leg - low_leg) * 0.382 fib_50 = low_leg + (high_leg - low_leg) * 0.5 fib_618 = low_leg + (high_leg - low_leg) * 0.618 // Plot signals plotshape(series=w_pattern, location=location.belowbar, color=color.red, style=shape.labeldown, title="W-Pattern Entry") line.new(x1=bar_index , y1=fib_38, x2=bar_index, y2=fib_38, width=2, color=color.blue, style=line.style_dotted, title="Fib 38.2%")
Gold-Bullenmarkt der fünften Welle abgeschlossen?! Meine Einschätzung aus der Videoanalyse vom Freitag bleibt unverändert. Wir haben vorerst keine Goldverkäufe mehr. Wir werden erst dann in Swing-Sells einsteigen, wenn die Marktstruktur das vorherige Hoch der dritten Welle bei 3.057 $ durchbricht und uns eine Strukturverschiebung nach unten ermöglicht, die den Markt bärisch werden lässt. Bis dahin sind wir aus dem Markt raus und lassen Gold weiter steigen, wenn es will. Sobald Gold UNTER 3.057 $ schließt und uns eine Verkaufsbestätigung gibt, können wir unser Invalidierungsniveau über dem vorherigen Hoch ansetzen.